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Apertura económica y producto sectorial. Alguna evidencia para la economía Argentina

Author

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  • Luis N. Lanteri

    (Universidad Nacional del Rosario. Argentina)

Abstract

Economistas ortodoxos y heterodoxos han impulsado diferentes medidas de apertura de la economía de acuerdo con su visión respecto de los sectores agropecuario y manufacturero. En este trabajo, se intenta determinar el impacto de los términos del intercambio externos y domésticos (estos últimos consideran la política comercial externa) sobre el producto de ambos sectores y las tasas de desocupación. A tal efecto, se emplea una propuesta de SVAR, con restricciones de largo plazo, y se utilizan datos trimestrales correspondientes a la economía Argentina, que abarcan el período 1993:1-2011:1. Se observa que la varianza del PIB agropecuario es explicada principalmente por los choques en los términos del intercambio externos, a diferencia del PIB manufacturero donde los domésticos son más relevantes (al margen de sus propios choques). A su vez, la volatilidad de las tasas de desocupación responde en mayor medida a los choques en el PIB manufacturero y en los términos del intercambio domésticos.

Suggested Citation

  • Luis N. Lanteri, 2011. "Apertura económica y producto sectorial. Alguna evidencia para la economía Argentina," Economic Analysis Working Papers (2002-2010). Atlantic Review of Economics (2011-2016), Colexio de Economistas de A Coruña, Spain and Fundación Una Galicia Moderna, vol. 2, pages 1-1, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:eac:articl:07/10
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