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On the Impacts of Crisis on the Risk Premium: Evidence from the US Stock Market using a Conditional CAPM

  • Arouri Mohamed El Hédi

    ()

    (EDHEC Business School)

  • Jawadi Fredj

    ()

    (Amiens School of Management, LEO Université d''Orléans)

This article investigates the evolution of the US risk premium in periods of crisis. First, we estimate a conditional CAPM with time-varying systematic risk and price of risk using a multivariate GARCH-in-Mean model. Second, we study the structural breaks in the risk premium we obtain. Finally, we relate our results to important facts and economic events. Our findings show that the US risk premium increased significantly during periods of crisis and that the last 2007-2009 financial crisis has had the largest impact.

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File URL: http://www.accessecon.com/Pubs/EB/2010/Volume30/EB-10-V30-I2-P97.pdf
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Article provided by AccessEcon in its journal Economics Bulletin.

Volume (Year): 30 (2010)
Issue (Month): 2 ()
Pages: 1032-1043

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Handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-09-00810
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  1. Perron, P. & Bai, J., 1995. "Estimating and Testing Linear Models with Multiple Structural Changes," Cahiers de recherche 9552, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques.
  2. Carrieri, Francesca & Errunza, Vihang & Hogan, Ked, 2007. "Characterizing World Market Integration through Time," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 42(04), pages 915-940, December.
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  7. Gerard, Bruno & Thanyalakpark, Kessara & Batten, Jonathan A., 2003. "Are the East Asian markets integrated? Evidence from the ICAPM," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 55(5-6), pages 585-607.
  8. Harvey, Campbell R, 1991. " The World Price of Covariance Risk," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 46(1), pages 111-57, March.
  9. Arouri Mohamed el hédi & Jamel Jouini, 2009. "Analysis of structural breaks in the stock market integration of mexico into world," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 29(2), pages 1380-1392.
  10. Fredj Jawadi, 2010. "Financial crises, bank losses, risk management and audit: what happened?," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(10), pages 1019-1022.
  11. Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2008. "Is the 2007 U.S. Sub-Prime Financial Crisis So Different? An International Historical Comparison," NBER Working Papers 13761, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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