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Estimation of dynamic panel spatial vector autoregression: Stability and spatial multivariate cointegration

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  • Yang, Kai
  • Lee, Lung-fei

Abstract

This paper introduces dynamic panel spatial vector autoregressive models. We study features of dynamics and spatial interactions that an SVAR model can generate and classify the model into stable or unstable cases by partitioning parameter spaces. For stable, spatial cointegration, and mixed cointegration cases, we investigate identification and QML estimation of the models to take into account simultaneity and correlated relationships. Asymptotic properties and bias-corrected estimators are presented. To detect unknown cointegration relationships, we introduce a sequential likelihood ratio testing procedure. Simulations show the advantage of QMLEs on bias reduction and efficiency gains. The empirical application provides evidences on ancient China’s market integration.

Suggested Citation

  • Yang, Kai & Lee, Lung-fei, 2021. "Estimation of dynamic panel spatial vector autoregression: Stability and spatial multivariate cointegration," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 221(2), pages 337-367.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:econom:v:221:y:2021:i:2:p:337-367
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2020.05.010
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    2. Matteo Barigozzi & Giuseppe Cavaliere & Graziano Moramarco, 2022. "Factor Network Autoregressions," Papers 2208.02925, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2024.
    3. Christian Glocker & Matteo Iacopini & Tam'as Krisztin & Philipp Piribauer, 2023. "A Bayesian Markov-switching SAR model for time-varying cross-price spillovers," Papers 2310.19557, arXiv.org.
    4. Danqing Chen & Jianbao Chen & Shuangshuang Li, 2021. "Instrumental Variable Quantile Regression of Spatial Dynamic Durbin Panel Data Model with Fixed Effects," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(24), pages 1-24, December.
    5. Rui Yang & Xin An & Yingwen Chen & Xiuli Yang, 2023. "The Knowledge Analysis of Panel Vector Autoregression: A Systematic Review," SAGE Open, , vol. 13(4), pages 21582440231, December.
    6. Yao Li & Yugang He, 2024. "Unraveling Korea’s Energy Challenge: The Consequences of Carbon Dioxide Emissions and Energy Use on Economic Sustainability," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(5), pages 1-29, March.
    7. Costola, Michele & Iacopini, Matteo & Wichers, Casper, 2023. "Bayesian SAR model with stochastic volatility and multiple time-varying weights," SAFE Working Paper Series 407, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Dynamic panel; Spatial vector autoregression; Identification; Quasi-maximum likelihood; Spatial cointegration; Market integration;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C31 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models; Quantile Regressions; Social Interaction Models
    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes

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