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Bias in dynamic panel models under time series misspecification

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  • Lee, Yoonseok

Abstract

We consider within-group estimation of higher-order autoregressive panel models with exogenous regressors and fixed effects, where the lag order is possibly misspecified. Even when disregarding the misspecification bias, the fixed-effect bias formula is quite different from the correctly specified case though its asymptotic order remains the same under the stationarity. We suggest bias reduction methods under the possible time series misspecification.

Suggested Citation

  • Lee, Yoonseok, 2012. "Bias in dynamic panel models under time series misspecification," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 169(1), pages 54-60.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:econom:v:169:y:2012:i:1:p:54-60
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2012.01.009
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Sam Watson’s journal round-up for 9th July 2018
      by Sam Watson in The Academic Health Economists' Blog on 2018-07-09 11:00:47

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    Cited by:

    1. Lee, Yoonseok & Phillips, Peter C.B., 2015. "Model selection in the presence of incidental parameters," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 188(2), pages 474-489.
    2. Gonçalves, Sílvia & Kaffo, Maximilien, 2015. "Bootstrap inference for linear dynamic panel data models with individual fixed effects," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 186(2), pages 407-426.
    3. Zhou, Qing & Faff, Robert & Alpert, Karen, 2014. "Bias correction in the estimation of dynamic panel models in corporate finance," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 494-513.
    4. Okui, Ryo & Yanagi, Takahide, 2019. "Panel data analysis with heterogeneous dynamics," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 212(2), pages 451-475.
    5. Lee, Yoonseok & Mukherjee, Debasri & Ullah, Aman, 2019. "Nonparametric estimation of the marginal effect in fixed-effect panel data models," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 53-67.
    6. Lee, Yoon-Jin & Okui, Ryo & Shintani, Mototsugu, 2018. "Asymptotic inference for dynamic panel estimators of infinite order autoregressive processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 204(2), pages 147-158.
    7. Norkutė, Milda & Westerlund, Joakim, 2019. "The factor analytical method for interactive effects dynamic panel models with moving average errors," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 11(C), pages 83-104.
    8. Dhaene, Geert & Jochmans, Koen, 2016. "Bias-corrected estimation of panel vector autoregressions," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 98-103.
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    10. Ying-Ying Lee, 2015. "Interpretation and Semiparametric Efficiency in Quantile Regression under Misspecification," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 4(1), pages 1-14, December.
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    12. Bao, Yong & Yu, Xuewen, 2023. "Indirect inference estimation of dynamic panel data models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 1027-1053.
    13. Ryo Okui, 2017. "Misspecification in Dynamic Panel Data Models and Model-Free Inferences," The Japanese Economic Review, Japanese Economic Association, vol. 68(3), pages 283-304, September.
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    15. Li, Rui & Wan, Alan T.K. & You, Jinhong, 2016. "Semiparametric GMM estimation and variable selection in dynamic panel data models with fixed effects," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 401-423.
    16. Okui Ryo, 2014. "Asymptotically Unbiased Estimation of Autocovariances and Autocorrelations with Panel Data in the Presence of Individual and Time Effects," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 6(2), pages 1-53, July.
    17. Haruo Iwakura & Ryo Okui, 2014. "Asymptotic Efficiency in Factor Models and Dynamic Panel Data Models," KIER Working Papers 887, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
    18. Håkan Jankensgård & Anders Vilhelmsson, 2018. "The Shareholder Base Hypothesis of Stock Return Volatility: Empirical Evidence," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 47(1), pages 55-79, March.
    19. Lee, Yoonseok & Sul, Donggyu, 2023. "Depth-weighted means of noisy data: An application to estimating the average effect in heterogeneous panels," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
    20. Dhaene, Geert & Jochmans, Koen, 2016. "Bias-corrected estimation of panel vector autoregressions," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 98-103.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Dynamic panel; Fixed effects; Misspecification; Bias reduction; Lag order;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models

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