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Partial identification and inference in moment models with incomplete data

Author

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  • Fan, Yanqin
  • Shi, Xuetao
  • Tao, Jing

Abstract

In this paper, we develop asymptotically valid inference in moment equality models with incomplete data, where the sample information is insufficient to identify the joint distribution of all the variables in the model. Examples of such models include the selection-on-observables framework, the counterfactual distribution, and parametric regressions with incomplete data. In the first two examples, the parameter of interest includes the values of the distribution and quantile functions of the individual treatment effect and the correlation coefficient of the potential outcomes. We show that the parameter of interest satisfies a semiparametric moment equality model with both point identified nuisance parameters and a partially identified copula function. We construct an asymptotically valid confidence set for the parameter of interest taking account of shape restrictions on the copula function. The critical value is constructed via a multiplier bootstrap. A simulation study is conducted to illustrate the finite sample performance of our inference procedure.

Suggested Citation

  • Fan, Yanqin & Shi, Xuetao & Tao, Jing, 2023. "Partial identification and inference in moment models with incomplete data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 418-443.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:econom:v:235:y:2023:i:2:p:418-443
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2022.04.009
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Daniel Ober-Reynolds, 2023. "Estimating Functionals of the Joint Distribution of Potential Outcomes with Optimal Transport," Papers 2311.09435, arXiv.org.
    2. Isaac Loh, 2024. "Inference under partial identification with minimax test statistics," Papers 2401.13057, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2024.
    3. Alfred Galichon & Marc Henry, 2026. "An econometrician's guide to optimal transport," Papers 2604.04227, arXiv.org.
    4. Ertian Chen, 2025. "Robust Structural Estimation under Misspecified Latent-State Dynamics," Papers 2510.22347, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2025.

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    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • C31 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models; Quantile Regressions; Social Interaction Models

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