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La lucha por el control territorial en Colombia: Un análisis de la dinámica del conflicto armado

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  • Juan Fernando Henao Duque
  • Jorge Eliécer Montoya Gallo
  • Felipe Alberto Velásquez Orozco

Abstract

Resumen: Este artículo revisa la literatura de la teoría del conflicto armado y examina su aplicación a la lucha de los insurgentes con el Estado por el control territorial y político en Colombia durante 1999-2010. El análisis examina tres sub-periodos durante este tiempo y varias regiones geográficas, con el fin de analizar el efecto de los diferentes niveles de capacidad de los participantes en las dinámicas del conflicto, medido por la intensidad del conflicto a través del tiempo. Concluimos que mientras haya asimetrías entre el Estado y la insurgencia, es muy probable que la confrontación armada continúe. Abstract: This paper reviews the literature on the theory of armed conflict and examines its application to the insurgents´ struggle with the State for political and territorial control in Colombia during 1999-2010. The analysis examines three sub-periods during this period and several geographic regions to analyze the effect of varying levels of participant capability on the dynamics of the conflict, as measured by the intensity of the conflict over time. We conclude that as long as there are asymmetries between the State and the insurgency, armed confrontation is likely to continue.

Suggested Citation

  • Juan Fernando Henao Duque & Jorge Eliécer Montoya Gallo & Felipe Alberto Velásquez Orozco, 2015. "La lucha por el control territorial en Colombia: Un análisis de la dinámica del conflicto armado," Revista Ecos de Economía, Universidad EAFIT, vol. 19(40), pages 81-105, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000442:013827
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Economía política; geografía económica; seguridad democrática; conflicto armado; juegos no cooperativos; Colombia;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D74 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Conflict; Conflict Resolution; Alliances; Revolutions
    • C72 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory - - - Noncooperative Games
    • R12 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity; Interregional Trade (economic geography)

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