IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/finlet/v83y2025ics1544612325009614.html

Impact of central bank forward guidance on corporate innovation: Perspectives from management confidence and bank credit availability

Author

Listed:
  • Tang, Shenfeng
  • Sun, Na

Abstract

This study examines the impact of central bank forward guidance on corporate innovation at the micro-enterprise level. Findings reveal that positive sentiment in central bank forward guidance boosts management confidence and increases bank credit availability, promoting innovation in enterprises. This facilitating effect is stronger in enterprises with high propensity for risk-taking and strong profitability, situated in national innovative pilot cities, and belonging to high-tech industries.

Suggested Citation

  • Tang, Shenfeng & Sun, Na, 2025. "Impact of central bank forward guidance on corporate innovation: Perspectives from management confidence and bank credit availability," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:83:y:2025:i:c:s1544612325009614
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2025.107702
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1544612325009614
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.frl.2025.107702?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Li, Quan & Chen, Huimin & Chen, Yang & Xiao, Tong & Wang, Li, 2023. "Digital economy, financing constraints, and corporate innovation," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    2. Brent Bundick & A. Lee Smith, 2020. "The Dynamic Effects of Forward Guidance Shocks," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 102(5), pages 946-965, December.
    3. Olivier Coibion & Dimitris Georgarakos & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Michael Weber, 2023. "Forward Guidance and Household Expectations," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 21(5), pages 2131-2171.
    4. Michael R. Walls & James S. Dyer, 1996. "Risk Propensity and Firm Performance: A Study of the Petroleum Exploration Industry," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 42(7), pages 1004-1021, July.
    5. Robert B. Barsky & Eric R. Sims, 2012. "Information, Animal Spirits, and the Meaning of Innovations in Consumer Confidence," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 102(4), pages 1343-1377, June.
    6. Marek Giebel & Kornelius Kraft, 2024. "R&D investments under financing constraints," Industry and Innovation, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(9), pages 1141-1168, October.
    7. Bordo, Michael D. & Duca, John V. & Koch, Christoffer, 2016. "Economic policy uncertainty and the credit channel: Aggregate and bank level U.S. evidence over several decades," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 90-106.
    8. Gertler, Pavel & Horvath, Roman, 2018. "Central bank communication and financial markets: New high-frequency evidence," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 336-345.
    9. Liu, Biao & Li, Yanfeng & Liu, Jipeng & Hou, Yufei, 2024. "Does urban innovation policy accelerate the digital transformation of enterprises? Evidence based on the innovative City pilot policy," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    10. Han, Xun & Ma, Sichao & Peng, Yuchao & Xie, Xinyan, 2022. "Central bank communication, corporate maturity mismatch and innovation," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    11. Bronwyn H. Hall & Dietmar Harhoff, 2012. "Recent Research on the Economics of Patents," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 4(1), pages 541-565, July.
    12. Ehrmann, Michael & Talmi, Jonathan, 2020. "Starting from a blank page? Semantic similarity in central bank communication and market volatility," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 48-62.
    13. Jarociński, Marek, 2022. "Central bank information effects and transatlantic spillovers," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    14. Beladi, Hamid & Hou, Qingsong & Hu, May, 2022. "The party school education and corporate innovation: Evidence from SOEs in China," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    15. Wen, Huwei & Zhong, Qiming & Lee, Chien-Chiang, 2022. "Digitalization, competition strategy and corporate innovation: Evidence from Chinese manufacturing listed companies," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    16. He, Lerong & Jiang, Xiaozhen & Fang, Liting, 2023. "Tax policy reform and corporate innovation in China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PA).
    17. Gardner, Ben & Scotti, Chiara & Vega, Clara, 2022. "Words speak as loudly as actions: Central bank communication and the response of equity prices to macroeconomic announcements," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 231(2), pages 387-409.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Cho, Dooyeon & Jung, Jaehun, 2026. "Mind the tone: Responses of inflation expectations to central bankers’ speeches," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).
    2. Eleonora Granziera & Vegard H. Larsen & Greta Meggiorini & Leonardo Melosi, 2025. "Speaking of Inflation: The Influence of Fed Speeches on Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series 11992, CESifo.
    3. Hwang, Youngjin, 2025. "Information content in yield curve dynamics: Implications for monetary policy," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    4. Juan Arismendi-Zambrano & Emmanuel Kypraios & Alessia Paccagnini, 2026. "Informativeness of the federal reserve chair communication’s sentiment on the monetary policy uncertainty," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 357(1), pages 633-677, February.
    5. Pu, Xiaohong & Zeng, Ming & Zhang, Weike, 2023. "Corporate sustainable development driven by high-quality innovation: Does fiscal decentralization really matter?," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 273-289.
    6. Wu, Zihang & Zeng, Ning & Song, Jiansong, 2025. "Tax incentives and corporate technological innovation performance: An analysis from the perspective of R&D investment," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    7. Ling, Shixian & Gao, Hongfu & Yuan, Di, 2024. "Catalytic role of the digital economy in fostering corporate green technology innovation: a mechanism for sustainability transformation in China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 278-292.
    8. Karen Davtyan & Adel R. Kalozdi, 2025. "The Power of Words: Central Bank Green Communication and Performance of Energy Sectors," Working Papers wpdea2515, Department of Applied Economics at Universitat Autonoma of Barcelona.
    9. Linas Jurkšas & Rokas Kaminskas, 2023. "ECB monetary policy communication: does it move euro area yields?," Bank of Lithuania Discussion Paper Series 29, Bank of Lithuania.
    10. Pei Chen & Hongyu Liu & Yifang Ma & Fan Jiang, 2025. "Executives’ postgraduate education and corporate ambidextrous innovation: evidence from China’s listed companies," Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 12(1), pages 1-16, December.
    11. Fabrizio Ferriani & Andrea Gazzani, 2025. "The international transmission of Chinese monetary policy and the commodity channel," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1510, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    12. Lee, Seohyun, 2017. "Three essays on uncertainty: real and financial effects of uncertainty shocks," MPRA Paper 83617, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Cui, Xiaoping & Sun, Ke & Zhang, Tianrui, 2025. "Optimization of human capital in management and integration with digital finance: Strategies for enhancing corporate competitiveness," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    14. Niţoi, Mihai & Pochea, Maria-Miruna & Radu, Ştefan-Constantin, 2023. "Unveiling the sentiment behind central bank narratives: A novel deep learning index," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    15. Li, Rouhui & Wang, Yanbo & Zheng, Jianwen & Wu, Ruijun & Li, Xin, 2025. "Intellectual property protection and capital allocation efficiency," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    16. Yang, Ranran & Tu, Yongqian & Shen, Yunqiao, 2025. "Can the degree of party membership among management enhance corporate innovation performance? The moderating role of technology finance," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    17. Douglas Kiarelly Godoy de Araujo & Nikola Bokan & Fabio Alberto Comazzi & Michele Lenza, 2025. "Word2Prices: embedding central bank communications for inflation prediction," BIS Working Papers 1253, Bank for International Settlements.
    18. Xiang, Junyi & Zhuo, Deming & Zhou, Yihan & Jia, Yundi & Zhao, Weichen, 2025. "Tax incentives and enterprise innovation path selection: evidence from China's R&D expense super deduction reform," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 85(PE).
    19. Niu, Yan & Du, Dan, 2025. "Do fiscal and tax policies promote the performance of equipment manufacturing enterprises?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    20. Kaminskas, Rokas & Jurkšas, Linas, 2024. "ECB communication sentiments: How do they relate to the economic environment and financial markets?," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:83:y:2025:i:c:s1544612325009614. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/frl .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.