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The timing of 52-week high price and momentum

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  • Bhootra, Ajay
  • Hur, Jungshik

Abstract

We propose a new momentum strategy based on the timing of a stock’s 52-week high price. We find that the stocks that attained the 52-week high price in the recent past significantly outperform the stocks that attained the 52-week high price in the distant past. In particular, the top 10% of the stocks with the most recent 52-week high price outperform the bottom 10% of the stocks with most distant 52-week high price by 0.70% per month. Further, conditioning on the recency of 52-week high price significantly increases the profitability of momentum strategy based on the nearness of current price to the 52-week high price. Specifically, the average monthly return of this strategy is about twice as large for stocks with recent 52-week high price as compared with stocks with distant 52-week high price.

Suggested Citation

  • Bhootra, Ajay & Hur, Jungshik, 2013. "The timing of 52-week high price and momentum," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(10), pages 3773-3782.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jbfina:v:37:y:2013:i:10:p:3773-3782
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2013.05.025
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    Cited by:

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    4. Doron Avramov & Guy Kaplanski & Avanidhar Subrahmanyam, 2022. "Postfundamentals Price Drift in Capital Markets: A Regression Regularization Perspective," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(10), pages 7658-7681, October.
    5. Shin, Heejeong & Park, Sorah, 2018. "Do foreign investors mitigate anchoring bias in stock market? Evidence based on post-earnings announcement drift," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 224-240.
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    7. Low, Rand Kwong Yew & Tan, Enoch, 2016. "The role of analyst forecasts in the momentum effect," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 67-84.
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    11. Julio Lobao & Joao Meira Fernandes, 2017. "The 52-Week High and Momentum Investing: Implications for Asset Pricing Models," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 18(2), pages 349-376, November.
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    17. George, Thomas J. & Hwang, Chuan-Yang & Li, Yuan, 2018. "The 52-week high, q-theory, and the cross section of stock returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 128(1), pages 148-163.
    18. Kaplanski, Guy, 2023. "The race to exploit anomalies and the cost of slow trading," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    19. Hao, Ying & Chu, Hsiang-Hui & Ho, Keng-Yu & Ko, Kuan-Cheng, 2016. "The 52-week high and momentum in the Taiwan stock market: Anchoring or recency biases?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 121-138.
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    21. Hur, Jungshik & Singh, Vivek, 2019. "How do disposition effect and anchoring bias interact to impact momentum in stock returns?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 238-256.
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    24. Smith, Garrett C. & Coy, Jeffrey M. & Spieler, Andrew C., 2019. "Cross-border transactions, mergers and the inconsistency of international reference points," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 14-21.
    25. Tzu‐Pu Chang, 2021. "Buy Low and Sell High: The 52‐Week Price Range and Predictability of Returns," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 21(1), pages 336-344, March.

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