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Robust subsampling

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  • Camponovo, Lorenzo
  • Scaillet, Olivier
  • Trojani, Fabio

Abstract

We characterize the robustness of subsampling procedures by deriving a formula for the breakdown point of subsampling quantiles. This breakdown point can be very low for moderate subsampling block sizes, which implies the fragility of subsampling procedures, even when they are applied to robust statistics. This instability arises also for data driven block size selection procedures minimizing the minimum confidence interval volatility index, but can be mitigated if a more robust calibration method can be applied instead. To overcome these robustness problems, we introduce a consistent robust subsampling procedure for M-estimators and derive explicit subsampling quantile breakdown point characterizations for MM-estimators in the linear regression model. Monte Carlo simulations in two settings where the bootstrap fails show the accuracy and robustness of the robust subsampling relative to the subsampling.

Suggested Citation

  • Camponovo, Lorenzo & Scaillet, Olivier & Trojani, Fabio, 2012. "Robust subsampling," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 167(1), pages 197-210.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:econom:v:167:y:2012:i:1:p:197-210
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2011.11.005
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    2. Loriano Mancini & Fabio Trojani, 2011. "Robust Value at Risk Prediction," The Journal of Financial Econometrics, Society for Financial Econometrics, vol. 9(2), pages 281-313, Spring.
    3. La Vecchia, Davide & Moor, Alban & Scaillet, Olivier, 2023. "A higher-order correct fast moving-average bootstrap for dependent data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(1), pages 65-81.
    4. Lorenzo Camponovo & O. Scaillet & Fabio Trojani, 2013. "Predictability Hidden by Anomalous Observations," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 13-05, Swiss Finance Institute.
    5. Lorenzo Camponovo & Taisuke Otsu, 2015. "Robustness of Bootstrap in Instrumental Variable Regression," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(3), pages 352-393, March.
    6. Ronchetti, Elvezio, 2020. "Accurate and robust inference," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 14(C), pages 74-88.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Subsampling; Bootstrap; Breakdown point; Robustness;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General

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