IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/chieco/v94y2025ipas1043951x25001671.html

Long-term direct and spillover effects of early childhood immunization

Author

Listed:
  • Luo, Yongming
  • Zhao, Liqiu

Abstract

This paper investigates the long-term direct and spillover effects of an early childhood immunization program. By exploiting quasi-experimental variation from a national immunization program targeting children under the age of one in China, we apply a difference-in-differences approach to estimate its long-term impact. Using data from the China Family Panel Studies, we find significant long-term health benefits among children born during or after the program's implementation. Moreover, we observe educational spillover benefits for older siblings of age-eligible children, particularly when the older siblings are male or were younger at the time of the eligible child's birth. These spillover effects diminish as the number of siblings in the household increases. Our findings suggest that the presence of an age-eligible child influences their siblings' outcomes, in part, through intrahousehold resource allocation.

Suggested Citation

  • Luo, Yongming & Zhao, Liqiu, 2025. "Long-term direct and spillover effects of early childhood immunization," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 94(PA).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:chieco:v:94:y:2025:i:pa:s1043951x25001671
    DOI: 10.1016/j.chieco.2025.102509
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1043951X25001671
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.chieco.2025.102509?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Flavio Cunha & James J. Heckman & Susanne M. Schennach, 2010. "Estimating the Technology of Cognitive and Noncognitive Skill Formation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 78(3), pages 883-931, May.
    2. Becker, Gary S & Tomes, Nigel, 1976. "Child Endowments and the Quantity and Quality of Children," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 84(4), pages 143-162, August.
    3. Barteska, Philipp & Dobkowitz, Sonja & Olkkola, Maarit & Rieser, Michael, 2023. "Mass vaccination and educational attainment: Evidence from the 1967–68 Measles Eradication Campaign," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    4. Mark R. Rosenzweig & Junsen Zhang, 2009. "Do Population Control Policies Induce More Human Capital Investment? Twins, Birth Weight and China's "One-Child" Policy," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 76(3), pages 1149-1174.
    5. Nandi, Arindam & Kumar, Santosh & Shet, Anita & Bloom, David E. & Laxminarayan, Ramanan, 2020. "Childhood vaccinations and adult schooling attainment: Long-term evidence from India's Universal Immunization Programme," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 250(C).
    6. Sun, Liyang & Abraham, Sarah, 2021. "Estimating dynamic treatment effects in event studies with heterogeneous treatment effects," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 225(2), pages 175-199.
    7. Oskorouchi, Hamid R. & Sousa-Poza, Alfonso & Bloom, David E., 2024. "The long-term cognitive and schooling effects of childhood vaccinations in China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    8. Christopher S. Carpenter & Emily C. Lawler, 2019. "Direct and Spillover Effects of Middle School Vaccination Requirements," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 11(1), pages 95-125, February.
    9. Junjian Yi & James J. Heckman & Junsen Zhang & Gabriella Conti, 2015. "Early Health Shocks, Intra†household Resource Allocation and Child Outcomes," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 125(588), pages 347-371, November.
    10. Parman, John, 2015. "Childhood health and sibling outcomes: Nurture Reinforcing nature during the 1918 influenza pandemic," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 22-43.
    11. Marcella Alsan, 2017. "The Gendered Spillover Effect of Young Children's Health on Human Capital: Evidence from Turkey," NBER Working Papers 23702, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    12. David W. Hutton & Margaret L. Brandeau, 2013. "Too Much of a Good Thing? When to Stop Catch-Up Vaccination," Medical Decision Making, , vol. 33(7), pages 920-936, October.
    13. Yvonne Jie Chen & Li Li & Yun Xiao, 2022. "Early-Life Exposure to Tap Water and the Development of Cognitive Skills," Journal of Human Resources, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 57(6), pages 2113-2149.
    14. Humlum, Maria Knoth & Morthorst, Marius Opstrup & Thingholm, Peter Rønø, 2024. "Sibling spillovers and the choice to get vaccinated: Evidence from a regression discontinuity design," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    15. Alicia Atwood, 2022. "The Long-Term Effects of Measles Vaccination on Earnings and Employment," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 14(2), pages 34-60, May.
    16. Achyuta Adhvaryu & Anant Nyshadham, 2016. "Endowments at Birth and Parents' Investments in Children," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 126(593), pages 781-820, June.
    17. J. Driessen & A. Razzaque & D. Walker & D. Canning, 2015. "The effect of childhood measles vaccination on school enrolment in Matlab, Bangladesh," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(55), pages 6019-6040, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Francisco J. Cabrera-Hernández & Pedro P. Orraca-Romano, 2023. "Inequality in the Household: How Parental Income Matters for the Long-Term Treatment of Healthy and Unhealthy Siblings," Journal of Family and Economic Issues, Springer, vol. 44(3), pages 674-692, September.
    2. Brandon J. Restrepo, 2016. "Parental investment responses to a low birth weight outcome: who compensates and who reinforces?," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 29(4), pages 969-989, October.
    3. Cabrera-Hernandez, Francisco & Orraca-Romano, Pedro, 2021. "Inequality in the household: neonatal health effects on education outcomes and parents’ compensations among siblings," MPRA Paper 111076, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Savelyev, Peter A. & Ward, Benjamin C. & Krueger, Robert F. & McGue, Matt, 2022. "Health endowments, schooling allocation in the family, and longevity: Evidence from US twins," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    5. Barteska, Philipp & Dobkowitz, Sonja & Olkkola, Maarit & Rieser, Michael, 2023. "Mass vaccination and educational attainment: Evidence from the 1967–68 Measles Eradication Campaign," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    6. Ye, Maoliang & Yi, Junjian, 2017. "Parental preferences, production technologies, and provision for progeny," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 45(2), pages 261-270.
    7. Jia Wu & Jiada Lin & Xiao Han, 2023. "Compensation for girls in early childhood and its long-run impact: family investment strategies under rainfall shocks," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 36(3), pages 1225-1268, July.
    8. Sanz-de-Galdeano, Anna & Terskaya, Anastasia, 2019. "Sibling Differences in Educational Polygenic Scores: How Do Parents React?," IZA Discussion Papers 12375, IZA Network @ LISER.
    9. Liyousew G. Borga & Myroslav Pidkuyko, 2018. "Whoever Has Will Be Given More: Child Endowment and Human Capital Investment," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp616, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
    10. Michele Giannola, 2024. "Parental Investments and Intra-household Inequality in Child Human Capital: Evidence from a Survey Experiment," The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 134(658), pages 671-727.
    11. Persson, Petra & Qiu, Xinyao & Rossin-Slater, Maya, 2021. "Family Spillover Effects of Marginal Diagnoses: The Case of ADHD," IZA Discussion Papers 14020, IZA Network @ LISER.
    12. Sun, Yucheng & Li, Jiaolong & Shen, Xiuheng & Pan, Zhewen, 2025. "Early-life access to primary healthcare and educational attainment: Evidence from community health centers in China," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 380(C).
    13. Forsberg, Erika & Khan, Akib & Rosenqvist, Olof, 2025. "Do sibling correlations in skills, schooling, and earnings vary by socioeconomic background? Insights from Sweden," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    14. Nicolas Berman & Lorenzo Rotunno & Roberta Ziparo, 2025. "Sweet Child of Mine: Parental Income, Child Health and Inequality," The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 135(672), pages 2455-2482.
    15. Oskorouchi, Hamid R. & Sousa-Poza, Alfonso & Bloom, David E., 2024. "The long-term cognitive and schooling effects of childhood vaccinations in China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    16. Lin, Dajun & Lutter, Randall & Ruhm, Christopher J., 2018. "Cognitive performance and labour market outcomes," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 121-135.
    17. Douglas Almond & Janet Currie & Valentina Duque, 2018. "Childhood Circumstances and Adult Outcomes: Act II," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 56(4), pages 1360-1446, December.
    18. Bhalotra, Sonia R. & Clarke, Damian & Venkataramani, Atheendar, 2025. "The Long Run Economic Effects of Medical Innovation and the Role of Opportunities," IZA Discussion Papers 18327, IZA Network @ LISER.
    19. Germán Caruso & Inés Marcos & Ilan Noy, 2024. "Climate Changes Affect Human Capital," Economics of Disasters and Climate Change, Springer, vol. 8(1), pages 157-196, March.
    20. Persson, Petra & Qiu, Xinyao & Rossin-Slater, Maya, 2021. "Family Spillover Effects of Marginal Diagnoses: The Case of ADHD," CEPR Discussion Papers 15660, Centre for Economic Policy Research.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • I18 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Government Policy; Regulation; Public Health
    • D13 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Household Production and Intrahouse Allocation
    • D62 - Microeconomics - - Welfare Economics - - - Externalities

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:chieco:v:94:y:2025:i:pa:s1043951x25001671. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/chieco .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.