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Les opérations de Metallgesellschaft sur les marchés à terme de produits pétroliers:spéculation ou couverture ?

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  • Delphine Lautier

    (Université de Nantes)

Abstract

An analysis focusing on the financial aspects is proposed for the strategy initiated by Metallgesellschaft (MG) in 1993-94 on American petroleum markets. According to a specific definition of hedging, and on the basis of a detailed survey of the facts, this strategy is described as speculative. Technically, this deal is considered to be the first attempt to hedge a long term position on the physical markets with short-dated instruments. Arbitrage models derived from the option pricing paradigm allows one to draw the conclusion that this kind of deal is conceivable, but that MG's strategy was deficient. Lastly, a study of the risks indicates that they where probably underestimated.

Suggested Citation

  • Delphine Lautier, 1998. "Les opérations de Metallgesellschaft sur les marchés à terme de produits pétroliers:spéculation ou couverture ?," Revue Finance Contrôle Stratégie, revues.org, vol. 1(3), pages 107-129, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:dij:revfcs:v:1:y:1998:i:q3:p:107-129
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Christopher L. Culp & Merton H. Miller, 1995. "Metallgesellschaft And The Economics Of Synthetic Storage," Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, Morgan Stanley, vol. 7(4), pages 62-76, January.
    2. Culp Christopher L. & Miller Merton H., 1995. "Metallgesellschaft and the Economics of Synthetic Storage," Zeitschrift für Bankrecht und Bankwirtschaft (ZBB) / Journal of Banking Law and Banking (JBB), RWS Verlag, vol. 7(1), pages 2-14, March.
    3. Schwartz, Eduardo S, 1997. "The Stochastic Behavior of Commodity Prices: Implications for Valuation and Hedging," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 52(3), pages 923-973, July.
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    5. Holbrook Working, 1953. "Hedging Reconsidered," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 35(4), pages 544-561.
    6. Franklin R. Edwards & Michael S. Canter, 1995. "The Collapse Of Metallgesellschaft: Unhedgeable Risks, Poor Hedging Strategy, Or Just Bad Luck?," Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, Morgan Stanley, vol. 8(1), pages 86-105, March.
    7. Brennan, Michael J & Schwartz, Eduardo S, 1985. "Evaluating Natural Resource Investments," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 58(2), pages 135-157, April.
    8. Antonio S. Mello & John E. Parsons, 1995. "Maturity Structure Of A Hedge Matters: Lessons From The Metallgesellschaft Debacle," Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, Morgan Stanley, vol. 8(1), pages 106-121, March.
    9. Christopher L. Culp & Merton H. Miller, 1995. "Hedging In The Theory Of Corporate Finance: A Reply To Our Critics," Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, Morgan Stanley, vol. 8(1), pages 121-128, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Delphine Lautier & Yves Simon, 2004. "La volatilité des prix des matières premières," Revue d'Économie Financière, Programme National Persée, vol. 74(1), pages 45-84.
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    3. repec:dau:papers:123456789/1227 is not listed on IDEAS

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