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Volatile capital flows: Interactions between de jure and de facto financial liberalization

  • Rebecca Neumann

    ()

    (University of Wisconsin - Milwaukee)

  • Ron Penl

    ()

    (University of Wisconsin - Milwaukee)

Utilizing a panel data set for 13 developed economies, this paper examines the volatility of capital flows following the liberalization of financial markets. The paper focuses on the response of foreign direct investment, portfolio flows, and other debt flows to both financial liberalization and increased capital flows. The regression analysis examines how capital volatility is affected by the interaction between de jure financial liberalization (an index of liberalization) and de facto liberalization (the volume of capital flows). At average and high volumes of capital, financial liberalization is found to increase capital volatility as expected. At lower volumes of capital, financial liberalization reduces capital volatility, particularly for foreign direct investment and other flows, indicating there may be a threshold level of capital flows below which financial liberalization reduces volatility.

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Article provided by AccessEcon in its journal Economics Bulletin.

Volume (Year): 6 (2008)
Issue (Month): 3 ()
Pages: 1-10

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Handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-07f30011
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  1. Neumann, Rebecca M. & Penl, Ron & Tanku, Altin, 2009. "Volatility of capital flows and financial liberalization: Do specific flows respond differently?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 488-501, June.
  2. Hansen, Lars Peter & Hodrick, Robert J, 1980. "Forward Exchange Rates as Optimal Predictors of Future Spot Rates: An Econometric Analysis," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 88(5), pages 829-53, October.
  3. Newey, Whitney K & West, Kenneth D, 1987. "A Simple, Positive Semi-definite, Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 55(3), pages 703-08, May.
  4. Eswar S. Prasad & Raghuram G. Rajan & Arvind Subramanian, 2007. "Foreign Capital and Economic Growth," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 38(1), pages 153-230.
  5. Geert Bekaert & Campbell R. Harvey & Christian Lundblad, 2004. "Growth Volatility and Financial Liberalization," NBER Working Papers 10560, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  6. Braumoeller, Bear F., 2004. "Hypothesis Testing and Multiplicative Interaction Terms," International Organization, Cambridge University Press, vol. 58(04), pages 807-820, October.
  7. Wei, Shang-Jin, 2006. "Connecting two views on financial globalization: Can we make further progress?," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 20(4), pages 459-481, December.
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