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The term structure of illiquidity premia

  • Kempf, Alexander
  • Korn, Olaf
  • Uhrig-Homburg, Marliese
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    We investigate the term structure of bond market illiquidity premia and show that the term structure varies greatly over time. Short and long end are strictly separated suggesting that different economic factors drive different parts of the term structure. We propose a stylized theoretical model which implies that current trading needs of investors determine the short end. The long-term risk of being forced to liquidate bond positions determines the long end. Empirical evidence supports these predictions. While short-term liquidation risk captured by asset market volatilities drives the short end, the long end depends on the long-term economic outlook.

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    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378426611003487
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    Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Journal of Banking & Finance.

    Volume (Year): 36 (2012)
    Issue (Month): 5 ()
    Pages: 1381-1391

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    Handle: RePEc:eee:jbfina:v:36:y:2012:i:5:p:1381-1391
    Contact details of provider: Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/jbf

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