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Bubbles In Exchange Rates And Monetary Policy

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  • Fernando Alexandre
  • Pedro Bação
  • John Driffill

Abstract

We evaluate the macroeconomic performance of different monetary policy rules when there are bubbles in the exchange rate. We do this in the context of a non-linear rational expectations model. The exchange rate is allowed to deviate from its fundamental value and the persistence of the deviation is modeled as a Markov switching process. Our results suggest that reacting to exchange rate movements does not significantly improve welfare. However, taking into account the switching nature of the economy may be more beneficial.

Suggested Citation

  • Fernando Alexandre & Pedro Bação & John Driffill, 2011. "Bubbles In Exchange Rates And Monetary Policy," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 58(1), pages 29-50, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:scotjp:v:58:y:2011:i:1:p:29-50
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1111/j.1467-9485.2010.00539.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    3. Paul De Grauwe & Zhaoyong Zhang & Kin-Yip Ho & Yanlin Shi & Zhaoyong Zhang, 2016. "It takes two to tango: A regime-switching analysis of the correlation dynamics between the mainland Chinese and Hong Kong stock markets," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 63(1), pages 41-65, February.

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