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The components of the illiquidity premium: An empirical analysis of US stocks 1927–2010

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  • Hagströmer, Björn
  • Hansson, Björn
  • Nilsson, Birger

Abstract

This paper implements a conditional version of the liquidity adjusted CAPM (LCAPM). The conditional LCAPM allows for a time-varying decomposition of the total illiquidity premium into a level component and three risk components. The estimated average annual total illiquidity premium for US stocks 1927–2010 is 1.74–2.08%, which is substantially lower than in most previous studies. The contributions from illiquidity level and illiquidity risk are 1.25–1.28% and 0.46–0.83%, respectively. Of the three illiquidity risk components, risk related to the hedging of wealth shocks is the most important, while commonality risk is the least important. The illiquidity premia are clearly time-varying, with peaks in downturns and crises, but with no general tendency to decrease over time. The level premium and the risk premium are significantly positively correlated, at around 0.35; indicating that in periods of turbulence both illiquidity cost and illiquidity risk premia tend to be high.

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  • Hagströmer, Björn & Hansson, Björn & Nilsson, Birger, 2013. "The components of the illiquidity premium: An empirical analysis of US stocks 1927–2010," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(11), pages 4476-4487.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jbfina:v:37:y:2013:i:11:p:4476-4487
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2013.01.029
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    5. Syeda Hina Zaidi & Nousheen Tariq Bhutta, 2021. "Liquidity Synchronization and Asset Valuation in Selected Emerging Asian Economies," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 11(6), pages 488-500.
    6. Sean A. Anthonisz & Tālis J. Putniņš, 2017. "Asset Pricing with Downside Liquidity Risks," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 63(8), pages 2549-2572, August.
    7. Su, Zhi & Lyu, Tongtong & Yin, Libo, 2022. "Are conditional illiquidity risks priced in China? A cross-sectional test," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    8. Wu, Ying, 2019. "Asset pricing with extreme liquidity risk," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 143-165.
    9. Syeda Hina Zaidi & Nousheen Tariq Bhutta, 2021. "Liquidity Synchronization and Asset Valuation in Selected Emerging Asian Economies," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 11(6), pages 488-500, June.
    10. Beyene, Nardos & Huang, Peng & Hueng, C. James, 2021. "Illiquidity contagion and pricing of commonality risk: Evidence from a dynamic conditional correlation model," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 39(C).
    11. Hsieh, Hui-Ching & Nguyen, Van Quoc Thinh, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty and illiquidity return premium," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
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    14. Isshaq, Zangina & Faff, Robert, 2016. "Does the uncertainty of firm-level fundamentals help explain cross-sectional differences in liquidity commonality?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 153-161.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Illiquidity level premium; Illiquidity risk premium; Conditional LCAPM; Effective tick;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes

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