IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/appene/v352y2023ics0306261923013478.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Techno-economic evaluation of energy storage systems for concentrated solar power plants using the Monte Carlo method

Author

Listed:
  • Liu, Chunyu
  • Zheng, Xinrui
  • Yang, Haibin
  • Tang, Waiching
  • Sang, Guochen
  • Cui, Hongzhi

Abstract

This paper aims to perform a techno-economic evaluation for the sensible heat, latent heat, and combined sensible-latent heat storage systems applied in concentrated solar power (CSP) plants. An analytical model that integrates the uncertainty of input variables is developed to observe the probability distribution of the levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) for various energy storage systems using a combination of Monte Carlo methods and economic indicators. Uncertainty quantification reveals that the combined sensible-latent heat storage system has the least uncertainty. The sensible-latent heat storage system has certainty equivalents of 0.1852 $/kWh and 0.1321 $/kWh for both the Blue Map and Roadmap scenarios, which is approximately 29% less than the two-tank molten salt energy storage system. Under emission trading, the environmental and social benefits of carbon reduction in energy storage systems can reduce the LCOE for CSP plants. This study can provide decision makers with more comprehensive information in determining the economic viability of different energy storage systems.

Suggested Citation

  • Liu, Chunyu & Zheng, Xinrui & Yang, Haibin & Tang, Waiching & Sang, Guochen & Cui, Hongzhi, 2023. "Techno-economic evaluation of energy storage systems for concentrated solar power plants using the Monte Carlo method," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 352(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:352:y:2023:i:c:s0306261923013478
    DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2023.121983
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306261923013478
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.apenergy.2023.121983?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Winkler, Harald & Hughes, Alison & Haw, Mary, 2009. "Technology learning for renewable energy: Implications for South Africa's long-term mitigation scenarios," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(11), pages 4987-4996, November.
    2. Xu, Ben & Li, Peiwen & Chan, Cholik, 2015. "Application of phase change materials for thermal energy storage in concentrated solar thermal power plants: A review to recent developments," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 160(C), pages 286-307.
    3. Nithyanandam, K. & Pitchumani, R., 2014. "Cost and performance analysis of concentrating solar power systems with integrated latent thermal energy storage," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 793-810.
    4. Wealer, B. & Bauer, S. & Hirschhausen, C.v. & Kemfert, C. & Göke, L., 2021. "Investing into third generation nuclear power plants - Review of recent trends and analysis of future investments using Monte Carlo Simulation," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    5. Li, Xinxin & Li, Chengyu & Gong, Wenping & Zhang, Yanjie & Wang, Junchao, 2023. "Probabilistic analysis of heat extraction performance in enhanced geothermal system based on a DFN-based modeling scheme," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PC).
    6. Zhao, Zhen-Yu & Chen, Yu-Long & Thomson, John Douglas, 2017. "Levelized cost of energy modeling for concentrated solar power projects: A China study," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 117-127.
    7. Matos, Catarina R. & Pereira da Silva, Patrícia & Carneiro, Júlio F., 2023. "Economic assessment for compressed air energy storage business model alternatives," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 329(C).
    8. Elfeky, K.E. & Mohammed, A.G. & Ahmed, N. & Lu, Lin & Wang, Qiuwang, 2020. "Thermal and economic evaluation of phase change material volume fraction for thermocline tank used in concentrating solar power plants," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 267(C).
    9. Katharine Ricke & Laurent Drouet & Ken Caldeira & Massimo Tavoni, 2018. "Country-level social cost of carbon," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 8(10), pages 895-900, October.
    10. Coronas, Sergio & Martín, Helena & de la Hoz, Jordi & García de Vicuña, Luis & Castilla, Miguel, 2021. "MONTE-CARLO probabilistic valuation of concentrated solar power systems in Spain under the 2014 retroactive regulatory framework," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    11. Bendato, Ilaria & Cassettari, Lucia & Mosca, Marco & Mosca, Roberto, 2016. "Stochastic techno-economic assessment based on Monte Carlo simulation and the Response Surface Methodology: The case of an innovative linear Fresnel CSP (concentrated solar power) system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 309-324.
    12. Luo, Yan & Wang, Zhiyuan & Zhu, Jiamin & Lu, Tao & Xiao, Gang & Chu, Fengming & Wang, Ruixing, 2022. "Multi-objective robust optimization of a solar power tower plant under uncertainty," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PA).
    13. Ellingwood, Kevin & Mohammadi, Kasra & Powell, Kody, 2020. "Dynamic optimization and economic evaluation of flexible heat integration in a hybrid concentrated solar power plant," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 276(C).
    14. Silva, R. & Pérez, M. & Berenguel, M. & Valenzuela, L. & Zarza, E., 2014. "Uncertainty and global sensitivity analysis in the design of parabolic-trough direct steam generation plants for process heat applications," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 233-244.
    15. Oró, Eduard & Gil, Antoni & de Gracia, Alvaro & Boer, Dieter & Cabeza, Luisa F., 2012. "Comparative life cycle assessment of thermal energy storage systems for solar power plants," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 166-173.
    16. Caralis, George & Diakoulaki, Danae & Yang, Peijin & Gao, Zhiqiu & Zervos, Arthouros & Rados, Kostas, 2014. "Profitability of wind energy investments in China using a Monte Carlo approach for the treatment of uncertainties," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 224-236.
    17. Lin, Boqiang & Jia, Zhijie, 2019. "Impacts of carbon price level in carbon emission trading market," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(C), pages 157-170.
    18. San Miguel, G. & Corona, B., 2018. "Economic viability of concentrated solar power under different regulatory frameworks in Spain," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 205-218.
    19. Falconett, Irina & Nagasaka, Ken, 2010. "Comparative analysis of support mechanisms for renewable energy technologies using probability distributions," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 35(6), pages 1135-1144.
    20. Tran, Thomas T.D. & Smith, Amanda D., 2018. "Incorporating performance-based global sensitivity and uncertainty analysis into LCOE calculations for emerging renewable energy technologies," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 216(C), pages 157-171.
    21. Jacob, Rhys & Belusko, Martin & Inés Fernández, A. & Cabeza, Luisa F. & Saman, Wasim & Bruno, Frank, 2016. "Embodied energy and cost of high temperature thermal energy storage systems for use with concentrated solar power plants," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 586-597.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Hoz, Jordi de la & Martín, Helena & Montalà, Montserrat & Matas, José & Guzman, Ramon, 2018. "Assessing the 2014 retroactive regulatory framework applied to the concentrating solar power systems in Spain," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 212(C), pages 1377-1399.
    2. Fadi Alnaimat & Yasir Rashid, 2019. "Thermal Energy Storage in Solar Power Plants: A Review of the Materials, Associated Limitations, and Proposed Solutions," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(21), pages 1-19, October.
    3. Mostafavi Tehrani, S. Saeed & Shoraka, Yashar & Nithyanandam, Karthik & Taylor, Robert A., 2019. "Shell-and-tube or packed bed thermal energy storage systems integrated with a concentrated solar power: A techno-economic comparison of sensible and latent heat systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(C), pages 887-910.
    4. Opolot, Michael & Zhao, Chunrong & Liu, Ming & Mancin, Simone & Bruno, Frank & Hooman, Kamel, 2022. "A review of high temperature (≥ 500 °C) latent heat thermal energy storage," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).
    5. Jacob, Rhys & Belusko, Martin & Liu, Ming & Saman, Wasim & Bruno, Frank, 2019. "Using renewables coupled with thermal energy storage to reduce natural gas consumption in higher temperature commercial/industrial applications," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 1035-1046.
    6. Coronas, Sergio & Martín, Helena & de la Hoz, Jordi & García de Vicuña, Luis & Castilla, Miguel, 2021. "MONTE-CARLO probabilistic valuation of concentrated solar power systems in Spain under the 2014 retroactive regulatory framework," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    7. Zhao, Bing-chen & Cheng, Mao-song & Liu, Chang & Dai, Zhi-min, 2018. "System-level performance optimization of molten-salt packed-bed thermal energy storage for concentrating solar power," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 226(C), pages 225-239.
    8. Rômulo de Oliveira Azevêdo & Paulo Rotela Junior & Luiz Célio Souza Rocha & Gianfranco Chicco & Giancarlo Aquila & Rogério Santana Peruchi, 2020. "Identification and Analysis of Impact Factors on the Economic Feasibility of Photovoltaic Energy Investments," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(17), pages 1-40, September.
    9. Alva, Guruprasad & Lin, Yaxue & Fang, Guiyin, 2018. "An overview of thermal energy storage systems," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 144(C), pages 341-378.
    10. Sergio Coronas & Jordi de la Hoz & Àlex Alonso & Helena Martín, 2022. "23 Years of Development of the Solar Power Generation Sector in Spain: A Comprehensive Review of the Period 1998–2020 from a Regulatory Perspective," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-53, February.
    11. Meybodi, Mehdi Aghaei & Beath, Andrew C., 2016. "Impact of cost uncertainties and solar data variations on the economics of central receiver solar power plants: An Australian case study," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 510-524.
    12. Xu Lei & Tang Shiyun & Deng Yanfei & Yuan Yuan, 2020. "Sustainable operation-oriented investment risk evaluation and optimization for renewable energy project: a case study of wind power in China," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 290(1), pages 223-241, July.
    13. Jin, Gui & Shi, Xin & Zhang, Lei & Hu, Shougeng, 2020. "Measuring the SCCs of different Chinese regions under future scenarios," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    14. Pelay, Ugo & Luo, Lingai & Fan, Yilin & Stitou, Driss & Rood, Mark, 2017. "Thermal energy storage systems for concentrated solar power plants," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 82-100.
    15. Islam, Md Tasbirul & Huda, Nazmul & Abdullah, A.B. & Saidur, R., 2018. "A comprehensive review of state-of-the-art concentrating solar power (CSP) technologies: Current status and research trends," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 987-1018.
    16. Wickramaratne, Chatura & Dhau, Jaspreet S. & Kamal, Rajeev & Myers, Philip & Goswami, D.Y. & Stefanakos, E., 2018. "Macro-encapsulation and characterization of chloride based inorganic Phase change materials for high temperature thermal energy storage systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 221(C), pages 587-596.
    17. Bame, Aaron T. & Furner, Joseph & Hoag, Ian & Mohammadi, Kasra & Powell, Kody & Iverson, Brian D., 2022. "Optimization of solar-coal hybridization for low solar augmentation," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 319(C).
    18. Xiaoru Zhuang & Xinhai Xu & Wenrui Liu & Wenfu Xu, 2019. "LCOE Analysis of Tower Concentrating Solar Power Plants Using Different Molten-Salts for Thermal Energy Storage in China," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(7), pages 1-17, April.
    19. Mostafavi Tehrani, S. Saeed & Shoraka, Yashar & Diarce, Gonzalo & Taylor, Robert A., 2019. "An improved, generalized effective thermal conductivity method for rapid design of high temperature shell-and-tube latent heat thermal energy storage systems," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 694-708.
    20. Alva, Guruprasad & Liu, Lingkun & Huang, Xiang & Fang, Guiyin, 2017. "Thermal energy storage materials and systems for solar energy applications," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 68(P1), pages 693-706.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:352:y:2023:i:c:s0306261923013478. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/405891/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.