IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/energy/v165y2018ipap53-62.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Effects of climate change on the health of citizens modelling urban weather and air pollution

Author

Listed:
  • San José, Roberto
  • Pérez, Juan Luis
  • Pérez, Libia
  • Gonzalez Barras, Rosa Maria

Abstract

A dynamical downscaling tool has been implemented to understand the impacts of global climate on citizens health. We have used the WRF-Chem mesoscale model (NOAA, USA) to produce information covering Europe with 25 km of spatial resolution and two nested domains with 5 km and 1 km of spatial resolution over London. Finally, detailed simulations are carried out using the MICROSYS-CFD model to take into account the effects of urban buildings on the urban atmosphere in the Kensington and Chelsea area. The tool produces very high spatial air quality and meteorological data (50 m) and also temporal resolution (1 h) to estimate health impacts in the short term, using exposure-response functions extracted from epidemiological studies. The comparison shows an acceptable agreement of the modelled data with the measurements. The effects on the health of citizens by temperature change in the future are more important than by changes in atmospheric pollutant concentrations. The maps show how the effects depend on the city's geometry and how the tool can highlight the most vulnerable areas to help to design plans and implement strategic measures to mitigate the effects of global climate change on people's health.

Suggested Citation

  • San José, Roberto & Pérez, Juan Luis & Pérez, Libia & Gonzalez Barras, Rosa Maria, 2018. "Effects of climate change on the health of citizens modelling urban weather and air pollution," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 165(PA), pages 53-62.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:165:y:2018:i:pa:p:53-62
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2018.09.088
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0360544218318528
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.energy.2018.09.088?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Achour, H. & Carton, J.G. & Olabi, A.G., 2011. "Estimating vehicle emissions from road transport, case study: Dublin City," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(5), pages 1957-1964, May.
    2. Young-Min Kim & Ying Zhou & Yang Gao & Joshua Fu & Brent Johnson & Cheng Huang & Yang Liu, 2015. "Spatially resolved estimation of ozone-related mortality in the United States under two representative concentration pathways (RCPs) and their uncertainty," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 128(1), pages 71-84, January.
    3. Detlef Vuuren & Jae Edmonds & Mikiko Kainuma & Keywan Riahi & Allison Thomson & Kathy Hibbard & George Hurtt & Tom Kram & Volker Krey & Jean-Francois Lamarque & Toshihiko Masui & Malte Meinshausen & N, 2011. "The representative concentration pathways: an overview," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 109(1), pages 5-31, November.
    4. Dong, C. & Huang, G.H. & Cai, Y.P. & Liu, Y., 2012. "An inexact optimization modeling approach for supporting energy systems planning and air pollution mitigation in Beijing city," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 673-688.
    5. Zhang, Shaohui & Worrell, Ernst & Crijns-Graus, Wina & Wagner, Fabian & Cofala, Janusz, 2014. "Co-benefits of energy efficiency improvement and air pollution abatement in the Chinese iron and steel industry," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 333-345.
    6. Keywan Riahi & Shilpa Rao & Volker Krey & Cheolhung Cho & Vadim Chirkov & Guenther Fischer & Georg Kindermann & Nebojsa Nakicenovic & Peter Rafaj, 2011. "RCP 8.5—A scenario of comparatively high greenhouse gas emissions," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 109(1), pages 33-57, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Julia Woodhall-Melnik & Caitlin Grogan, 2019. "Perceptions of Mental Health and Wellbeing Following Residential Displacement and Damage from the 2018 St. John River Flood," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(21), pages 1-18, October.
    2. Cao, Libin & Tang, Yiqi & Cai, Bofeng & Wu, Pengcheng & Zhang, Yansen & Zhang, Fengxue & Xin, Bo & Lv, Chen & Chen, Kai & Fang, Kai, 2021. "Was it better or worse? Simulating the environmental and health impacts of emissions trading scheme in Hubei province, China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    3. Bedi, Jatin & Toshniwal, Durga, 2021. "Can electricity demand lead to air pollution? A spatio-temporal analysis of electricity demand with climatic conditions," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    4. Anna Eknes Stagrum & Erlend Andenæs & Tore Kvande & Jardar Lohne, 2020. "Climate Change Adaptation Measures for Buildings—A Scoping Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(5), pages 1-18, February.
    5. Inha Oh & Wang-Jin Yoo & Yiseon Yoo, 2019. "Impact and Interactions of Policies for Mitigation of Air Pollutants and Greenhouse Gas Emissions in Korea," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(7), pages 1-17, March.
    6. Maximilian Ueberham & Uwe Schlink & Martin Dijst & Ulrike Weiland, 2019. "Cyclists’ Multiple Environmental Urban Exposures—Comparing Subjective and Objective Measurements," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-12, March.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Taylor, Chris & Cullen, Brendan & D'Occhio, Michael & Rickards, Lauren & Eckard, Richard, 2018. "Trends in wheat yields under representative climate futures: Implications for climate adaptation," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 1-10.
    2. Turner, Sean W.D. & Hejazi, Mohamad & Kim, Son H. & Clarke, Leon & Edmonds, Jae, 2017. "Climate impacts on hydropower and consequences for global electricity supply investment needs," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 141(C), pages 2081-2090.
    3. Teotónio, Carla & Fortes, Patrícia & Roebeling, Peter & Rodriguez, Miguel & Robaina-Alves, Margarita, 2017. "Assessing the impacts of climate change on hydropower generation and the power sector in Portugal: A partial equilibrium approach," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 788-799.
    4. Hem H Dholakia & Vimal Mishra & Amit Garg, 2015. "Predicted Increases in Heat related Mortality under Climate Change in Urban India," Working Papers id:7115, eSocialSciences.
    5. Zhang, Xiao & Li, Hong-Yi & Deng, Zhiqun D. & Leung, L. Ruby & Skalski, John R. & Cooke, Steven J., 2019. "On the variable effects of climate change on Pacific salmon," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 397(C), pages 95-106.
    6. Ritchie, Justin & Dowlatabadi, Hadi, 2017. "The 1000 GtC coal question: Are cases of vastly expanded future coal combustion still plausible?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 16-31.
    7. Underwood, Emma C. & Hollander, Allan D. & Safford, Hugh D. & Kim, John B. & Srivastava, Lorie & Drapek, Ray J., 2019. "The impacts of climate change on ecosystem services in southern California," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 39(C).
    8. Soares, Pedro M.M. & Lima, Daniela C.A. & Cardoso, Rita M. & Nascimento, Manuel L. & Semedo, Alvaro, 2017. "Western Iberian offshore wind resources: More or less in a global warming climate?," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 203(C), pages 72-90.
    9. Sawadogo, Windmanagda & Abiodun, Babatunde J. & Okogbue, Emmanuel C., 2020. "Impacts of global warming on photovoltaic power generation over West Africa," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 151(C), pages 263-277.
    10. Kang, Hyunwoo & Sridhar, Venkataramana & Mills, Bradford F. & Hession, W. Cully & Ogejo, Jactone A., 2019. "Economy-wide climate change impacts on green water droughts based on the hydrologic simulations," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 76-88.
    11. Matsumoto, Ken׳ichi & Andriosopoulos, Kostas, 2016. "Energy security in East Asia under climate mitigation scenarios in the 21st century," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 59(PA), pages 60-71.
    12. Correa, Diego F. & Beyer, Hawthorne L. & Possingham, Hugh P. & Fargione, Joseph E. & Hill, Jason D. & Schenk, Peer M., 2021. "Microalgal biofuel production at national scales: Reducing conflicts with agricultural lands and biodiversity within countries," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 215(PA).
    13. Fujimori, S. & Kainuma, M. & Masui, T. & Hasegawa, T. & Dai, H., 2014. "The effectiveness of energy service demand reduction: A scenario analysis of global climate change mitigation," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 379-391.
    14. Arango-Aramburo, Santiago & Turner, Sean W.D. & Daenzer, Kathryn & Ríos-Ocampo, Juan Pablo & Hejazi, Mohamad I. & Kober, Tom & Álvarez-Espinosa, Andrés C. & Romero-Otalora, Germán D. & van der Zwaan, , 2019. "Climate impacts on hydropower in Colombia: A multi-model assessment of power sector adaptation pathways," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 128(C), pages 179-188.
    15. Ritchie, Justin & Dowlatabadi, Hadi, 2017. "Why do climate change scenarios return to coal?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 140(P1), pages 1276-1291.
    16. Ward, James D. & Mohr, Steve H. & Myers, Baden R. & Nel, Willem P., 2012. "High estimates of supply constrained emissions scenarios for long-term climate risk assessment," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 598-604.
    17. Kleinwechter, Ulrich & Levesque, Antoine & Havlik, Petr & Forsell, Nicklas & Zhang, Yuquan & Fricko, Oliver & Obersteiner, Michael, 2015. "Global food efficiency of climate change mitigation in agriculture," 2015 Conference, August 9-14, 2015, Milan, Italy 212010, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    18. Fujii, Hidemichi & Managi, Shunsuke, 2013. "Which industry is greener? An empirical study of nine industries in OECD countries," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 381-388.
    19. Gupta, Rishabh & Mishra, Ashok, 2019. "Climate change induced impact and uncertainty of rice yield of agro-ecological zones of India," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 1-11.
    20. Cai, Yiyong & Newth, David & Finnigan, John & Gunasekera, Don, 2015. "A hybrid energy-economy model for global integrated assessment of climate change, carbon mitigation and energy transformation," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 381-395.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:165:y:2018:i:pa:p:53-62. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.