IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ecolet/v258y2026ics0165176525005786.html

Estimation of high order simultaneous equations spatial autoregressive model: An efficient Bayesian approach

Author

Listed:
  • Cai, Zhengzheng
  • Han, Xiaoyi
  • Zhuo, Jianchao

Abstract

We consider the Bayesian estimation of high order simultaneous equations spatial autoregressive model for large scale spatial data sets, which tackles the computational difficulty of the constrained optimization problem over multiple spatial parameters from different outcome equations in the traditional likelihood-based method. We further propose an efficient Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm utilizing the exchange algorithm to address the computational challenges associated with evaluating the Jacobian determinant with a large number of parameters under a large sample size. Monte Carlo experiments demonstrate our proposed Bayesian methods exhibit good performance in finite samples, and the exchange algorithm manages to reduce computation time by approximately two-thirds compared to a typical Bayesian MCMC method.

Suggested Citation

  • Cai, Zhengzheng & Han, Xiaoyi & Zhuo, Jianchao, 2026. "Estimation of high order simultaneous equations spatial autoregressive model: An efficient Bayesian approach," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 258(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:258:y:2026:i:c:s0165176525005786
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2025.112741
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0165176525005786
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.econlet.2025.112741?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Greenaway, David & Guariglia, Alessandra & Kneller, Richard, 2007. "Financial factors and exporting decisions," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 73(2), pages 377-395, November.
    2. Badi H. Baltagi & Peter H. Egger & Michaela Kesina, 2022. "Bayesian estimation of multivariate panel probits with higher‐order network interdependence and an application to firms' global market participation in Guangdong," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(7), pages 1356-1378, November.
    3. Flora Bellone & Patrick Musso & Lionel Nesta & Stefano Schiavo, 2010. "Financial Constraints and Firm Export Behaviour," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 33(3), pages 347-373, March.
    4. Luisa Corrado & Bernard Fingleton, 2012. "Where Is The Economics In Spatial Econometrics?," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 52(2), pages 210-239, May.
    5. Ethan Cohen‐Cole & Xiaodong Liu & Yves Zenou, 2018. "Multivariate choices and identification of social interactions," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(2), pages 165-178, March.
    6. Kelejian, Harry H. & Prucha, Ingmar R., 2004. "Estimation of simultaneous systems of spatially interrelated cross sectional equations," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 118(1-2), pages 27-50.
    7. Hauptmeier, Sebastian & Mittermaier, Ferdinand & Rincke, Johannes, 2012. "Fiscal competition over taxes and public inputs," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(3), pages 407-419.
    8. Lee, Lung-fei & Yu, Jihai, 2014. "Efficient GMM estimation of spatial dynamic panel data models with fixed effects," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 180(2), pages 174-197.
    9. Aitken, Brian & Hanson, Gordon H. & Harrison, Ann E., 1997. "Spillovers, foreign investment, and export behavior," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(1-2), pages 103-132, August.
    10. Baicker, Katherine, 2005. "The spillover effects of state spending," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(2-3), pages 529-544, February.
    11. Lin, Xu & Weinberg, Bruce A., 2014. "Unrequited friendship? How reciprocity mediates adolescent peer effects," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 144-153.
    12. Han, Xiaoyi & Lee, Lung-Fei & Xu, Xingbai, 2021. "Large Sample Properties Of Bayesian Estimation Of Spatial Econometric Models," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 37(4), pages 708-746, August.
    13. Han, Xiaoyi & Hsieh, Chih-Sheng & Lee, Lung-fei, 2017. "Estimation and model selection of higher-order spatial autoregressive model: An efficient Bayesian approach," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 97-120.
    14. Bordignon, Massimo & Cerniglia, Floriana & Revelli, Federico, 2003. "In search of yardstick competition: a spatial analysis of Italian municipality property tax setting," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(2), pages 199-217, September.
    15. Liu, Xiaodong & Patacchini, Eleonora & Zenou, Yves, 2014. "Endogenous peer effects: local aggregate or local average?," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 39-59.
    16. Badi H. Baltagi & Ying Deng, 2015. "EC3SLS Estimator for a Simultaneous System of Spatial Autoregressive Equations with Random Effects," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(6-10), pages 659-694, December.
    17. Yi Huang & Marco Pagano & Ugo Panizza, 2020. "Local Crowding‐Out in China," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 75(6), pages 2855-2898, December.
    18. Yu, Jihai & Zhou, Li-An & Zhu, Guozhong, 2016. "Strategic interaction in political competition: Evidence from spatial effects across Chinese cities," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 23-37.
    19. Zhu, Xuening & Huang, Danyang & Pan, Rui & Wang, Hansheng, 2020. "Multivariate spatial autoregressive model for large scale social networks," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 215(2), pages 591-606.
    20. Lee, Lung-fei & Liu, Xiaodong, 2010. "Efficient Gmm Estimation Of High Order Spatial Autoregressive Models With Autoregressive Disturbances," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 26(1), pages 187-230, February.
    21. Lung-fei Lee, 2003. "Best Spatial Two-Stage Least Squares Estimators for a Spatial Autoregressive Model with Autoregressive Disturbances," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(4), pages 307-335.
    22. Yang, Kai & Lee, Lung-fei, 2017. "Identification and QML estimation of multivariate and simultaneous equations spatial autoregressive models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 196(1), pages 196-214.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Badi H. Baltagi & Peter H. Egger & Michaela Kesina, 2022. "Bayesian estimation of multivariate panel probits with higher‐order network interdependence and an application to firms' global market participation in Guangdong," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(7), pages 1356-1378, November.
    2. William C. Horrace & Hyunseok Jung & Shane Sanders, 2022. "Network Competition and Team Chemistry in the NBA," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(1), pages 35-49, January.
    3. Yang, Kai & Lee, Lung-fei, 2021. "Estimation of dynamic panel spatial vector autoregression: Stability and spatial multivariate cointegration," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 221(2), pages 337-367.
    4. Han, Xiaoyi & Hsieh, Chih-Sheng & Lee, Lung-fei, 2017. "Estimation and model selection of higher-order spatial autoregressive model: An efficient Bayesian approach," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 97-120.
    5. Ren, Yimeng & Li, Zhe & Zhu, Xuening & Gao, Yuan & Wang, Hansheng, 2024. "Distributed estimation and inference for spatial autoregression model with large scale networks," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 238(2).
    6. AMBA OYON, Claude Marius & Mbratana, Taoufiki, 2017. "Simultaneous equation models with spatially autocorrelated error components," MPRA Paper 82395, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Fei Jin & Lung‐fei Lee & Kai Yang, 2024. "Best linear and quadratic moments for spatial econometric models with an application to spatial interdependence patterns of employment growth in US counties," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(4), pages 640-658, June.
    8. Marius C. O. Amba & Taoufiki Mbratana & Julie Gallo, 2023. "Spatial panel simultaneous equations models with error components," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(3), pages 1149-1196, September.
    9. Yang, Kai & Lee, Lung-fei, 2017. "Identification and QML estimation of multivariate and simultaneous equations spatial autoregressive models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 196(1), pages 196-214.
    10. Zhu, Xuening & Huang, Danyang & Pan, Rui & Wang, Hansheng, 2020. "Multivariate spatial autoregressive model for large scale social networks," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 215(2), pages 591-606.
    11. Nicolas Debarsy & Julie Le Gallo, 2025. "Identification of Spatial Spillovers: Do's and Don'ts," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 39(5), pages 2152-2173, December.
    12. repec:hal:journl:hal-04549691 is not listed on IDEAS
    13. Lina Lu, 2017. "Simultaneous Spatial Panel Data Models with Common Shocks," Supervisory Research and Analysis Working Papers RPA 17-3, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    14. Wang, Wei & Lee, Lung-Fei & Bao, Yan, 2018. "GMM estimation of the spatial autoregressive model in a system of interrelated networks," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 167-198.
    15. J. Paul Elhorst & Marco Gross & Eugen Tereanu, 2021. "Cross‐Sectional Dependence And Spillovers In Space And Time: Where Spatial Econometrics And Global Var Models Meet," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(1), pages 192-226, February.
    16. Huang, Danyang & Wang, Feifei & Zhu, Xuening & Wang, Hansheng, 2020. "Two-mode network autoregressive model for large-scale networks," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 216(1), pages 203-219.
    17. Gibbons, Steve & Overman, Henry G. & Patacchini, Eleonora, 2015. "Spatial Methods," Handbook of Regional and Urban Economics, in: Gilles Duranton & J. V. Henderson & William C. Strange (ed.), Handbook of Regional and Urban Economics, edition 1, volume 5, chapter 0, pages 115-168, Elsevier.
    18. Yu, Jihai & Zhou, Li-An & Zhu, Guozhong, 2016. "Strategic interaction in political competition: Evidence from spatial effects across Chinese cities," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 23-37.
    19. Xiaodong Liu, 2020. "GMM identification and estimation of peer effects in a system of simultaneous equations," Journal of Spatial Econometrics, Springer, vol. 1(1), pages 1-27, December.
    20. repec:esx:essedp:772 is not listed on IDEAS
    21. AMBA OYON, Claude Marius & Mbratana, Taoufiki, 2018. "Simultaneous Generalized Method of Moments Estimator for Panel Data Models with Spatially Correlated Error Components," MPRA Paper 84746, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    22. Heather D Gibson & Stephen G Hall & Deborah GeFang & Pavlos Petroulas & George S Tavlas, 2021. "Cross-country spillovers of national financial markets and the effectiveness of ECB policies during the euro-area crisis," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 73(4), pages 1454-1470.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • C11 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Bayesian Analysis: General
    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C31 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models; Quantile Regressions; Social Interaction Models

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:258:y:2026:i:c:s0165176525005786. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/ecolet .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.