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Hedge and safe haven status of Bitcoin: copula-DCC approach

Author

Listed:
  • Masao Kumamoto

    (Hitotsubashi University)

  • Juanjuan Zhuo

    (Kochi University)

Abstract

We investigate the financial assets status (diversifier, hedge and safe haven) of Bitcoin and gold against the world and U.S. stock markets. We employ the copula-DCC approach to consider the tail dependence between Bitcoin or gold return and stock return. Our results indicate that Bitcoin is a weak hedge against the world and U.S. stock markets, while gold is a diversifier against the world stock market, but a strong hedge against the U.S. stock market. We also estimate the dynamic conditional betas and find that the returns of Bitcoin and gold are not sensitive to changes in the value of market portfolio. Moreover, we employ the threshold model to investigate whether there exist contagion effects between Bitcoin or gold market and stock markets. Our results show that the increase in market uncertainty weakens the role of Bitcoin as a weak hedge and Bitcoin becomes a diversifier, while it changes the role of gold as a diversifier into a hedge or a safe haven. The above results mean that although Bitcoin is called as “new gold†, the financial assets status of Bitcoin and gold are different.

Suggested Citation

  • Masao Kumamoto & Juanjuan Zhuo, 2021. "Hedge and safe haven status of Bitcoin: copula-DCC approach," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 41(1), pages 125-136.
    • Handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-20-00425
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    File URL: http://www.accessecon.com/Pubs/EB/2021/Volume0/EB-21-V41-I1-P12.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Dirk G. Baur & Brian M. Lucey, 2010. "Is Gold a Hedge or a Safe Haven? An Analysis of Stocks, Bonds and Gold," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 45(2), pages 217-229, May.
    2. De Bock, Reinout & de Carvalho Filho, Irineu, 2015. "The behavior of currencies during risk-off episodes," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 218-234.
    3. Kaul, Aditya & Sapp, Stephen, 2006. "Y2K fears and safe haven trading of the U.S. dollar," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(5), pages 760-779, August.
    4. Fatum, Rasmus & Yamamoto, Yohei, 2016. "Intra-safe haven currency behavior during the global financial crisis," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 49-64.
    5. Scott R. Baker & Nicholas Bloom & Steven J. Davis, 2016. "Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 131(4), pages 1593-1636.
    6. Angelo Ranaldo & Paul Söderlind, 2010. "Safe Haven Currencies," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 14(3), pages 385-407.
    7. Bouri, Elie & Molnár, Peter & Azzi, Georges & Roubaud, David & Hagfors, Lars Ivar, 2017. "On the hedge and safe haven properties of Bitcoin: Is it really more than a diversifier?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 192-198.
    8. Andrew J. Patton, 2006. "Modelling Asymmetric Exchange Rate Dependence," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 47(2), pages 527-556, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. Kliber, Agata, 2022. "Looking for a safe haven against American stocks during COVID-19 pandemic," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bitcoin; Hedge; Safe Haven; Contagion; Copula-DCC Model; Conditional Beta; Threshold Model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets

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