IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eco/journ2/2022-06-43.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The Price and Income Elasticity of Demand for Natural Gas Consumption in Saudi Arabia

Author

Listed:
  • Jumah Ahmad Alzyadat

    (Department of Finance and Banking, College of Business Administration, Dar Aluloom University, Riyadh, KSA.)

Abstract

Natural gas consumption in Saudi Arabia (KSA) has grown at an annual rate of approximately 7% as a result of population growth and other economic and non-economic factors. This study aims to estimate the short- and long-run price and income elasticities of natural gas demand in Saudi Arabia using time series data from 1990 to 2020, applying the Autoregressive Distributed lag Procedure (ARDL). Employ an Error-correction model to obtain estimates of adjustment speeds with long and short-run elasticities. The elasticity of demand for natural gas was calculated by including population growth as a control variable. The short-run dynamics evaluated indicate that the speed of adjustment is 70% annually, the long-run income and the price elasticities are 0.0002 and -2.09 respectively. The short-run income and price elasticities are 0.0002, -1.17 respectively. This means that price changes have a greater impact on natural gas demand than changes in income in the short and long run. Population growth has contributed to the increase in natural gas consumption in Saudi Arabia in the short and long run. In general, based on the results, the trend of Saudi Arabia to increase the consumption of natural gas needs to maintain low prices, due to the high price elasticity of demand.

Suggested Citation

  • Jumah Ahmad Alzyadat, 2022. "The Price and Income Elasticity of Demand for Natural Gas Consumption in Saudi Arabia," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(6), pages 357-363, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:eco:journ2:2022-06-43
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.econjournals.com/index.php/ijeep/article/download/13597/7031
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.econjournals.com/index.php/ijeep/article/view/13597
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Galip Altinay & A. Talha Yalta, 2016. "Estimating the evolution of elasticities of natural gas demand: the case of Istanbul, Turkey," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 51(1), pages 201-220, August.
    2. Mikayilov, Jeyhun I. & Darandary, Abdulelah & Alyamani, Ryan & Hasanov, Fakhri J. & Alatawi, Hatem, 2020. "Regional heterogeneous drivers of electricity demand in Saudi Arabia: Modeling regional residential electricity demand," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    3. Mona Mashhadi Rajabi & Mirhossein Mousavi, 2019. "Estimating Industrial Natural Gas Demand Elasticities in Selected OECD Countries," Energy Economics Letters, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 6(1), pages 52-65.
    4. Yoo, Seung-Hoon & Lim, Hea-Jin & Kwak, Seung-Jun, 2009. "Estimating the residential demand function for natural gas in Seoul with correction for sample selection bias," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 86(4), pages 460-465, April.
    5. Andersen, Trude Berg & Nilsen, Odd Bjarte & Tveteras, Ragnar, 2011. "How is demand for natural gas determined across European industrial sectors?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(9), pages 5499-5508, September.
    6. Mona Mashhadi Rajabi & Mirhossein Mousavi, 2019. "Estimating Industrial Natural Gas Demand Elasticities in Selected OECD Countries," Energy Economics Letters, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 6(1), pages 52-65, March.
    7. Wadud, Zia & Dey, Himadri S. & Kabir, Md. Ashfanoor & Khan, Shahidul I., 2011. "Modeling and forecasting natural gas demand in Bangladesh," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(11), pages 7372-7380.
    8. Alarenan, Shahad & Gasim, Anwar A. & Hunt, Lester C., 2020. "Modelling industrial energy demand in Saudi Arabia," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    9. M. Hashem Pesaran & Yongcheol Shin & Richard J. Smith, 2001. "Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(3), pages 289-326.
    10. Ishmael Ackah, 2014. "Determinants of natural gas demand in Ghana," OPEC Energy Review, Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, vol. 38(3), pages 272-295, September.
    11. Jian Chai & Huiting Shi & Xiaoyang Zhou & Shouyang Wang, 2018. "The Price Elasticity of Natural Gas Demand in China: A Meta-Regression Analysis," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(12), pages 1-18, November.
    12. Gautam, Tej K. & Paudel, Krishna P., 2018. "The demand for natural gas in the Northeastern United States," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 158(C), pages 890-898.
    13. Payne, James E. & Loomis, David G. & Wilson, Renardo, 2011. "Residential Natural Gas Demand in Illinois: Evidence from the ARDL Bounds Testing Approach," Journal of Regional Analysis and Policy, Mid-Continent Regional Science Association, vol. 41(2), pages 1-10.
    14. Yu, Yihua & Zheng, Xinye & Han, Yi, 2014. "On the demand for natural gas in urban China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 57-63.
    15. repec:ags:jrapmc:133220 is not listed on IDEAS
    16. Chen, Jiandong & Yu, Jie & Ai, Bowei & Song, Malin & Hou, Wenxuan, 2019. "Determinants of global natural gas consumption and import–export flows," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 588-602.
    17. Akintande, Olalekan J. & Olubusoye, Olusanya E. & Adenikinju, Adeola F. & Olanrewaju, Busayo T., 2020. "Modeling the determinants of renewable energy consumption: Evidence from the five most populous nations in Africa," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 206(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Burke, Paul J. & Yang, Hewen, 2016. "The price and income elasticities of natural gas demand: International evidence," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 466-474.
    2. Lin, Boqiang & Li, Zhensheng, 2020. "Analysis of the natural gas demand and subsidy in China: A multi-sectoral perspective," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 202(C).
    3. Raymond Li & Chi-Keung Woo & Asher Tishler & Jay Zarnikau, 2022. "Price Responsiveness of Residential Demand for Natural Gas in the United States," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(12), pages 1-22, June.
    4. Sarvar Gurbanov & Jeyhun I. Mikayilov & Shahriyar Mukhtarov & Shahin Maharramli, 2023. "The price and income elasticities of natural gas demand in Azerbaijan: Is there room to export more?," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(1), pages 1-11, December.
    5. Halim Tatli, 2018. "Multiple Determinants of Household Natural Gas Demand: A Panel Data Analysis in OECD Countries," Asian Development Policy Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 6(4), pages 243-253, December.
    6. Halim Tatli, 2019. "Factors affecting industrial coal demand in Turkey," Energy & Environment, , vol. 30(6), pages 1027-1048, September.
    7. Ju-Hee Kim & Byoung-Soh Hwang & Seung-Hoon Yoo, 2022. "Estimating the Demand Function for Residential City Gas in South Korea: Findings from a Price Sensitivity Measurement Experiment," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(12), pages 1-13, June.
    8. Malzi, Mohamed Jaouad & Sohag, Kazi & Vasbieva, Dinara G. & Ettahir, Aziz, 2020. "Environmental policy effectiveness on residential natural gas use in OECD countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    9. Li, Lanlan & Gong, Chengzhu & Tian, Shizhong & Jiao, Jianling, 2016. "The peak-shaving efficiency analysis of natural gas time-of-use pricing for residential consumers: Evidence from multi-agent simulation," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 48-58.
    10. Khan, Muhammad Arshad, 2015. "Modelling and forecasting the demand for natural gas in Pakistan," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 1145-1159.
    11. Jean Gaston Tamba & Salom Ndjakomo Essiane & Emmanuel Flavian Sapnken & Francis Djanna Koffi & Jean Luc Nsouand l & Bozidar Soldo & Donatien Njomo, 2018. "Forecasting Natural Gas: A Literature Survey," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 8(3), pages 216-249.
    12. Li, Jiaman & Dong, Xiucheng & Jiang, Qingzhe & Dong, Kangyin & Liu, Guixian, 2021. "Natural gas trade network of countries and regions along the belt and road: Where to go in the future?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    13. Copiello, Sergio & Grillenzoni, Carlo, 2017. "Is the cold the only reason why we heat our homes? Empirical evidence from spatial series data," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 193(C), pages 491-506.
    14. Kostakis, Ioannis & Lolos, Sarantis & Sardianou, Eleni, 2021. "Residential natural gas demand: Assessing the evidence from Greece using pseudo-panels, 2012–2019," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    15. Ishmael Ackah & Mcomari Asomani, 2015. "Empirical Analysis of Renewable Energy Demand in Ghana with Autometrics," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 5(3), pages 754-758.
    16. Ackah, Ishmael, 2015. "Accounting for the effect of exogenous non-Economic variables on natural gas demand in oil producing African countries," MPRA Paper 81553, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Zhang, Yi & Ji, Qiang & Fan, Ying, 2018. "The price and income elasticity of China's natural gas demand: A multi-sectoral perspective," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 332-341.
    18. Eric Fosu Oteng-Abayie & Prosper Awuni Ayinbilla & Maame Esi Eshun, 2018. "Macroeconomic Determinants of Crude Oil Demand in Ghana," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 19(4), pages 873-888, August.
    19. Halim TATLI, 2022. "Long-term price and income elasticity of residential natural gas demand in Turkey," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER, vol. 0(1(630), S), pages 101-122, Spring.
    20. Ishmael Ackah, 2014. "Determinants of natural gas demand in Ghana," OPEC Energy Review, Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, vol. 38(3), pages 272-295, September.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Saudi Arabia; Natural Gas Consumption; Income Elasticity; Price Elasticity; ARDL;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • N55 - Economic History - - Agriculture, Natural Resources, Environment and Extractive Industries - - - Asia including Middle East
    • N73 - Economic History - - Economic History: Transport, International and Domestic Trade, Energy, and Other Services - - - Europe: Pre-1913
    • O13 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Agriculture; Natural Resources; Environment; Other Primary Products
    • Q31 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation - - - Demand and Supply; Prices
    • Q41 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Demand and Supply; Prices

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eco:journ2:2022-06-43. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Ilhan Ozturk (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.econjournals.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.