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On the fallacy of averages in project risk management

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  • Elmaghraby, Salah E.

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  • Elmaghraby, Salah E., 2005. "On the fallacy of averages in project risk management," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 165(2), pages 307-313, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ejores:v:165:y:2005:i:2:p:307-313
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. V. Krishnan & Karl T. Ulrich, 2001. "Product Development Decisions: A Review of the Literature," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 47(1), pages 1-21, January.
    2. Shantanu Bhattacharya & V. Krishnan & Vijay Mahajan, 1998. "Managing New Product Definition in Highly Dynamic Environments," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 44(11-Part-2), pages 50-64, November.
    3. Herroelen, Willy & Leus, Roel, 2004. "The construction of stable project baseline schedules," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 156(3), pages 550-565, August.
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    Cited by:

    1. Zhang, Jingwen & Elmaghraby, Salah E., 2014. "The relevance of the “alphorn of uncertainty” to the financial management of projects under uncertainty," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 238(1), pages 65-76.
    2. Wiesemann, Wolfram & Kuhn, Daniel & Rustem, Berç, 2010. "Maximizing the net present value of a project under uncertainty," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 202(2), pages 356-367, April.
    3. Sobel, Matthew J. & Szmerekovsky, Joseph G. & Tilson, Vera, 2009. "Scheduling projects with stochastic activity duration to maximize expected net present value," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 198(3), pages 697-705, November.
    4. Godinho, Pedro & Branco, Fernando G., 2012. "Adaptive policies for multi-mode project scheduling under uncertainty," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 216(3), pages 553-562.
    5. Azaron, Amir & Fatemi Ghomi, S.M.T., 2008. "Lower bound for the mean project completion time in dynamic PERT networks," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 186(1), pages 120-127, April.
    6. KIlIç, Murat & Ulusoy, Gündüz & Serifoglu, Funda Sivrikaya, 2008. "A bi-objective genetic algorithm approach to risk mitigation in project scheduling," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(1), pages 202-216, March.
    7. Trietsch, Dan & Mazmanyan, Lilit & Gevorgyan, Lilit & Baker, Kenneth R., 2012. "Modeling activity times by the Parkinson distribution with a lognormal core: Theory and validation," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 216(2), pages 386-396.

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