IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/energy/v114y2016icp405-417.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Robust energy storage scheduling for imbalance reduction of strategically formed energy balancing groups

Author

Listed:
  • Chakraborty, Shantanu
  • Okabe, Toshiya

Abstract

Imbalance (on-line energy gap between contracted supply and actual demand, and associated cost) reduction is going to be a crucial service for a Power Producer and Supplier (PPS) in the deregulated energy market. PPS requires forward market interactions to procure energy as precisely as possible in order to reduce imbalance energy. This paper presents, 1) (off-line) an effective demand aggregation based strategy for creating a number of balancing groups that leads to higher predictability of group-wise aggregated demand, 2) (on-line) a robust energy storage scheduling that minimizes the imbalance energy and cost of a particular balancing group considering the demand prediction uncertainty. The group formation is performed by a Probabilistic Programming approach using Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method after applied on the historical demand statistics. Apart from the group formation, the aggregation strategy (with the help of Bayesian Inference) also clears out the upper-limit of the required storage capacity for a formed group, fraction of which is to be utilized in on-line operation. For on-line operation, a robust energy storage scheduling method is proposed that minimizes expected imbalance energy and cost (a non-linear function of imbalance energy) while incorporating the demand uncertainty of a particular group. The proposed methods are applied on the real apartment buildings' demand data in Tokyo, Japan. Simulation results are presented to verify the effectiveness of the proposed methods.

Suggested Citation

  • Chakraborty, Shantanu & Okabe, Toshiya, 2016. "Robust energy storage scheduling for imbalance reduction of strategically formed energy balancing groups," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 405-417.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:114:y:2016:i:c:p:405-417
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2016.07.170
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0360544216311033
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.energy.2016.07.170?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Patil, Anand & Huard, David & Fonnesbeck, Christopher J., 2010. "PyMC: Bayesian Stochastic Modelling in Python," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 35(i04).
    2. Chicco, Gianfranco, 2012. "Overview and performance assessment of the clustering methods for electrical load pattern grouping," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 42(1), pages 68-80.
    3. Kjetil Høyland & Stein W. Wallace, 2001. "Generating Scenario Trees for Multistage Decision Problems," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 47(2), pages 295-307, February.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Ryusuke Konishi & Akiko Takeda & Masaki Takahashi, 2018. "Optimal Sizing of Energy Storage Systems for the Energy Procurement Problem in Multi-Period Markets under Uncertainties," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-19, January.
    2. Chakraborty, Shantanu & Baarslag, Tim & Kaisers, Michael, 2020. "Automated peer-to-peer negotiation for energy contract settlements in residential cooperatives," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 259(C).
    3. Hojnik, Jana & Ruzzier, Mitja & Fabri, Stephanie & Klopčič, Alenka Lena, 2021. "What you give is what you get: Willingness to pay for green energy," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 174(C), pages 733-746.
    4. Ondeck, Abigail D. & Edgar, Thomas F. & Baldea, Michael, 2018. "Impact of rooftop photovoltaics and centralized energy storage on the design and operation of a residential CHP system," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 222(C), pages 280-299.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Owadally, Iqbal & Jang, Chul & Clare, Andrew, 2021. "Optimal investment for a retirement plan with deferred annuities," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 51-62.
    2. Liu, Pei-chen Barry & Hansen, Mark & Mukherjee, Avijit, 2008. "Scenario-based air traffic flow management: From theory to practice," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 42(7-8), pages 685-702, August.
    3. Gulpinar, Nalan & Rustem, Berc & Settergren, Reuben, 2004. "Simulation and optimization approaches to scenario tree generation," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 28(7), pages 1291-1315, April.
    4. Bruzzone, Octavio A. & Logarzo, Guillermo A. & Aguirre, María B. & Virla, Eduardo G., 2018. "Intra-host interspecific larval parasitoid competition solved using modelling and bayesian statistics," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 385(C), pages 114-123.
    5. Liu, Xiaoqi & Lee, Seungjae & Bilionis, Ilias & Karava, Panagiota & Joe, Jaewan & Sadeghi, Seyed Amir, 2021. "A user-interactive system for smart thermal environment control in office buildings," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 298(C).
    6. Andrew Gelman & Daniel Lee & Jiqiang Guo, 2015. "Stan," Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, , vol. 40(5), pages 530-543, October.
    7. Xavier Serrano-Guerrero & Guillermo Escrivá-Escrivá & Santiago Luna-Romero & Jean-Michel Clairand, 2020. "A Time-Series Treatment Method to Obtain Electrical Consumption Patterns for Anomalies Detection Improvement in Electrical Consumption Profiles," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-23, February.
    8. Tanaka, Ken'ichiro & Toda, Alexis Akira, 2015. "Discretizing Distributions with Exact Moments: Error Estimate and Convergence Analysis," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series qt7g23r5kh, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
    9. Wu, Dexiang & Wu, Desheng Dash, 2020. "A decision support approach for two-stage multi-objective index tracking using improved lagrangian decomposition," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    10. Murat Köksalan & Ceren Tuncer Şakar, 2016. "An interactive approach to stochastic programming-based portfolio optimization," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 245(1), pages 47-66, October.
    11. D. Kuhn, 2009. "Convergent Bounds for Stochastic Programs with Expected Value Constraints," Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, Springer, vol. 141(3), pages 597-618, June.
    12. Zhou, Kaile & Yang, Changhui & Shen, Jianxin, 2017. "Discovering residential electricity consumption patterns through smart-meter data mining: A case study from China," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 73-84.
    13. Sadeghianpourhamami, N. & Demeester, T. & Benoit, D.F. & Strobbe, M. & Develder, C., 2016. "Modeling and analysis of residential flexibility: Timing of white good usage," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 179(C), pages 790-805.
    14. Capozzoli, Alfonso & Piscitelli, Marco Savino & Brandi, Silvio & Grassi, Daniele & Chicco, Gianfranco, 2018. "Automated load pattern learning and anomaly detection for enhancing energy management in smart buildings," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 157(C), pages 336-352.
    15. Rongheng Lin & Budan Wu & Yun Su, 2018. "An Adaptive Weighted Pearson Similarity Measurement Method for Load Curve Clustering," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-17, September.
    16. Hongling, Liu & Chuanwen, Jiang & Yan, Zhang, 2008. "A review on risk-constrained hydropower scheduling in deregulated power market," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 12(5), pages 1465-1475, June.
    17. Min, Daiki & Chung, Jaewoo, 2013. "Evaluation of the long-term power generation mix: The case study of South Korea's energy policy," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 1544-1552.
    18. Ferstl, Robert & Weissensteiner, Alex, 2011. "Asset-liability management under time-varying investment opportunities," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 182-192, January.
    19. Balibek, Emre & Köksalan, Murat, 2010. "A multi-objective multi-period stochastic programming model for public debt management," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 205(1), pages 205-217, August.
    20. Kwonsik Song & Kyle Anderson & SangHyun Lee & Kaitlin T. Raimi & P. Sol Hart, 2020. "Non-Invasive Behavioral Reference Group Categorization Considering Temporal Granularity and Aggregation Level of Energy Use Data," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(14), pages 1-21, July.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:114:y:2016:i:c:p:405-417. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.