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Fuel-Mining Exports and Growth in a Developing State: The Case of the UAE

Author

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  • Athanasia Stylianou Kalaitzi

    (Middle East Centre, London School of Economics and Political Science, London, United Kingdom,)

  • Trevor William Chamberlain

    (DeGroote School of Business, McMaster University, Hamilton, Canada)

Abstract

This study examines the causal effects of traditional UAE exports on economic growth over the period 1981-2012, using a neoclassical production function augmented with fuel-mining exports and imports of goods and services. To investigate the existence of a long-run relationship between fuel-mining exports and economic growth, the study applies the Johansen cointegration test, while the direction of the short-run causality is examined by applying the Granger causality test in a vector error correction model framework. In addition, a modified Wald test in an augmented vector autoregressive model, developed by Toda and Yamamoto (1995), is used to investigate the existence of a long-run causality between the variables. The cointegration analysis confirms the existence of a long-run relationship between the variables, while fuel-mining exports are found to have a negative impact on economic growth. Moreover, the study finds that fuel-mining exports do not cause economic growth in the short-run or the long-run.

Suggested Citation

  • Athanasia Stylianou Kalaitzi & Trevor William Chamberlain, 2020. "Fuel-Mining Exports and Growth in a Developing State: The Case of the UAE," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(4), pages 300-308.
    • Handle: RePEc:eco:journ2:2020-04-38
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Athanasia Stylianou Kalaitzi & Trevor W. Chamberlain, 2023. "Manufactured exports, disaggregated imports and economic growth: the case of Kuwait," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(2), pages 919-940, April.
    2. Md Ali Emam & Markus Leibrecht & Tinggui Chen, 2021. "Fish Exports and the Growth of the Agricultural Sector: The Case of South and Southeast Asian Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(20), pages 1-14, October.
    3. Kalaitzi, Athanasia Stylianou & Chamberlain, Trevor William, 2020. "Fuel-mining exports and growth in a developing state: the case of the UAE," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 105207, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    4. Ahmad Al Humssi & Maria Petrovskaya & Milana Abueva, 2022. "Modelling the Impact of World Oil Prices and the Mining and Quarrying Sector on the United Arab Emirates’ GDP," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-22, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Exports; Economic Growth; Causality; UAE;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models

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