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Modeling of the appliance, lighting, and space-cooling energy consumptions in the residential sector using neural networks

Author

Listed:
  • Aydinalp, Merih
  • Ismet Ugursal, V.
  • Fung, Alan S.

Abstract

Two methods are currently used to model residential energy consumption at the national or regional level: the engineering method and the conditional demand analysis method. Another potentially feasible method to model residential energy consumption is the neural network (NN) method. Using the NN method, it is possible to determine causal relationships amongst a large number of parameters, such as occur in the energy consumption patterns in the residential sector. A review of the published literature indicates that the NN method has not been used or tested for housing-sector energy consumption modeling. A NN based energy consumption model is being developed for the Canadian residential sector. This paper presents the NN methodology used in developing the appliances, lighting, and space-cooling component of the model, the accuracy of its predictions, and some sample results.

Suggested Citation

  • Aydinalp, Merih & Ismet Ugursal, V. & Fung, Alan S., 2002. "Modeling of the appliance, lighting, and space-cooling energy consumptions in the residential sector using neural networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 71(2), pages 87-110, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:71:y:2002:i:2:p:87-110
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Fiebig, Denzil G. & Bartels, Robert & Aigner, Dennis J., 1991. "A random coefficient approach to the estimation of residential end-use load profiles," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 50(3), pages 297-327, December.
    2. Michael Parti & Cynthia Parti, 1980. "The Total and Appliance-Specific Conditional Demand for Electricity in the Household Sector," Bell Journal of Economics, The RAND Corporation, vol. 11(1), pages 309-321, Spring.
    3. Hsiao, Cheng & Mountain, Dean C & Illman, Kathleen Ho, 1995. "A Bayesian Integration of End-Use Metering and Conditional-Demand Analysis," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 13(3), pages 315-326, July.
    4. Dennis J. Aigner & Cynts Sorooshian & Pamela Kerwin, 1984. "Conditional Demand Analysis for Estimating Residential End-Use Load Profiles," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 3), pages 81-98.
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