IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/finlet/v55y2023ipbs1544612323003719.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The efficacy of a forward market for the agricultural sector in mitigating climate risk: A potential alternative to agricultural subsidies?

Author

Listed:
  • Nan, Qiuying
  • Sun, Mengchan
  • Nie, Jiajia
  • Yang, Rui
  • Wan, Lijuan

Abstract

This study evaluates the viability of forward markets as an alternative to agricultural subsidy policies under climate risks. We assessed the impact of three distinct strategies, cost subsidy, minimum price subsidy, and forward contracts on farmers, consumers, and society. The findings reveal that cost subsidies generate superior advantages for farmers and society when crop yield uncertainty is minimal. Conversely, farmers accrue greater benefits by leveraging forward contracts instead of relying on government subsidies. These results underscore the need for policymakers to design subsidy policies tailored to specific agricultural contexts to ensure optimal benefits for all stakeholders.

Suggested Citation

  • Nan, Qiuying & Sun, Mengchan & Nie, Jiajia & Yang, Rui & Wan, Lijuan, 2023. "The efficacy of a forward market for the agricultural sector in mitigating climate risk: A potential alternative to agricultural subsidies?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PB).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:55:y:2023:i:pb:s1544612323003719
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2023.103999
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1544612323003719
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.frl.2023.103999?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Duygu Akkaya & Kostas Bimpikis & Hau Lee, 2021. "Government Interventions to Promote Agricultural Innovation," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 23(2), pages 437-452, March.
    2. Feng Ma & Yaojie Zhang & M. I. M. Wahab & Xiaodong Lai, 2019. "The role of jumps in the agricultural futures market on forecasting stock market volatility: New evidence," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(5), pages 400-414, August.
    3. Lusheng Shao & Derui Wang & Xiaole Wu, 2022. "Competitive trading in forward and spot markets under yield uncertainty," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 31(9), pages 3400-3418, September.
    4. Wang, Xiaolin & Ye, Qiang & Zhao, Feng, 2016. "Trading activity and price behavior in Chinese agricultural futures markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 18(C), pages 52-59.
    5. Prashant Chintapalli & Christopher S. Tang, 2021. "The Value and Cost of Crop Minimum Support Price: Farmer and Consumer Welfare and Implementation Cost," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 67(11), pages 6839-6861, November.
    6. Harish Guda & Milind Dawande & Ganesh Janakiraman & Tharanga Rajapakshe, 2021. "An Economic Analysis of Agricultural Support Prices in Developing Economies," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 30(9), pages 3036-3053, September.
    7. Xiaoli L. Etienne & Mindy L. Mallory & Scott H. Irwin, 2017. "Estimating the cost of pre‐harvest forward contracting corn and soybeans in Illinois before and after 2007," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(3), pages 358-377, June.
    8. Lang, Qiaoqi & Ma, Feng & Mirza, Nawazish & Umar, Muhammad, 2023. "The interaction of climate risk and bank liquidity: An emerging market perspective for transitions to low carbon energy," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    9. Jana, Rabin K. & Ghosh, Indranil, 2023. "Time-varying relationship between geopolitical uncertainty and agricultural investment," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    10. Liang, Chao & Umar, Muhammad & Ma, Feng & Huynh, Toan L.D., 2022. "Climate policy uncertainty and world renewable energy index volatility forecasting," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).
    11. Feng, Yun & Yang, Jie & Huang, Qian, 2023. "Multiscale correlation analysis of Sino-US corn futures markets and the impact of international crude oil price: A new perspective from the multifractal method," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Geng, Jinqiang & Huo, Qingqing & Jia, Shanshan, 2023. "Parasitic Behavior and Separation Countermeasures in Large-scale Farming: Insights from Shijiazhuang, China," Research on World Agricultural Economy, Nan Yang Academy of Sciences Pte Ltd (NASS), vol. 4(4), October.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Wang, Fanyi & Ma, Wanying & Mirza, Nawazish & Altuntaş, Mehmet, 2023. "Green financing, financial uncertainty, geopolitical risk, and oil prices volatility," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    2. Pagare, Dewang & Biswas, Indranil & Agrahari, Amit & Ghosh, Sriparna, 2023. "A small farmer’s market choice in the presence of multiple markets: The Indian case," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 311(2), pages 739-753.
    3. Zhong, Ling & Nie, Jiajia & Yue, Xiaohang & Jin, Minyue, 2023. "Optimal design of agricultural insurance subsidies under the risk of extreme weather," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 263(C).
    4. Chintapalli, Prashant, 2023. "Optimal multi-period crop procurement and distribution policy with minimum support prices," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    5. Sushil Gupta & Hossein Rikhtehgar Berenji & Manish Shukla & Nagesh N. Murthy, 2023. "Opportunities in farming research from an operations management perspective," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 32(6), pages 1577-1596, June.
    6. Dan, Bin & Lei, Ting & Zhang, Xumei & Liu, Molin & Ma, Songxuan, 2023. "Modeling of the subsidy policy in fresh produce wholesale markets under yield uncertainty," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    7. Xiaolong Guo & Lihong Cheng & Yugang Yu, 2022. "Government subsidy policy for green and efficient raw materials considering farmer heterogeneity," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 31(11), pages 4095-4112, November.
    8. Prashant Chintapalli & Christopher S. Tang, 2022. "Crop minimum support price versus cost subsidy: Farmer and consumer welfare," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 31(4), pages 1753-1769, April.
    9. Peter Slade, 2021. "The impact of price hedging on subsidized insurance: Evidence from Canada," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 69(4), pages 447-464, December.
    10. Xie, Yutang & Cao, Yujia & Li, Xiaotao, 2023. "The importance of trade policy uncertainty to energy consumption in a changing world," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    11. Ding, Yuanyi, 2023. "Does natural resources cause sustainable financial development or resources curse? Evidence from group of seven economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    12. Harish Guda & Milind Dawande & Ganesh Janakiraman, 2021. "“Seemingly‐Beneficial” Interventions," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 30(10), pages 3337-3353, October.
    13. Luo, Qin & Bu, Jinfeng & Xu, Weiju & Huang, Dengshi, 2023. "Stock market volatility prediction: Evidence from a new bagging model," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 445-456.
    14. Yang, Xin & Wei, Luohan & Deng, Rantian & Cao, Jie & Huang, Chuangxia, 2023. "Can climate-related risks increase audit fees?–Evidence from China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    15. Zhang, Jiaming & Zou, Yang & Xiang, Yitian & Guo, Songlin, 2023. "Climate change and Japanese economic policy uncertainty: Asymmetric analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    16. Qiao, Gaoxiu & Jiang, Gongyue & Yang, Jiyu, 2022. "VIX term structure forecasting: New evidence based on the realized semi-variances," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    17. Chen, Yixiang & Ma, Feng & Zhang, Yaojie, 2019. "Good, bad cojumps and volatility forecasting: New evidence from crude oil and the U.S. stock markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 52-62.
    18. Cui, Yu & Khan, Sufyan Ullah & Sauer, Johannes & Kipperberg, Gorm & Zhao, Minjuan, 2023. "Agricultural carbon footprint, energy utilization and economic quality: What causes what, and where?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 278(PA).
    19. Shi, Ruoding & Isengildina Massa, Olga, 2022. "Costs of Futures Hedging in Corn and Soybean Markets," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 47(2), May.
    20. Jiqian Wang & Feng Ma & Chao Liang & Zhonglu Chen, 2022. "Volatility forecasting revisited using Markov‐switching with time‐varying probability transition," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 1387-1400, January.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:55:y:2023:i:pb:s1544612323003719. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/frl .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.