IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/eneeco/v96y2021ics0140988321000645.html

The effects of wind power on electricity markets: A case study of the Swedish intraday market

Author

Listed:
  • Hu, Xiao
  • Jaraitė, Jūratė
  • Kažukauskas, Andrius

Abstract

We investigate the process of electricity price formation in the Swedish intraday market, given a large share of wind power in the Swedish electricity system. According to Karanfil and Li's (2017) approach, if the intraday market is efficient, with large shares of intermittent electricity in the entire electricity system, intraday prices should send signals based on scarcity pricing for balancing power. Based on this theory, we analyze Swedish electricity market data for the period 2015–2018 and find that the Swedish intraday market, despite its small trading volumes, is functioning properly. In particular, our results show that intraday price premia mostly respond to wind power forecast errors and other imbalances resulting from either supply or demand sides of the electricity market, as they should if the intraday market is efficient. The results of wind power forecast errors hold for central and southern Sweden, but not for northern Sweden where the share of wind power production is still very small. However, we find no effect of unplanned nuclear power plant outages on intraday price premia.

Suggested Citation

  • Hu, Xiao & Jaraitė, Jūratė & Kažukauskas, Andrius, 2021. "The effects of wind power on electricity markets: A case study of the Swedish intraday market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:eneeco:v:96:y:2021:i:c:s0140988321000645
    DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2021.105159
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0140988321000645
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.eneco.2021.105159?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. repec:aen:journl:ej35-1-06 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Chaves-Ávila, J.P. & Fernandes, C., 2015. "The Spanish intraday market design: A successful solution to balance renewable generation?," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 422-432.
    3. Pesaran, H. Hashem & Shin, Yongcheol, 1998. "Generalized impulse response analysis in linear multivariate models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(1), pages 17-29, January.
    4. Thomas P. Tangerås & Johannes Mauritzen, 2018. "Real‐time versus day‐ahead market power in a hydro‐based electricity market," Journal of Industrial Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 66(4), pages 904-941, December.
    5. Fatih Karanfil & Yuanjing Li, 2017. "The Role of Continuous Intraday Electricity Markets: The Integration of Large-Share Wind Power Generation in Denmark," Post-Print hal-01589279, HAL.
    6. Fatih Karanfil and Yuanjing Li, 2017. "The Role of Continuous Intraday Electricity Markets: The Integration of Large-Share Wind Power Generation in Denmark," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 2).
    7. Scharff, Richard & Amelin, Mikael, 2016. "Trading behaviour on the continuous intraday market Elbas," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 544-557.
    8. Woo, C.K. & Moore, J. & Schneiderman, B. & Ho, T. & Olson, A. & Alagappan, L. & Chawla, K. & Toyama, N. & Zarnikau, J., 2016. "Merit-order effects of renewable energy and price divergence in California’s day-ahead and real-time electricity markets," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 299-312.
    9. Koichiro Ito & Mar Reguant, 2016. "Sequential Markets, Market Power, and Arbitrage," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 106(7), pages 1921-1957, July.
    10. Whitney Newey & Kenneth West, 2014. "A simple, positive semi-definite, heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation consistent covariance matrix," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 33(1), pages 125-132.
    11. Granger, C W J, 1969. "Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-Spectral Methods," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 37(3), pages 424-438, July.
    12. repec:aen:journl:ej36-4-mauritzen is not listed on IDEAS
    13. Paul L Joskow, 2019. "Challenges for wholesale electricity markets with intermittent renewable generation at scale: the US experience," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 35(2), pages 291-331.
    14. Sean Becketti, 2013. "Introduction to Time Series Using Stata," Stata Press books, StataCorp LLC, number itsus, March.
    15. Weber, Christoph, 2010. "Adequate intraday market design to enable the integration of wind energy into the European power systems," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(7), pages 3155-3163, July.
    16. Chaves-Ávila, José Pablo & Hakvoort, Rudi A. & Ramos, Andrés, 2013. "Short-term strategies for Dutch wind power producers to reduce imbalance costs," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 573-582.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Janczura, Joanna & Wójcik, Edyta, 2022. "Dynamic short-term risk management strategies for the choice of electricity market based on probabilistic forecasts of profit and risk measures. The German and the Polish market case study," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    2. Waterson, Michael & Trujillo- Baute, Elisa & Giulietti, Monica, 2022. "Intermittency and the social role of storage," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 165(C).
    3. Li, Yanxue & Xie, Yun & Zhang, Xiaoyi & Xiao, Fu & Gao, Weijun, 2024. "Grid variability and value assessment of long-duration energy storage under rising photovoltaic penetration: Evidence from Japan," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 307(C).
    4. Hohl, Cody & Lo Prete, Chiara & Radhakrishnan, Ashish & Webster, Mort, 2023. "Intraday markets, wind integration and uplift payments in a regional U.S. power system," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 175(C).
    5. Hakan Acaroğlu & Fausto Pedro García Márquez, 2021. "Comprehensive Review on Electricity Market Price and Load Forecasting Based on Wind Energy," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(22), pages 1-23, November.
    6. Henrik Zsiborács & Gábor Pintér & András Vincze & Nóra Hegedűsné Baranyai, 2022. "Wind Power Generation Scheduling Accuracy in Europe: An Overview of ENTSO-E Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(24), pages 1-58, December.
    7. Nickelsen, Daniel & Müller, Gernot, 2025. "Bayesian hierarchical probabilistic forecasting of intraday electricity prices," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 380(C).
    8. Younes Zahraoui & Tarmo Korõtko & Argo Rosin & Hannes Agabus, 2023. "Market Mechanisms and Trading in Microgrid Local Electricity Markets: A Comprehensive Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(5), pages 1-52, February.
    9. Jun Dong & Dongran Liu & Xihao Dou & Bo Li & Shiyao Lv & Yuzheng Jiang & Tongtao Ma, 2021. "Key Issues and Technical Applications in the Study of Power Markets as the System Adapts to the New Power System in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(23), pages 1-29, December.
    10. Marko Lucic & George Xydis, 2025. "Performance of the autoregressive integrated moving average model with exogenous variables statistical model on the intraday market for the Denmark-West bidding area," Energy & Environment, , vol. 36(4), pages 1714-1750, June.
    11. Bâra, Adela & Georgescu, Irina Alexandra & Oprea, Simona-Vasilica, 2025. "The role of generation mix, demand fluctuations and sequential markets in shaping intraday electricity prices. Evidence from Romania," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 255(C).
    12. Carrión, Miguel & Domínguez, Ruth & Oggioni, Giorgia, 2025. "Optimal participation of wind power producers in a hybrid intraday market: A multi-stage stochastic approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Spodniak, Petr & Ollikka, Kimmo & Honkapuro, Samuli, 2019. "The Relevance of Wholesale Electricity Market Places: The Nordic Case," Working Papers 126, VATT Institute for Economic Research.
    2. Spodniak, Petr & Ollikka, Kimmo & Honkapuro, Samuli, 2021. "The impact of wind power and electricity demand on the relevance of different short-term electricity markets: The Nordic case," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 283(C).
    3. repec:aen:journl:ej38-2-li is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Hohl, Cody & Lo Prete, Chiara & Radhakrishnan, Ashish & Webster, Mort, 2023. "Intraday markets, wind integration and uplift payments in a regional U.S. power system," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 175(C).
    5. Brijs, Tom & De Jonghe, Cedric & Hobbs, Benjamin F. & Belmans, Ronnie, 2017. "Interactions between the design of short-term electricity markets in the CWE region and power system flexibility," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 195(C), pages 36-51.
    6. Hu, Jing & Harmsen, Robert & Crijns-Graus, Wina & Worrell, Ernst & van den Broek, Machteld, 2018. "Identifying barriers to large-scale integration of variable renewable electricity into the electricity market: A literature review of market design," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 81(P2), pages 2181-2195.
    7. Andreas Knaut & Martin Paschmann, 2017. "Decoding Restricted Participation in Sequential Electricity Markets," EWI Working Papers 2017-5, Energiewirtschaftliches Institut an der Universitaet zu Koeln (EWI).
    8. Jian Yang & R. Brian Balyeat & David J. Leatham, 2005. "Futures Trading Activity and Commodity Cash Price Volatility," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(1‐2), pages 297-323, January.
    9. Ocker, Fabian & Jaenisch, Vincent, 2020. "The way towards European electricity intraday auctions – Status quo and future developments," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    10. Tirunillai, S. & Tellis, G.J., 2011. "Does Online Chatter Really Matter? Dynamics of User-Generated Content and Stock Performance," ERIM Report Series Research in Management 25817, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus University Rotterdam.
    11. Pape, Christian, 2018. "The impact of intraday markets on the market value of flexibility — Decomposing effects on profile and the imbalance costs," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 186-201.
    12. Andreas Brunhart, 2017. "Are Microstates Necessarily Led by Their Bigger Neighbors’ Business Cycle? The Case of Liechtenstein and Switzerland," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 13(1), pages 29-52, May.
    13. Seshadri Tirunillai & Gerard J. Tellis, 2012. "Does Chatter Really Matter? Dynamics of User-Generated Content and Stock Performance," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 31(2), pages 198-215, March.
    14. Christian Pape, 2017. "The impact of intraday markets on the market value of flexibility–Decomposing effects on profile and the imbalance costs," EWL Working Papers 1711, University of Duisburg-Essen, Chair for Management Science and Energy Economics, revised Dec 2017.
    15. Chien-Chiang Lee & Chun-Ping Chang, 2006. "The Long-Run Relationship Between Defence Expenditures And Gdp In Taiwan," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(4), pages 361-385.
    16. Ioannis Boukas & Damien Ernst & Thibaut Th'eate & Adrien Bolland & Alexandre Huynen & Martin Buchwald & Christelle Wynants & Bertrand Corn'elusse, 2020. "A Deep Reinforcement Learning Framework for Continuous Intraday Market Bidding," Papers 2004.05940, arXiv.org.
    17. Joos, Michael & Staffell, Iain, 2018. "Short-term integration costs of variable renewable energy: Wind curtailment and balancing in Britain and Germany," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 45-65.
    18. Marta Gómez-Puig & Mary Pieterse-Bloem & Simón Sosvilla-Rivero, 2022. ""Dynamic connectedness between credit and liquidity risks in EMU sovereign debt markets"," IREA Working Papers 202217, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Oct 2022.
    19. Stéphane Goutte & David Guerreiro & Bilel Sanhaji & Sophie Saglio & Julien Chevallier, 2019. "International Financial Markets," Post-Print halshs-02183053, HAL.
    20. Hakan Acaroğlu & Fausto Pedro García Márquez, 2021. "Comprehensive Review on Electricity Market Price and Load Forecasting Based on Wind Energy," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(22), pages 1-23, November.
    21. Besma Hkiri & Juncal Cunado & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Time-varying relationship between conventional and unconventional monetary policies and risk aversion: international evidence from time- and frequency-domains," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(6), pages 2963-2983, December.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • P18 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Capitalist Economies - - - Energy; Environment
    • Q40 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - General
    • Q41 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Demand and Supply; Prices

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:eneeco:v:96:y:2021:i:c:s0140988321000645. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/eneco .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.