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Strategic real options with stochastic volatility in a duopoly model

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  • Huang, Bing
  • Cao, Jiling
  • Chung, Hyuck

Abstract

The investment-timing problem has been considered by many authors under the assumption that the instantaneous volatility of the demand shock is constant. Recently, Ting et al. (2013) [12] carried out an asymptotic approach in a monopoly model by letting the volatility parameter follow a stochastic process. In this paper, we consider a strategic game in which two firms compete for a new market under an uncertain demand, and extend the analysis of Ting et al. to duopoly models under different strategic game structures. In particular, we investigate how the additional uncertainty in the volatility affects the investment thresholds and payoffs of players. Several numerical examples and comparison of the results are provided to confirm our analysis.

Suggested Citation

  • Huang, Bing & Cao, Jiling & Chung, Hyuck, 2014. "Strategic real options with stochastic volatility in a duopoly model," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 40-51.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:chsofr:v:58:y:2014:i:c:p:40-51
    DOI: 10.1016/j.chaos.2013.11.005
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    1. Marseguerra, Giovanni & Cortelezzi, Flavia & Dominioni, Armando, 2006. "Investment timing decisions in a stochastic duopoly model," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 29(3), pages 611-625.
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    7. Heston, Steven L, 1993. "A Closed-Form Solution for Options with Stochastic Volatility with Applications to Bond and Currency Options," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 6(2), pages 327-343.
    8. Ting, Sai Hung Marten & Ewald, Christian-Oliver & Wang, Wen-Kai, 2013. "On the investment–uncertainty relationship in a real option model with stochastic volatility," Mathematical Social Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 66(1), pages 22-32.
    9. Graham, Jeffrey, 2011. "Strategic real options under asymmetric information," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 35(6), pages 922-934, June.
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    Cited by:

    1. Kim, Jeong-Hoon & Lee, Min-Ku & Sohn, So Young, 2014. "Investment timing under hybrid stochastic and local volatility," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 58-72.
    2. Cao, Jiling & Kim, Jeong-Hoon & Liu, Wenqiang & Zhang, Wenjun, 2025. "Investment opportunity strategy in a double-mean-reverting 4/2 stochastic volatility environment," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).

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    JEL classification:

    • C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
    • C73 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory - - - Stochastic and Dynamic Games; Evolutionary Games

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