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Oil and stock returns: Frequency domain evidence

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  • Ciner, Cetin

Abstract

This paper examines the relation between oil price changes and stock returns. By using recently developed frequency domain methods, the study shows that there is significant time variation in the linkage between oil and equities. Oil price shocks with less than 12-month persistency have a negative impact on stock returns, while shocks with persistency between 12 and 36 months are associated with positive stock returns. Hence, the analysis supports the view that not all oil price movements are alike and, and joint rises in oil and stock market can in fact be observed. The implications of the findings for participants in financial markets and policy makers are discussed.

Suggested Citation

  • Ciner, Cetin, 2013. "Oil and stock returns: Frequency domain evidence," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 1-11.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:intfin:v:23:y:2013:i:c:p:1-11
    DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2012.09.002
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. repec:eee:finlet:v:24:y:2018:i:c:p:25-33 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Boldanov, Rustam & Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George, 2016. "Time-varying correlation between oil and stock market volatilities: Evidence from oil-importing and oil-exporting countries," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 209-220.
    3. Semei Coronado & Rebeca Jim'enez-Rodr'iguez & Omar Rojas, 2015. "An empirical analysis of the relationships between crude oil, gold and stock markets," Papers 1510.07599, arXiv.org, revised May 2016.
    4. Batten, Jonathan A. & Ciner, Cetin & Lucey, Brian M., 2017. "The dynamic linkages between crude oil and natural gas markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 155-170.
    5. Ciner, Cetin, 2015. "Are equities good inflation hedges? A frequency domain perspective," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 12-17.
    6. Kang, Wensheng & Ratti, Ronald A. & Yoon, Kyung Hwan, 2015. "The impact of oil price shocks on the stock market return and volatility relationship," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 41-54.
    7. Martín-Barragán, Belén & Ramos, Sofia B. & Veiga, Helena, 2015. "Correlations between oil and stock markets: A wavelet-based approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 212-227.
    8. repec:eee:mulfin:v:44:y:2018:i:c:p:61-68 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. Broadstock, David C. & Filis, George, 2014. "Oil price shocks and stock market returns: New evidence from the United States and China," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 417-433.
    10. repec:eee:finlet:v:23:y:2017:i:c:p:23-30 is not listed on IDEAS
    11. Dutta, Anupam & Nikkinen, Jussi & Rothovius, Timo, 2017. "Impact of oil price uncertainty on Middle East and African stock markets," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 189-197.
    12. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Chatziantoniou, Ioannis & Filis, George, 2017. "Oil shocks and stock markets: Dynamic connectedness under the prism of recent geopolitical and economic unrest," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 1-26.
    13. Batten, Jonathan A. & Ciner, Cetin & Kosedag, Arman & Lucey, Brian M., 2017. "Is the price of gold to gold mining stocks asymmetric?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 402-407.
    14. repec:eee:reveco:v:50:y:2017:i:c:p:136-174 is not listed on IDEAS
    15. Du, Limin & He, Yanan, 2015. "Extreme risk spillovers between crude oil and stock markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 455-465.
    16. repec:eee:eneeco:v:67:y:2017:i:c:p:255-267 is not listed on IDEAS
    17. Kang, Wensheng & Ratti, Ronald A., 2013. "Oil shocks, policy uncertainty and stock market return," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 305-318.
    18. repec:ebl:ecbull:eb-17-00090 is not listed on IDEAS
    19. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Chatziantoniou, Ioannis & Filis, George, 2014. "Spillovers between oil and stock markets at times of geopolitical unrest and economic turbulence," MPRA Paper 59760, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    20. Yanan He & Jing Zhao, 2013. "Extreme Dependence between Crude Oil and the Stock Markets in China: A Sector," WISE Working Papers 2013-12-05, Wang Yanan Institute for Studies in Economics (WISE), Xiamen University.
    21. Chen, Wang & Hamori, Shigeyuki & Kinkyo, Takuji, 2014. "Macroeconomic impacts of oil prices and underlying financial shocks," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 1-12.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Oil; Frequency domain tests; Stock returns;

    JEL classification:

    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets
    • F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance

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