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Time to equilibrium in exchange rates: G-10 and Eastern European economies

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  • Ho, Catherine S.F.
  • Ariff, M.

Abstract

This paper reports different times-to-equilibrium for G-10 developed economies and the Eastern European emerging economies. By applying a novel method of value-weighted index to highly-trade-linked economies, we test the purchasing power parity to the full length of time-to-equilibrium. The times-to-equilibrium obtained are: 6years for developed and 2years for emerging economies. These results are consistent with the sticky price hypothesis: economies trading in highly aggregated capital goods take longer time to reach price equilibrium in the face of overshooting exchange rates: the opposite is true for primary exporters. This finding is new for these two groups, and could be compared usefully with the earlier reports of long half-life for developed countries. Also, our method of measurement establishes the actual time of the theory prediction on price-to-currency relationship. It is possible to apply this methodology to study more groups of countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Ho, Catherine S.F. & Ariff, M., 2012. "Time to equilibrium in exchange rates: G-10 and Eastern European economies," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 94-107.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:glofin:v:23:y:2012:i:2:p:94-107
    DOI: 10.1016/j.gfj.2012.03.002
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    Cited by:

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    3. Johari, Mohamad Shukri & Habibullah, Muzafar & Abdul Ghani, Roseziahazni & Abdul Manaf, Suhaily Maizan, 2021. "The Macroeconomic Fundamentals of the Real Exchange Rate in Malaysia: Some Empirical Evidence," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 55(2), pages 81-89.
    4. M. Ariff & A. Zarei, 2016. "Exchange Rate Behavior of Canada, Japan, the United Kingdom and the United States," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 27(2), pages 341-357, April.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Exchange rates; Purchasing power parity; Divisia index; Long run equilibrium; Half-life equilibrium; Trade-linked groups;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C43 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Index Numbers and Aggregation
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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