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Trade Treaties and Deglobalization

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  • Christopher E.S. WARBURTON

Abstract

The central issue in this paper is whether technological innovation and international trade can spur economic growth and sustainable development within a structured environment of trade agreements. By analyzing historical precedents of the United States and data on trade imbalances, innovation, dynamic comparative advantage, weighted exchange rates, poverty, and wages, the evidence suggests that freer international trade very often has a greater potential for increasing welfare and sustainable development, although a few exceptions hold when free trade implies unfair trade, diminution of industrial production per head and strong trade deficits. Implicitly, exports must be strongly encouraged when wages are stagnant, poverty is substantial, production costs are low, and disposable income is insufficient to substantially absorb domestic production. On the other hand, trade imports have positive effects on domestic market when they increase production, productivity and income per head.

Suggested Citation

  • Christopher E.S. WARBURTON, 2017. "Trade Treaties and Deglobalization," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 17(1), pages 71-88.
    • Handle: RePEc:eaa:aeinde:v:17:y:2017:i:1_5
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    File URL: http://www.usc.es/~economet/reviews/aeid1715.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Douglas A. Irwin, 2011. "Peddling Protectionism: Smoot-Hawley and the Great Depression," Economics Books, Princeton University Press, edition 1, number 9430.
    2. Jagdish N. Bhagwati, 2004. "In Defense of Globalization: It Has a Human Face," Rivista di Politica Economica, SIPI Spa, vol. 94(6), pages 9-20, November-.
    3. Mico Loretan, 2005. "Indexes of the foreign exchange value of the dollar," Federal Reserve Bulletin, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), vol. 91(Win), pages 1-8.
    4. Christopher E.S. WARBURTON, 2017. "International Trade And Industrial Recovery In The Usa," Regional and Sectoral Economic Studies, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 17(1), pages 5-22.
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    Blog mentions

    As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:
    1. 38. Selected Readings on World Development in journal AEID: America, 2001-2020
      by MCG Blogs de Economía in Euro-American Association: World Development on 2020-01-17 20:24:00

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    Cited by:

    1. Garg, Shamita & Sushil,, 2021. "Determinants of deglobalization: A hierarchical model to explore their interrelations as a conduit to policy," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 43(2), pages 433-447.
    2. Christopher E.S. WARBURTON, 2017. "International Trade And Industrial Recovery In The Usa," Regional and Sectoral Economic Studies, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 17(1), pages 5-22.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • F18 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade and Environment
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • K33 - Law and Economics - - Other Substantive Areas of Law - - - International Law
    • O13 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Agriculture; Natural Resources; Environment; Other Primary Products
    • O24 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Development Planning and Policy - - - Trade Policy; Factor Movement; Foreign Exchange Policy
    • O44 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Environment and Growth
    • O51 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - U.S.; Canada

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