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Robust multi-period portfolio selection based on downside risk with asymmetrically distributed uncertainty set

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  • Ling, Aifan
  • Sun, Jie
  • Wang, Meihua

Abstract

Motivated by the asymmetrical attitudes of investors towards downside losses and upside gains, this paper proposes a robust multi-period portfolio selection model based on downside risk with asymmetrically distributed uncertainty set, in which the downside losses of a portfolio are controlled by the lower partial moment (LPM). A computationally tractable approximation approach based on second-order cone optimization is used for solving the proposed model. We show in theory that the optimal solution of the robust model can generate a given probability guarantee for individual and joint stochastic constraints. The effect of the asymmetrically distributed uncertainty set on performance of the optimal solution is analyzed by the usual comparative static method. Comprehensive numerical comparisons with real market data are reported and indicate that the proposed model can obtain the smaller standard deviation and turnover ratios which reduce the Sharpe ratios of optimal portfolio, compared with some well-known models in the literature.

Suggested Citation

  • Ling, Aifan & Sun, Jie & Wang, Meihua, 2020. "Robust multi-period portfolio selection based on downside risk with asymmetrically distributed uncertainty set," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 285(1), pages 81-95.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ejores:v:285:y:2020:i:1:p:81-95
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2019.01.012
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    5. de Oliveira, Glauber Cardoso & Bertone, Edoardo & Stewart, Rodney A., 2022. "Challenges, opportunities, and strategies for undertaking integrated precinct-scale energy–water system planning," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
    6. Anna Rutkowska-Ziarko & Lesław Markowski, 2022. "Accounting and Market Risk Measures of Polish Energy Companies," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-21, March.
    7. Pejman Peykani & Mojtaba Nouri & Mir Saman Pishvaee & Camelia Oprean-Stan & Emran Mohammadi, 2023. "Credibilistic Multi-Period Mean-Entropy Rolling Portfolio Optimization Problem Based on Multi-Stage Scenario Tree," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(18), pages 1-23, September.
    8. Małgorzata Tarczynska-Luniewska & Iwona Bak & Uma Shankar Singh & Guru Ashish Singh, 2022. "Economic Crisis Impact Assessment and Risk Exposure Evaluation of Selected Energy Sector Companies from Bombay Stock Exchange," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-25, November.
    9. Liu, Weilong & Zhang, Yong & Liu, Kailong & Quinn, Barry & Yang, Xingyu & Peng, Qiao, 2023. "Evolutionary multi-objective optimisation for large-scale portfolio selection with both random and uncertain returns," QBS Working Paper Series 2023/02, Queen's University Belfast, Queen's Business School.
    10. Rutkowska-Ziarko, Anna & Markowski, Lesław & Pyke, Christopher & Amin, Saqib, 2022. "Conventional and downside CAPM: The case of London stock exchange," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
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    12. Ashrafi, Hedieh & Thiele, Aurélie C., 2021. "A study of robust portfolio optimization with European options using polyhedral uncertainty sets," Operations Research Perspectives, Elsevier, vol. 8(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Risk management; Robust portfolio optimization; Lower partial moment; Asymmetric uncertainty set; Multi-period portfolio selection;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions

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