Merging models and experts
It is argued that for specific forecast settings there must exist an optimally-sized model with forecasts that only need occasional adjustments by experts. The argument is built on recent evidence on the interaction between models and experts. A consequence of this is that the future research agenda should involve more interaction between researchers in model-based forecasting and those who are engaged in judgemental forecasting research.
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References listed on IDEAS
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92, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
- Stekler, H.O., 2007. "The future of macroeconomic forecasting: Understanding the forecasting process," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 237-248.
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- Makridakis, Spyros & Hibon, Michele, 2000. "The M3-Competition: results, conclusions and implications," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 16(4), pages 451-476.
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