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Modeling the Exports Diversification in the Oil Countries Growth: The Case of Gulf Cooperation Council Countries

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  • Mohammad W. Alomari

    (Department of Economics, The Hashemite University, Jordan.)

  • Ala' G. Bashayreh

    (Department of Economics, The Hashemite University, Jordan.)

Abstract

This paper aims at modeling and analyzing the short and long run effects of export diversification on economic growth using the countries Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) panel data for the period 1992-2017. The paper introduces the panel auto regressive distributed lag/pooled mean group (ARDL/PMG) to reach its purpose. The export diversification measured by Theil index. The Pedroni panel cointegration test confirms that the variables are cointegrated, whereas PMG estimates indicate a positive significant long run relationship between export diversification and real gross domestic product (GDP) growth, no significant effect of export diversification in the short run. Results reveal a significant impact of trade openness growth on real GDP growth, which confirms the long-run as well as the short-run relationship between the growth of trade openness and economic growth for the GCC countries. It is worth to mention that the overall effort for GCC region on average had succeed in diversification, and the achieving of their plans goal is start to appear as a long run effect. But the study reveals that results may differ relatively in each country.

Suggested Citation

  • Mohammad W. Alomari & Ala' G. Bashayreh, 2020. "Modeling the Exports Diversification in the Oil Countries Growth: The Case of Gulf Cooperation Council Countries," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(3), pages 119-129.
    • Handle: RePEc:eco:journ2:2020-03-15
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    Cited by:

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    2. Ahmad Al Humssi & Maria Petrovskaya & Milana Abueva, 2022. "Modelling the Impact of World Oil Prices and the Mining and Quarrying Sector on the United Arab Emirates’ GDP," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-22, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Economic growth; Economic diversification; Oil Countries; Trade openness; Structural reform; Panel ARDL/ PMG.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C10 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - General
    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • F11 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Neoclassical Models of Trade
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies
    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • O13 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Agriculture; Natural Resources; Environment; Other Primary Products

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