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The Spatial and Demographic Determinants of Racial Threat

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  • Joshua N. Zingher
  • M. Steen Thomas

Abstract

type="main"> Although scholars have cast doubt on Key's ( ) racial threat hypothesis, race continues to play a central role in American politics. But does living in a racially diverse context lead to liberalization or a white backlash? We aim to test the validity of the racial threat hypothesis in the modern-day Deep South. The data used for this analysis span multiple federal elections from the state of Louisiana, from 2000, 2004, and 2008, in addition to census data from 2000 and 2010. We utilize ArcGIS mapping software to construct a detailed depiction of voters’ racial environments. We find that whites who live in racially diverse precincts exhibit lower rates of turnout than whites in homogenous precincts; however, segregation within the precinct mitigates the liberalizing effects of precinct-level diversity among whites. The results of our analysis provide help to clarify the previously mixed empirical findings regarding the geographic distribution of minorities and white racial conservatism.

Suggested Citation

  • Joshua N. Zingher & M. Steen Thomas, 2014. "The Spatial and Demographic Determinants of Racial Threat," Social Science Quarterly, Southwestern Social Science Association, vol. 95(4), pages 1137-1154, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:socsci:v:95:y:2014:i:4:p:1137-1154
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1111/ssqu.12095
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Giles, Micheal W. & Hertz, Kaenan, 1994. "Racial Threat and Partisan Identification," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 88(2), pages 317-326, June.
    2. Hopkins, Daniel J., 2010. "Politicized Places: Explaining Where and When Immigrants Provoke Local Opposition," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 104(1), pages 40-60, February.
    3. Glaser, James M., 2003. "Social Context and Inter-Group Political Attitudes: Experiments in Group Conflict Theory," British Journal of Political Science, Cambridge University Press, vol. 33(4), pages 607-620, October.
    4. Brambor, Thomas & Clark, William Roberts & Golder, Matt, 2006. "Understanding Interaction Models: Improving Empirical Analyses," Political Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 14(1), pages 63-82, January.
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    2. Gabriel Heller‐Sahlgren, 2023. "Group threat and voter turnout: Evidence from a refugee placement program," Economics and Politics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(2), pages 470-504, July.
    3. Jakina Debnam Guzman & Marie Christelle Mabeu & Roland Pongou, 2021. "Identity During a Pandemic: COVID-19 and Ethnic Divisions in the United States," Working Papers 2101E Classification-I14,, University of Ottawa, Department of Economics.

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