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Robustness of Bootstrap in Instrumental Variable Regression

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Abstract

This paper studies robustness of bootstrap inference methods for instrumental variable regression models. In particular, we compare the uniform weight and implied probability bootstrap approximations for parameter hypothesis test statistics by applying the breakdown point theory, which focuses on behaviors of the bootstrap quantiles when outliers take arbitrarily large values. The implied probabilities are derived from an information theoretic projection from the empirical distribution to a set of distributions satisfying orthogonality conditions for instruments. Our breakdown point analysis considers separately the effects of outliers in dependent variables, endogenous regressors, and instruments, and clarifies the situations where the implied probability bootstrap can be more robust than the uniform weight bootstrap against outliers. Effects of tail trimming introduced by Hill and Renault (2010) are also analyzed. Several simulation studies illustrate our theoretical findings.

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  • Lorenzo Camponovo & Taisuke Otsu, 2011. "Robustness of Bootstrap in Instrumental Variable Regression," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1796, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  • Handle: RePEc:cwl:cwldpp:1796
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bootstrap; Breakdown point; Instrumental variable regression;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C21 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models
    • C31 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models; Quantile Regressions; Social Interaction Models

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