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The effects of invasive pests and pathogens on strategies for forest diversification

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  • Macpherson, Morag F.
  • Kleczkowski, Adam
  • Healey, John R.
  • Quine, Christopher P.
  • Hanley, Nick

Abstract

Diversification of the tree species composition of production forests is a frequently advocated strategy to increase resilience to pests and pathogens; however, there is a lack of a general framework to analyse the impact of economic and biological conditions on the optimal planting strategy in the presence of tree disease. To meet this need we use a novel bioeconomic model to quantitatively assess the effect of tree disease on the optimal planting proportion of two tree species. We find that diversifying the species composition can reduce the economic loss from disease even when the benefit from the resistant species is small. However, this key result is sensitive to a pathogen's characteristics (probability of arrival, time of arrival, rate of spread of infection) and the losses (damage of the disease to the susceptible species and reduced benefit of planting the resistant species). This study provides an exemplar framework which can be used to help understand the effect of a pathogen on forest management strategies.

Suggested Citation

  • Macpherson, Morag F. & Kleczkowski, Adam & Healey, John R. & Quine, Christopher P. & Hanley, Nick, 2017. "The effects of invasive pests and pathogens on strategies for forest diversification," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 350(C), pages 87-99.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:350:y:2017:i:c:p:87-99
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2017.02.003
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Thompson, Robin N. & Cobb, Richard C. & Gilligan, Christopher A. & Cunniffe, Nik J., 2016. "Management of invading pathogens should be informed by epidemiology rather than administrative boundaries," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 324(C), pages 28-32.
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    6. Harry Markowitz, 1952. "Portfolio Selection," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 7(1), pages 77-91, March.
    7. Macpherson, Morag F. & Kleczkowski, Adam & Healey, John R. & Hanley, Nick, 2017. "Payment for multiple forest benefits alters the effect of tree disease on optimal forest rotation length," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 82-94.
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    Cited by:

    1. McTaggart, Ewan & Megiddo, Itamar & Kleczkowski, Adam, 2023. "The effect of pests and pathogens on forest harvesting regimes: A bioeconomic model," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).
    2. Marshet Nigatu Gebeyehu & Fekadu Hailu Hirpo, 2019. "Review on Effect of Climate Change on Forest Ecosystem," International Journal of Environmental Sciences & Natural Resources, Juniper Publishers Inc., vol. 17(4), pages 126-129, February.
    3. Félix Bastit & Marielle Brunette & Claire Montagne-Huck, 2021. "Earth, wind and fire: A multi-hazard risk review for natural disturbances in forests," Working Papers of BETA 2021-25, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
    4. Soliño, Mario & Raposo, Rosa, 2022. "Contributing to healthy forests: Social preferences for pest and disease mitigation programs in Spain," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    5. Orozco-Fuentes, S. & Griffiths, G. & Holmes, M.J. & Ettelaie, R. & Smith, J. & Baggaley, A.W. & Parker, N.G., 2019. "Early warning signals in plant disease outbreaks," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 393(C), pages 12-19.

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