IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bxr/bxrceb/2013-93448.html

Crises bancaires dans les pays de l'UEMOA :un système d'alerte avancée fondé sur une approche logit multinomiale

Author

Listed:
  • Alain Angora
  • Amine Tarazi

Abstract

Nous analysons d’une part, le rôle des indicateurs macroéconomiques et des variables bancaires dans la crise bancaire survenue dans les pays de l’UEMOA. D’autre part, nous proposons un système d’alerte avancée fondé sur un modèle Logit multinomial. Nos résultats montrent que le modèle augmenté de variables spécifiques aux banques présente un meilleur pouvoir prédictif. Par ailleurs, nous confrontons la capacité prédictive de notre approche multinomiale à celle des modèles binaires :la prise en compte de plus de deux régimes permet de réduire le nombre de fausses alertes et d’aider les superviseurs bancaires à décrypter les caractéristiques d’une crise annoncée.

Suggested Citation

  • Alain Angora & Amine Tarazi, 2011. "Crises bancaires dans les pays de l'UEMOA :un système d'alerte avancée fondé sur une approche logit multinomiale," Brussels Economic Review, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles, vol. 54(1), pages 21-50.
    • Handle: RePEc:bxr:bxrceb:2013/93448
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://dipot.ulb.ac.be/dspace/bitstream/2013/93448/1/ARTICLEANGORA-TARAZI.pdf
    File Function: ARTICLE ANGORA-TARAZI
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Kpégo Didier Anatole Gbenou, 2018. "Modélisation de la prévision du stress financier du système bancaire des pays de l'UEMOA: Evidence empirique du rôle des facteurs institutionnels," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 30(3), pages 264-277, September.
    2. Kadandji Andre & Djekna Votsoma, 2018. "The Influence of Loan Portfolio Quality on Sound Banking in CEMAC: The Importance of Bank¡¯s Internal and External Environment," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 10(7), pages 136-136, July.
    3. Kauko, Karlo, 2014. "How to foresee banking crises? A survey of the empirical literature," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 289-308.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bxr:bxrceb:2013/93448. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Benoit Pauwels (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/dulbebe.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.