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Bias in dynamic panel models under time series misspecification

Author

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  • Lee, Yoonseok

Abstract

We consider within-group estimation of higher-order autoregressive panel models with exogenous regressors and fixed effects, where the lag order is possibly misspecified. Even when disregarding the misspecification bias, the fixed-effect bias formula is quite different from the correctly specified case though its asymptotic order remains the same under the stationarity. We suggest bias reduction methods under the possible time series misspecification.

Suggested Citation

  • Lee, Yoonseok, 2012. "Bias in dynamic panel models under time series misspecification," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 169(1), pages 54-60.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:econom:v:169:y:2012:i:1:p:54-60
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2012.01.009
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Bun, Maurice J.G. & Carree, Martin A., 2005. "Bias-Corrected Estimation in Dynamic Panel Data Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 23, pages 200-210, April.
    2. Peter C. B. Phillips & Hyungsik R. Moon, 1999. "Linear Regression Limit Theory for Nonstationary Panel Data," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 67(5), pages 1057-1112, September.
    3. Phillips, Peter C.B. & Sul, Donggyu, 2007. "Bias in dynamic panel estimation with fixed effects, incidental trends and cross section dependence," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 137(1), pages 162-188, March.
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    5. Gary Solon, 1984. "Estimating Autocorrelations in Fixed-Effects Models," NBER Technical Working Papers 0032, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Okui, Ryo, 2008. "Panel AR(1) estimators under misspecification," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 101(3), pages 210-213, December.
    7. Nickell, Stephen J, 1981. "Biases in Dynamic Models with Fixed Effects," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 49(6), pages 1417-1426, November.
    8. Hahn, Jinyong & Kuersteiner, Guido, 2011. "Bias Reduction For Dynamic Nonlinear Panel Models With Fixed Effects," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 27(06), pages 1152-1191, December.
    9. Bester, C. Alan & Hansen, Christian, 2009. "A Penalty Function Approach to Bias Reduction in Nonlinear Panel Models with Fixed Effects," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 27(2), pages 131-148.
    10. Manuel Arellano & Stephen Bond, 1991. "Some Tests of Specification for Panel Data: Monte Carlo Evidence and an Application to Employment Equations," Review of Economic Studies, Oxford University Press, vol. 58(2), pages 277-297.
    11. Manuel Arellano & Jinyong Hahn, 2006. "A Likelihood-Based Approximate Solution To The Incidental Parameter Problem In Dynamic Nonlinear Models With Multiple Effects," Working Papers wp2006_0613, CEMFI.
    12. Kiviet, Jan F., 1995. "On bias, inconsistency, and efficiency of various estimators in dynamic panel data models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 68(1), pages 53-78, July.
    13. Marmol, Francesc, 1995. "The Stationarity Conditions for an AR(2) Process and Schur's Theorem," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 11(05), pages 1180-1182, October.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Lee, Yoonseok & Phillips, Peter C.B., 2015. "Model selection in the presence of incidental parameters," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 188(2), pages 474-489.
    2. Gonçalves, Sílvia & Kaffo, Maximilien, 2015. "Bootstrap inference for linear dynamic panel data models with individual fixed effects," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 186(2), pages 407-426.
    3. Zhou, Qing & Faff, Robert & Alpert, Karen, 2014. "Bias correction in the estimation of dynamic panel models in corporate finance," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 494-513.
    4. Dhaene, Geert & Jochmans, Koen, 2016. "Bias-corrected estimation of panel vector autoregressions," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 98-103.
    5. Li, Rui & Wan, Alan T.K. & You, Jinhong, 2016. "Semiparametric GMM estimation and variable selection in dynamic panel data models with fixed effects," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 401-423.
    6. Ryo Okui & Takahide Yanagi, 2014. "Panel Data Analysis with Heterogeneous Dynamics," KIER Working Papers 906, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
    7. repec:gam:jecnmx:v:4:y:2015:i:1:p:2:d:61252 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Okui Ryo, 2014. "Asymptotically Unbiased Estimation of Autocovariances and Autocorrelations with Panel Data in the Presence of Individual and Time Effects," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 6(2), pages 1-53, July.
    9. Haruo Iwakura & Ryo Okui, 2014. "Asymptotic Efficiency in Factor Models and Dynamic Panel Data Models," KIER Working Papers 887, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
    10. Ying-Ying Lee, 2015. "Interpretation and Semiparametric Efficiency in Quantile Regression under Misspecification," Econometrics, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 4(1), pages 1-14, December.
    11. repec:bla:jecrev:v:68:y:2017:i:3:p:283-304 is not listed on IDEAS

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Dynamic panel; Fixed effects; Misspecification; Bias reduction; Lag order;

    JEL classification:

    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models

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