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Aktive Arbeitsmarktpolitik und Wahltermine

Author

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  • Mario Mechtel
  • Niklas Potrafke

    ()

Abstract

Zahlreiche Studien haben gezeigt, dass Wähler ihre Zustimmung oder Ablehnung zur amtierenden Regierung entscheidend davon abhängig machen, wie sie deren Leistung in Bezug auf die Arbeitsmarktsituation einschätzen. Regierungen haben aus diesem Grund einen Anreiz, Arbeitslosigkeit insbesondere vor Wahlen zu reduzieren, um an Popularität zu gewinnen und ihre Wiederwahlchancen zu vergrößern. Ein möglicher Weg für Regierungen, dieses Ziel zu erreichen, ist – wie in einer aktuellen Studie, die auf Daten für die westdeutschen Bundesländer über den Zeitraum von 1985 bis 2004 basiert, gezeigt wird – die Einführung von Maßnahmen der aktiven Arbeitsmarktpolitik, um die offiziellen Arbeitslosenzahlen rechtzeitig vor dem Urnengang zu senken.

Suggested Citation

  • Mario Mechtel & Niklas Potrafke, 2012. "Aktive Arbeitsmarktpolitik und Wahltermine," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 65(16), pages 35-37, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:65:y:2012:i:16:p:35-37
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    File URL: http://www.cesifo-group.de/DocDL/ifosd_2012_16_4.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mario Mechtel & Niklas Potrafke, 2013. "Electoral cycles in active labor market policies," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 156(1), pages 181-194, July.
    2. repec:cup:apsrev:v:71:y:1977:i:04:p:1467-1487_26 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Kluve, Jochen & Lehmann, Hartmut & Schmidt, Christoph M., 2008. "Disentangling Treatment Effects of Active Labor Market Policies: The Role of Labor Force Status Sequences," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 15(6), pages 1270-1295, December.
    4. Fertig, Michael & Schmidt, Christoph M. & Schneider, Hilmar, 2006. "Active labor market policy in Germany--Is there a successful policy strategy?," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 399-430, May.
    5. Kenneth Rogoff & Anne Sibert, 1988. "Elections and Macroeconomic Policy Cycles," Review of Economic Studies, Oxford University Press, vol. 55(1), pages 1-16.
    6. Alesina, Alberto, 1987. "Macroeconomic Policy in a Two-party System as a Repeated Game," Scholarly Articles 4552531, Harvard University Department of Economics.
    7. Alberto Alesina, 1987. "Macroeconomic Policy in a Two-Party System as a Repeated Game," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 102(3), pages 651-678.
    8. William D. Nordhaus, 1975. "The Political Business Cycle," Review of Economic Studies, Oxford University Press, vol. 42(2), pages 169-190.
    9. Rafael Lalive & JanC. vanOurs & Josef Zweimüller, 2008. "The Impact of Active Labour Market Programmes on The Duration of Unemployment in Switzerland," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 118(525), pages 235-257, January.
    10. Mueller,Dennis C., 2003. "Public Choice III," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521894753.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Arbeitsmarktpolitik; Wahl; Wahlkampf; Deutschland;

    JEL classification:

    • D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
    • J21 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure

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