IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/finlet/v85y2025ipcs1544612325013832.html

The impact of maternity insurance on fertility intentions: Evidence from panel data of the Chinese Social Survey (CSS)

Author

Listed:
  • Liu, Ming
  • Di, Mingwei
  • Cai, Qingqing
  • Xu, Yang

Abstract

This study constructs a two-period Overlapping Generation (OLG) model incorporating maternity insurance and utilizes panel data from the 2019 and 2021 Chinese Social Survey (CSS) to examine the impact and underlying mechanisms on fertility intentions from both theoretical and empirical perspectives. The findings indicate that: (1) Maternity insurance exerts a significant incentive effect on fertility intentions, remaining robust after accounting for endogeneity and conducting various robustness tests. (2) Maternity insurance not only reduces the economic costs associated with childbirth but also enhances individuals’ social evaluations, which in turn stimulates fertility intentions. (3) The impact of maternity insurance on fertility intentions exhibits heterogeneous effects, with stronger incentive effects observed among higher socioeconomic status groups, farming households or regions with lower economic development. Our findings accordingly call for expanding maternity insurance coverage, designing targeted and population-specific benefit schemes, and fostering a positive discourse surrounding childbirth to further encourage fertility.

Suggested Citation

  • Liu, Ming & Di, Mingwei & Cai, Qingqing & Xu, Yang, 2025. "The impact of maternity insurance on fertility intentions: Evidence from panel data of the Chinese Social Survey (CSS)," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 85(PC).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:85:y:2025:i:pc:s1544612325013832
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2025.108128
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1544612325013832
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.frl.2025.108128?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Junsen Zhang, 2017. "The Evolution of China's One-Child Policy and Its Effects on Family Outcomes," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 31(1), pages 141-160, Winter.
    2. Fei Yang & Zhenlin Zhang, 2025. "Economic Drivers of China's Declining Fertility: The Role of Digital Inclusive Finance and Household Debt," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(3), pages 675-696, April.
    3. David de la Croix & Matthias Doepke, 2003. "Inequality and Growth: Why Differential Fertility Matters," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 93(4), pages 1091-1113, September.
    4. Chen, Zihao & Tian, Xu, 2025. "The relaxation of birth control policies adversely affects women's income: Evidence from China's universal two-child policy," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    5. Coskun, Sena & Dalgic, Husnu C., 2024. "The emergence of procyclical fertility: The role of breadwinner women," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    6. Liu, Shenglong & Zhang, Xiaoming & Zhou, Shaojie, 2024. "The compulsory education law, female education and fertility: An empirical study in China," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(3), pages 679-696.
    7. Bai, Chong-En & Wu, Binzhen, 2014. "Health insurance and consumption: Evidence from China’s New Cooperative Medical Scheme," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(2), pages 450-469.
    8. Stephen O. Abrokwah & Christine M. Moser & Edward Norton, 2016. "The Impact of Social Health Insurance on Household Fertility Decisions," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies, vol. 25(5), pages 699-717.
    9. Chen, Junshi & Chi, Jing & Smith, David & Yuen, Mui Kuen, 2025. "How does digital finance impact birth rates: Evidence from China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 1945-1965.
    10. Lu, Haiyang & Zeng, Keya & Hu, Weiliang, 2025. "Too busy with the “rat race” to have kids? Longitudinal evidence on the impact of peer grit on the fertility of reproductive-age women in China," Economics & Human Biology, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    11. Puneet Vatsa & Wanglin Ma & Xiaoshi Zhou & Hongyun Zheng, 2024. "Does fertility intention affect household consumption? Evidence from China," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(58), pages 8210-8225, December.
    12. Wei Huang & Yiping Wang & Hantao Wu & Yi Zhou, 2025. "The motherhood penalty and low fertility in China: a pseudo-event study," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 38(1), pages 1-29, March.
    13. Seung-Hun Chung & Neha Deopa & Kritika Saxena & Lyman Stone, 2025. "Religiously inspired baby boom: evidence from Georgia," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 38(1), pages 1-31, March.
    14. Holger Strulik, 2024. "Higher education and the income-fertility nexus," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 37(1), pages 1-13, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Gradstein, Mark, 2025. "Education fever: Inequality, fertility and growth," BOFIT Discussion Papers 12/2025, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    2. Dayuan Xie & Yonghong Zhou, 2022. "Religion effects on fertility preference: evidence from China," Journal of Population Research, Springer, vol. 39(3), pages 341-371, September.
    3. Sen Coskun & Husnu Dalgic & Yasemin Ozdemir, 2025. "Navigating Motherhood: Endogenous Penalties and Career Choice," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2025_722, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.
    4. Mark Gradstein, 2026. "Education fever: inequality, fertility, and growth, with application to China," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 39(1), pages 1-21, March.
    5. Nana Chen & Hangtian Xu & Yang Xu, 2024. "Family planning and fertility inequality: Evidence from the abolition of China's one‐child policy," Asian Economic Journal, East Asian Economic Association, vol. 38(1), pages 86-117, March.
    6. Grossmann, Volker, 2008. "Risky human capital investment, income distribution, and macroeconomic dynamics," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 30(1), pages 19-42, March.
    7. Thomas Baudin & Robert Stelter, 2022. "The rural exodus and the rise of Europe," Journal of Economic Growth, Springer, vol. 27(3), pages 365-414, September.
    8. Victor Hiller, 2014. "Gender Inequality, Endogenous Cultural Norms, and Economic Development," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 116(2), pages 455-481, April.
    9. Dietrich Vollrath, 2009. "The dual economy in long-run development," Journal of Economic Growth, Springer, vol. 14(4), pages 287-312, December.
    10. Bao, Xiaojia & Galiani, Sebastian & Li, Kai & Long, Cheryl Xiaoning, 2023. "Where have all the children gone? An empirical study of child abandonment and abduction in China," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 208(C), pages 95-119.
    11. Murach, Michael & Wagner, Helmut & Kim, Jungsuk & Park, Donghyun, 2022. "Trajectories to high income: Comparing the growth dynamics in China, South Korea, and Japan with cointegrated VAR models," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 492-511.
    12. Baldi, Mauro Maria & Coppier, Raffaella & Michetti, Elisabetta, 2025. "Elderly labor supply, endogenous grandparental childcare, and fertility in an OLG model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    13. Zhang, Zhijie & Zong, Qingqing, 2025. "Women's empowerment and participation in innovation: Evidence from the one-child policy in China," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 54(10).
    14. Takuya Obara & Yoshitomo Ogawa, 2024. "Optimal taxation in an endogenous fertility model with non-cooperative behavior," Review of Economics of the Household, Springer, vol. 22(1), pages 173-197, March.
    15. Schäfer, Andreas, 2014. "Technological change, population dynamics, and natural resource depletion," Mathematical Social Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 122-136.
    16. Yuanyuan Chen & Zichen Deng, 2019. "Liquidity Constraint Shock, Job Search and Post Match Quality—Evidence from Rural-to-Urban Migrants in China," Journal of Labor Research, Springer, vol. 40(3), pages 332-355, September.
    17. Matthias Doepke, 2004. "Accounting for Fertility Decline During the Transition to Growth," Journal of Economic Growth, Springer, vol. 9(3), pages 347-383, September.
    18. Yongqing Dong & Liping Fu & Ronghui Tan & Liman Ding, 2019. "The Dilemma of Medical Reimbursement Policy in Rural China: Spatial Variability between Reimbursement Region and Medical Catchment Area," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(16), pages 1-18, August.
    19. Song, Quanyun & Li, Jie & Wu, Yu & Yin, Zhichao, 2020. "Accessibility of financial services and household consumption in China: Evidence from micro data," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    20. Michal burzynski & Christoph Deuster & Frédéric Docquier, 2018. "The Geography of Talent: Development Implications and Long-Run Prospects," LIDAM Discussion Papers IRES 2018002, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • D10 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - General
    • G22 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Insurance; Insurance Companies; Actuarial Studies
    • J13 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:85:y:2025:i:pc:s1544612325013832. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/frl .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.