Stochastic properties of nonlinear locally-nonstationary filters
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2022.10.010
Download full text from publisher
As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.
References listed on IDEAS
- Peter C. B. Phillips & Shuping Shi & Jun Yu, 2015.
"Testing For Multiple Bubbles: Historical Episodes Of Exuberance And Collapse In The S&P 500,"
International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 56(4), pages 1043-1078, November.
- Peter C. B. Phillips & Shu-Ping Shi & Jun Yu, 2013. "Testing for Multiple Bubbles 1: Historical Episodes of Exuberance and Collapse in the S&P 500," Working Papers 04-2013, Singapore Management University, School of Economics.
- Peter C.B. Phillips & Shu-Ping Shi & Jun Yu, 2013. "Testing for Multiple Bubbles: Historical Episodes of Exuberance and Collapse in the S&P 500," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1914, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
- Creal, Drew & Koopman, Siem Jan & Lucas, André, 2011.
"A Dynamic Multivariate Heavy-Tailed Model for Time-Varying Volatilities and Correlations,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 29(4), pages 552-563.
- Drew Creal & Siem Jan Koopman & André Lucas, 2011. "A Dynamic Multivariate Heavy-Tailed Model for Time-Varying Volatilities and Correlations," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(4), pages 552-563, October.
- Drew Creal & Siem Jan Koopman & André Lucas, 2010. "A Dynamic Multivariate Heavy-Tailed Model for Time-Varying Volatilities and Correlations," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 10-032/2, Tinbergen Institute.
- Araujo, Claudio & Araujo-Bonjean, Catherine & Brunelin, Stéphanie, 2012.
"Alert at Maradi: Preventing Food Crises by Using Price Signals,"
World Development, Elsevier, vol. 40(9), pages 1882-1894.
- Claudio Araujo & Catherine Araujo Bonjean & Stéphanie Brunelin, 2012. "Alert at Maradi: Preventing Food Crises by Using Price Signals," Post-Print halshs-00714092, HAL.
- Peter C. B. Phillips & Yangru Wu & Jun Yu, 2011.
"EXPLOSIVE BEHAVIOR IN THE 1990s NASDAQ: WHEN DID EXUBERANCE ESCALATE ASSET VALUES?,"
International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 52(1), pages 201-226, February.
- Peter C. B. Phillips & Yangru Wu & Jun Yu, 2007. "Explosive Behavior in the 1990s Nasdaq: When Did Exuberance Escalate Asset Values?," Working Papers 222007, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
- Peter C.B. PHILIPS & Yangru WU & Jun YU, 2009. "Explosive Behavior in the 1990s Nasdaq: When Did Exuberance Escalate Asset Values?," Working Papers 19-2009, Singapore Management University, School of Economics.
- Peter C.B. Phillips & Yangru Wu & Jun Yu, 2009. "Explosive Behavior in the 1990s Nasdaq: When Did Exuberance Escalate Asset Values?," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1699, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
- Peter C.B.Phillips & Yangru Wu & Jun Yu, 2009. "Explosive Behavior in the 1990s Nasdaq: When Did Exuberance Escalate Asset Values?," Working Papers CoFie-03-2008, Singapore Management University, Sim Kee Boon Institute for Financial Economics.
- Peter C.B. Philips & Yangru Wu & Jun Yu, 2009. "Explosive Behavior in the 1990s Nasdaq : When Did Exuberance Escalate Asset Values?," Finance Working Papers 23050, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research.
- Saidi, Youssef & Zakoian, Jean-Michel, 2006. "Stationarity and geometric ergodicity of a class of nonlinear ARCH models," MPRA Paper 61988, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2006.
- Peter C. B. Phillips & Shuping Shi & Jun Yu, 2015.
"Testing For Multiple Bubbles: Historical Episodes Of Exuberance And Collapse In The S&P 500,"
International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 56, pages 1043-1078, November.
- Peter C. B. Phillips & Shu-Ping Shi & Jun Yu, 2013. "Testing for Multiple Bubbles 1: Historical Episodes of Exuberance and Collapse in the S&P 500," Working Papers 04-2013, Singapore Management University, School of Economics.
- Peter C.B. Phillips & Shu-Ping Shi & Jun Yu, 2013. "Testing for Multiple Bubbles: Historical Episodes of Exuberance and Collapse in the S&P 500," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1914, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
- Michele Caivano & Andrew Harvey, 2014.
"Time-series models with an EGB2 conditional distribution,"
Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(6), pages 558-571, November.
- M. Caivano & A. Harvey, 2013. "Time series models with an EGB2 conditional distribution," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1325, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Michele Caivano & Andrew Harvey, 2014. "Time series models with an EGB2 conditional distribution," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 947, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Zakoian, Jean-Michel, 1994. "Threshold heteroskedastic models," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 18(5), pages 931-955, September.
- Blasques, Francisco & Koopman, Siem Jan & Nientker, Marc, 2022.
"A time-varying parameter model for local explosions,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 227(1), pages 65-84.
- Francisco (F.) Blasques & Siem Jan (S.J.) Koopman & Marc Nientker, 2018. "A Time-Varying Parameter Model for Local Explosions," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 18-088/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Fries, Sébastien & Zakoian, Jean-Michel, 2019.
"Mixed Causal-Noncausal Ar Processes And The Modelling Of Explosive Bubbles,"
Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 35(6), pages 1234-1270, December.
- Fries, Sébastien & Zakoian, Jean-Michel, 2017. "Mixed Causal-Noncausal AR Processes and the Modelling of Explosive Bubbles," MPRA Paper 81345, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Engle, Robert F & Ng, Victor K, 1993.
"Measuring and Testing the Impact of News on Volatility,"
Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 48(5), pages 1749-1778, December.
- Robert F. Engle & Victor K. Ng, 1991. "Measuring and Testing the Impact of News on Volatility," NBER Working Papers 3681, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Michele Caivano & Andrew Harvey & Alessandra Luati, 2016. "Robust time series models with trend and seasonal components," SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, vol. 7(1), pages 99-120, March.
- Drew Creal & Siem Jan Koopman & André Lucas, 2013. "Generalized Autoregressive Score Models With Applications," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(5), pages 777-795, August.
- Christian Gourieroux & Joann Jasiak, 2016. "Filtering, Prediction and Simulation Methods for Noncausal Processes," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(3), pages 405-430, May.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Blasques, Francisco & Koopman, Siem Jan & Nientker, Marc, 2022.
"A time-varying parameter model for local explosions,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 227(1), pages 65-84.
- Francisco (F.) Blasques & Siem Jan (S.J.) Koopman & Marc Nientker, 2018. "A Time-Varying Parameter Model for Local Explosions," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 18-088/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Francisco Blasques & Siem Jan Koopman & Gabriele Mingoli, 2023. "Observation-Driven filters for Time-Series with Stochastic Trends and Mixed Causal Non-Causal Dynamics," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 23-065/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Francisco (F.) Blasques & Marc Nientker, 2017. "A Stochastic Recurrence Equation Approach to Stationarity and phi-Mixing of a Class of Nonlinear ARCH Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 17-072/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Xuanling Yang & Dong Li & Ting Zhang, 2024. "A simple stochastic nonlinear AR model with application to bubble," Papers 2401.07038, arXiv.org.
- Fries, Sébastien, 2018. "Conditional moments of noncausal alpha-stable processes and the prediction of bubble crash odds," MPRA Paper 97353, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Nov 2019.
- Bogdan, Dima & Ştefana Maria, Dima & Roxana, Ioan, 2022. "A Value-at-Risk forecastability indicator in the framework of a Generalized Autoregressive Score with “Asymmetric Laplace Distribution”," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
- Catania, Leopoldo & Proietti, Tommaso, 2020.
"Forecasting volatility with time-varying leverage and volatility of volatility effects,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(4), pages 1301-1317.
- Leopoldo Catania & Tommaso Proietti, 2019. "Forecasting Volatility with Time-Varying Leverage and Volatility of Volatility Effects," CEIS Research Paper 450, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 06 Feb 2019.
- Christian Gourieroux & Andrew Hencic & Joann Jasiak, 2021. "Forecast performance and bubble analysis in noncausal MAR(1, 1) processes," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(2), pages 301-326, March.
- Alain Hecq & Elisa Voisin, 2023.
"Predicting Crashes in Oil Prices During The Covid-19 Pandemic with Mixed Causal-Noncausal Models,"
Advances in Econometrics, in: Essays in Honor of Joon Y. Park: Econometric Methodology in Empirical Applications, volume 45, pages 209-233,
Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
- Alain Hecq & Elisa Voisin, 2019. "Predicting crashes in oil prices during the COVID-19 pandemic with mixed causal-noncausal models," Papers 1911.10916, arXiv.org, revised May 2022.
- Michele Caivano & Andrew Harvey, 2014.
"Time-series models with an EGB2 conditional distribution,"
Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(6), pages 558-571, November.
- M. Caivano & A. Harvey, 2013. "Time series models with an EGB2 conditional distribution," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1325, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Michele Caivano & Andrew Harvey, 2014. "Time series models with an EGB2 conditional distribution," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 947, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Efthymios Pavlidis & Alisa Yusupova & Ivan Paya & David Peel & Enrique Martínez-García & Adrienne Mack & Valerie Grossman, 2016.
"Episodes of Exuberance in Housing Markets: In Search of the Smoking Gun,"
The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 53(4), pages 419-449, November.
- Valerie Grossman & Adrienne Mack & Enrique Martinez-Garcia & Efthymios Pavlidis & Ivan Paya & David Peel & Alisa Yusupova, 2013. "Episodes of Exuberance in Housing Markets: In Search of the Smoking Gun," Globalization Institute Working Papers 165, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Esteve, Vicente & Prats, María A., 2023. "Testing explosive bubbles with time-varying volatility: the case of Spanish public debt," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 116980, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Potrykus, Marcin, 2022. "Diamond investments – Is the market free from multiple price bubbles?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
- Hecq, Alain & Voisin, Elisa, 2021.
"Forecasting bubbles with mixed causal-noncausal autoregressive models,"
Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 29-45.
- Voisin, Elisa & Hecq, Alain, 2019. "Forecasting bubbles with mixed causal-noncausal autoregressive models," MPRA Paper 92734, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Michaelides, Panayotis G. & Tsionas, Efthymios G. & Konstantakis, Konstantinos N., 2016. "Non-linearities in financial bubbles: Theory and Bayesian evidence from S&P500," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 61-70.
- Yang, Hui & Ferrer, Román, 2023. "Explosive behavior in the Chinese stock market: A sectoral analysis," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
- Haykir, Ozkan & Yagli, Ibrahim & Aktekin Gok, Emine Dilara & Budak, Hilal, 2022. "Oil price explosivity and stock return: Do sector and firm size matter?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
- Li, Zheng-Zheng & Su, Chi-Wei & Chang, Tsangyao & Lobonţ, Oana-Ramona, 2022. "Policy-driven or market-driven? Evidence from steam coal price bubbles in China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
- Blasques, Francisco & Ji, Jiangyu & Lucas, André, 2016. "Semiparametric score driven volatility models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 58-69.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2021.
"Simple tests for stock return predictability with good size and power properties,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 224(1), pages 198-214.
- Harvey, David I & Leybourne, Stephen J & Taylor, AM Robert, 2021. "Simple Tests for Stock Return Predictability with Good Size and Power Properties," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers 29814, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
More about this item
Keywords
Time-series Analysis; Filtering techniques; Locally non stationary filters;All these keywords.
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:econom:v:235:y:2023:i:2:p:2082-2095. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/jeconom .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.