IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eco/journ2/2021-03-2.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Oil Price and Industrial Growth in Saudi Arabia: Sectoral and Asymmetry Analyses

Author

Listed:
  • Haider Mahmood

    (Department of Finance, College of Business Administration, Prince Sattam Bin Abdulaziz University, Alkharj, Saudi Arabia.)

Abstract

Oil price could have long-lasting effects on any oil-exporting economy due to its dependence on oil revenue. This present research probes the role of Oil Price (OP) on the 22 categories of manufacturing industries of Saudi Arabia and the growth of total industries during 1990-2018 in the nonlinear settings. To serve the purpose, we utilize the unit root test and nonlinear cointegration test of Shin et al. (2014) based on modified bound statistics of Kripfganz and Schneider (2019). The increasing or decreasing oil price could have different magnitude or direction of effects. Hence, the present research applies a nonlinear cointegration in the relationship between oil price and industrial growth. We found cointegration in the total industries model and 19 industries models. In the long run, increasing OP has a positive relationship with 8 out of 22 investigated industries and has a negative relationship with 2 out of 22 investigated industries. Decreasing OP has a positive relationship with 2 out of 22 industries and has a negative relationship with 4 out of 22 industries. In the short run, increasing OP has a positive relationship with one industry and has a negative relationship with 10 out of 22 investigated industries. Decreasing OP has a positive relationship with 3 out of 22 industries and has a negative relationship with one industry. Asymmetry is corroborated in all investigated models except the petroleum industry in the long run and is validated in all models in the short run.

Suggested Citation

  • Haider Mahmood, 2021. "Oil Price and Industrial Growth in Saudi Arabia: Sectoral and Asymmetry Analyses," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 11(3), pages 7-13.
    • Handle: RePEc:eco:journ2:2021-03-2
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.econjournals.com/index.php/ijeep/article/download/10922/5777
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.econjournals.com/index.php/ijeep/article/view/10922/5777
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Supriyo De & Saad Quayyum & Kirsten Schuettler & Seyed Reza Yousefi, 2019. "Oil prices, growth, and remittance outflows from the Gulf Cooperation Council," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 48(3), November.
    2. Khalid A. Alkhathlan, 2013. "Contribution of oil in economic growth of Saudi Arabia," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(4), pages 343-348, March.
    3. Akoum, Ibrahim & Graham, Michael & Kivihaho, Jarno & Nikkinen, Jussi & Omran, Mohammed, 2012. "Co-movement of oil and stock prices in the GCC region: A wavelet analysis," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(4), pages 385-394.
    4. Dickey, David A & Fuller, Wayne A, 1981. "Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 49(4), pages 1057-1072, June.
    5. Shabbir Ahmad, 2019. "The Impact of Oil Price Uncertainty on Stock Returns in Gulf Countries," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 9(6), pages 447-452.
    6. Haider Mahmood & Maham Furqan & Tarek Tawfik Yousef Alkhateeb & Mahmoud Mohamad Fawaz, 2019. "Testing the Environmental Kuznets Curve in Egypt: Role of Foreign Investment and Trade," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 9(2), pages 225-228.
    7. Haider Mahmood & Awad Ali Alanzi, 2020. "Rule of Law and Environment Nexus in Saudi Arabia," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(5), pages 7-12.
    8. Bodenstein, Martin & Erceg, Christopher J. & Guerrieri, Luca, 2011. "Oil shocks and external adjustment," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 83(2), pages 168-184, March.
    9. Arouri, Mohamed El Hedi & Lahiani, Amine & Nguyen, Duc Khuong, 2011. "Return and volatility transmission between world oil prices and stock markets of the GCC countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(4), pages 1815-1825, July.
    10. Hani El-Chaarani, 2019. "The Impact of Oil Prices on Stocks Markets: New Evidence During and After the Arab Spring in Gulf Cooperation Council Economies," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 9(4), pages 214-223.
    11. Mokni, Khaled & Youssef, Manel, 2019. "Measuring persistence of dependence between crude oil prices and GCC stock markets: A copula approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 14-33.
    12. Nusair, Salah A., 2016. "The effects of oil price shocks on the economies of the Gulf Co-operation Council countries: Nonlinear analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 256-267.
    13. Nabil Ahmed Mareai Senan & Haider Mahmood & Sehrish Liaquat, 2018. "Financial Markets and Electricity Consumption Nexus in Saudi Arabia," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 8(1), pages 12-16.
    14. Assil El Mahmah & Magda Kandil, 2018. "Fiscal sustainability challenges in the new normal of low oil prices," International Journal of Development Issues, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 18(1), pages 109-134, September.
    15. Salah A. Nusair & Jamal A. Al-Khasawneh, 2018. "Oil price shocks and stock market returns of the GCC countries: empirical evidence from quantile regression analysis," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 51(4), pages 339-372, November.
    16. Sebastian Kripfganz & Daniel C. Schneider, 2020. "Response Surface Regressions for Critical Value Bounds and Approximate p‐values in Equilibrium Correction Models," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 82(6), pages 1456-1481, December.
    17. Tarek Tawfik Yousef Alkhateeb & Haider Mahmood & Zafar Ahmad Sultan, 2021. "Role of Oil Price in Fiscal Cyclicality in Saudi Arabia," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 11(2), pages 194-198.
    18. Abdulaziz Hamad Algaeed, 2018. "The Oil Price Volatility and a Revisited Saudi Import Demand Function: An Empirical Analysis," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 8(6), pages 59-69.
    19. Tarek Tawfik Yousef Alkhateeb & Haider Mahmood, 2020. "Oil Price and Energy Depletion Nexus in GCC Countries: Asymmetry Analyses," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-13, June.
    20. Haider Mahmood & Ahmad M.A. Zamil, 2019. "Oil Price and Slumps Effects on Personal Consumption in Saudi Arabia," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 9(4), pages 12-15.
    21. Le, Thai-Ha & Chang, Youngho, 2013. "Oil price shocks and trade imbalances," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 78-96.
    22. Haider Mahmood & Muntasir Murshed, 2021. "Oil Price and Economic Growth Nexus in Saudi Arabia: Asymmetry Analysis," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 11(1), pages 29-33.
    23. Fayyad, Abdallah & Daly, Kevin, 2011. "The impact of oil price shocks on stock market returns: Comparing GCC countries with the UK and USA," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 12(1), pages 61-78, March.
    24. Khalid Abdullah Alkhathlan & Tarek Tawfik Yousef Alkhateeb & Haider Mahmood & Wardah Abdulrahman Bindabel, 2020. "Determinants of Diversification from Oil Sector in Saudi Arabia," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(5), pages 384-391.
    25. Haider Mahmood & Tarek Tawfik Yousef Alkhateeb & Maleeha Mohammed Zaaf Al-Qahtani & Zafrul Allam & Nawaz Ahmad & Maham Furqan, 2020. "Urbanization, Oil Price and Pollution in Saudi Arabia," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(2), pages 477-482.
    26. Robin C. Sickles & William C. Horrace (ed.), 2014. "Festschrift in Honor of Peter Schmidt," Springer Books, Springer, edition 127, number 978-1-4899-8008-3, September.
    27. Rosmy Jean Louis & Faruk Balli, 2014. "Oil Price and Stock Market Synchronization in Gulf Cooperation Council Countries," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(1), pages 22-51, January.
    28. Haider Mahmood & Tarek Tawfik Yousef Alkhateeb, 2018. "Foreign Direct Investment, Domestic Investment and Oil Price Nexus in Saudi Arabia," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 8(4), pages 147-151.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Tarek Tawfik Yousef Alkhateeb & Haider Mahmood, 2020. "Oil Price and Energy Depletion Nexus in GCC Countries: Asymmetry Analyses," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-13, June.
    2. Tarek Tawfik Yousef Alkhateeb & Haider Mahmood, 2020. "Oil Price and Capital Formation Nexus in GCC Countries: Asymmetry Analyses," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(6), pages 146-151.
    3. Tarek Tawfik Yousef Alkhateeb & Haider Mahmood, 2020. "The Oil Price and Trade Nexus in the Gulf Co-Operation Council Countries," Resources, MDPI, vol. 9(12), pages 1-19, November.
    4. Mahmood, Haider & Chaudhary, A. R., 2013. "Impact of FDI on Income Inequality in Pakistan," MPRA Paper 109460, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Mahmood, Haider & Tanveer, Muhamamd & Ahmad, Abdul-Rahim & Furqan, Maham, 2021. "Rule of Law and Control of Corruption in Managing CO2 Emissions Issue in Pakistan," MPRA Paper 109250, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Mahmood, Haider, 2020. "Impact of financial market development on the CO2 Emissions in GCC countries," MPRA Paper 109134, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Al-Qahtani, Maleeha Mohammed Zaaf & Alkhateeb, Tarek Tawfik Yousef & Mahmood, Haider & Abdalla, Manal Abdalla Zahed & Mawad, Ghada Shihata Ebrahim & Alkhatib, Maha Ahmed Hussein, 2020. "Exploring the Level of Managerial, Political, Academic, Economic and Social Women Empowerment in Saudi Arabia," MPRA Paper 109447, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Muhammad Tanveer & Harsandaldeep Kaur & George Thomas & Haider Mahmood & Mandakini Paruthi & Zhang Yu, 2021. "Mobile Phone Buying Decisions among Young Adults: An Empirical Study of Influencing Factors," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(19), pages 1-18, September.
    9. Tanveer, Muhammad & Mahmood, Haider & Haq, Ikram Ul & Rather, Raouf Ahmad & Ali, Haider, 2021. "Higher Education Quality Assurance Framework Pathway for Transformation in Pakistan: Managerial and Economic Perspectives," MPRA Paper 109253, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Ahmad, Abdul-Rahim & Tasadduq, Imran A. & Imam, Muhammad Hasan & Al-Ahmadi, Mohammad Saad & Ahmad, Muhammad Bilal & Tanveer, Muhammad & Mahmood, Haider, 2021. "Intelligent Decision Support in Automating ABET Accreditation Processes: A Conceptual Framework," MPRA Paper 109151, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Tanveer, Muhammad & Hassan, Shafiqul & Mahmood, Haider & Khan, Syed Abdul Rehman, 2021. "The Use of Social Media by Managers During the Pandemic to Accomplish the Tasks," MPRA Paper 109249, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Haider Mahmood & Awad Ali Alanzi, 2020. "Rule of Law and Environment Nexus in Saudi Arabia," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(5), pages 7-12.
    13. Nusair, Salah A., 2019. "Oil price and inflation dynamics in the Gulf Cooperation Council countries," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 181(C), pages 997-1011.
    14. Rabiu Maijama’a & Kabiru Saidu Musa, 2020. "Crude Oil Price, Urbanization and Environmental Pollution in Nigeria: Evidence from ARDL Approach," Asian Journal of Economic Modelling, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 8(4), pages 227-240, December.
    15. Nasir, Muhammad Ali & Al-Emadi, Ahmed Abdulsalam & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2019. "Importance of oil shocks and the GCC macroeconomy: A structural VAR analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 166-179.
    16. Mahmood, Haider & Alkhateeb, Tarek Tawfik Yousef & Al-Qahtani, Maleeha Mohammed Zaaf & Allam, Zafrul Allam & Ahmad, Nawaz & Furqan, Maham, 2019. "Energy consumption, economic growth and pollution in Saudi Arabia," MPRA Paper 109143, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Mahmood, Haider, 2020. "Level of Education and Renewable Energy Consumption Nexus in Saudi Arabia," MPRA Paper 109141, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    18. Mokni, Khaled & Youssef, Manel, 2019. "Measuring persistence of dependence between crude oil prices and GCC stock markets: A copula approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 14-33.
    19. Khalid Abdullah Alkhathlan & Tarek Tawfik Yousef Alkhateeb & Haider Mahmood & Wardah Abdulrahman Bindabel, 2020. "Determinants of Diversification from Oil Sector in Saudi Arabia," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(5), pages 384-391.
    20. Mokni, Khaled, 2020. "A dynamic quantile regression model for the relationship between oil price and stock markets in oil-importing and oil-exporting countries," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 213(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Oil price; Manufacturing industries; Asymmetry; Nonlinear cointegration;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q41 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Demand and Supply; Prices
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy
    • L60 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Manufacturing - - - General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eco:journ2:2021-03-2. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Ilhan Ozturk (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.econjournals.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.