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An iterative approach for optimal decarbonization of electricity and heat supply systems in the Great Britain

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  • Haghi, Ehsan
  • Qadrdan, Meysam
  • Wu, Jianzhong
  • Jenkins, Nick
  • Fowler, Michael
  • Raahemifar, Kaamran

Abstract

The electrification of heat supply is a widely discussed strategy for decarbonizing the heat sector in the Great Britain (GB). This impacts the electricity load duration curve and affects the optimal mix of power generation technologies. Additionally, the price of electricity and the emission from the grid determine whether the electrified heat is cost-effective and low carbon. These interdependencies necessitate adopting an integrated approach for long term planning of heat and electricity supplies to ensure cost-effective decarbonization. In this work, we have developed an iterative approach for investigating optimal mix of technologies in electricity and heat sectors considering the interactions between these sectors. This approach was applied to GB as a case study. Firstly, the capacity and operation of various technologies for electricity generation were determined to supply electricity demand (including electricity demand for heating) with a minimum annualized cost. Then, using the levelized cost of electricity calculated in the power generation mix optimization problem, the optimal heat supply mix was determined through the minimization of annualized cost. The iterative optimization of electricity and heat was continued until an equilibrium was achieved. The results were compared with a centralized optimization model that heat and electricity supply problems are solved simultaneously.

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  • Haghi, Ehsan & Qadrdan, Meysam & Wu, Jianzhong & Jenkins, Nick & Fowler, Michael & Raahemifar, Kaamran, 2020. "An iterative approach for optimal decarbonization of electricity and heat supply systems in the Great Britain," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 201(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:201:y:2020:i:c:s0360544220307180
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2020.117611
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    2. Ning Ren & Xiufan Zhang & Decheng Fan, 2022. "Influencing Factors and Realization Path of Power Decarbonization—Based on Panel Data Analysis of 30 Provinces in China from 2011 to 2019," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(23), pages 1-24, November.
    3. Ian M. Trotter & Torjus F. Bolkesj{o} & Eirik O. J{aa}stad & Jon Gustav Kirkerud, 2021. "Increased Electrification of Heating and Weather Risk in the Nordic Power System," Papers 2112.02893, arXiv.org.
    4. Hannan, M.A. & Faisal, M. & Jern Ker, Pin & Begum, R.A. & Dong, Z.Y. & Zhang, C., 2020. "Review of optimal methods and algorithms for sizing energy storage systems to achieve decarbonization in microgrid applications," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    5. Ehsan, Ali & Preece, Robin, 2022. "Quantifying the impacts of heat decarbonisation pathways on the future electricity and gas demand," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 254(PA).
    6. Chen, Yi-kuang & Jensen, Ida Græsted & Kirkerud, Jon Gustav & Bolkesjø, Torjus Folsland, 2021. "Impact of fossil-free decentralized heating on northern European renewable energy deployment and the power system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 219(C).

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