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Credit Rationing, Income Exaggeration, and Adverse Selection in the Mortgage Market

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  • BRENT W. AMBROSE
  • JAMES CONKLIN
  • JIRO YOSHIDA

Abstract

We examine the role of borrower concerns about future credit availability in mitigating the effects of adverse selection and income misrepresentation in the mortgage market. We show that the majority of additional risk associated with “low‐doc” mortgages originated prior to the Great Recession was due to adverse selection on the part of borrowers who could verify income but chose not to. We provide novel evidence that these borrowers were more likely to inflate or exaggerate their income. Our analysis suggests that recent regulatory changes that have essentially eliminated the low‐doc loan product would result in credit rationing against self‐employed borrowers.

Suggested Citation

  • Brent W. Ambrose & James Conklin & Jiro Yoshida, 2016. "Credit Rationing, Income Exaggeration, and Adverse Selection in the Mortgage Market," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 71(6), pages 2637-2686, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jfinan:v:71:y:2016:i:6:p:2637-2686
    DOI: 10.1111/jofi.12426
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Kiana Basiri & Babak Mahmoudi, 2021. "Possible income misstatement on mortgage loan applications: Evidence from the Canadian housing market," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 49(3), pages 917-935, September.
    2. James N. Conklin & Moussa Diop & Thao Le & Walter D’Lima, 2019. "The Importance of Originator-Servicer Affiliation in Loan Renegotiation," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 59(1), pages 56-89, July.
    3. Timothy Dombrowski & R. Kelley Pace & Junbo Wang, 2024. "Imputing Borrower Heterogeneity and Dynamics in Mortgage Default Models," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 68(3), pages 462-487, April.
    4. Griffin, John M. & Kruger, Samuel & Maturana, Gonzalo, 2021. "What drove the 2003–2006 house price boom and subsequent collapse? Disentangling competing explanations," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(3), pages 1007-1035.
    5. Brent W. Ambrose & Moussa Diop & Walter D’Lima & Mark Thibodeau, 2019. "Risk and Performance of Mutual Funds’ Securitized Mortgage Investments," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 59(4), pages 515-548, November.
    6. Oleksandr Talavera & Haofeng Xu, 2018. "Role of Verification in Peer-to-Peer Lending," Working Papers 2018-25, Swansea University, School of Management.
    7. Conklin, James N. & Frame, W. Scott & Gerardi, Kristopher & Liu, Haoyang, 2022. "Villains or scapegoats? The role of subprime borrowers in driving the U.S. housing boom," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    8. Sumit Agarwal & Yongheng Deng & Jia He & Yonglin Wang & Qi Zhang, 2023. "Lenders’ pricing strategy: Do neighborhood risks matter?," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 51(4), pages 1011-1047, July.
    9. W. Scott Frame, 2018. "Agency Conflicts In Residential Mortgage Securitization: What Does The Empirical Literature Tell Us?," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 41(2), pages 237-251, June.
    10. Zhao, Yunhui, 2016. "Got Hurt for What You Paid? Revisiting Government Subsidy in the U.S. Mortgage Market," MPRA Paper 81083, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 01 Aug 2017.
    11. Sumit Agarwal & Swee Hoon Ang & Yongheng Deng & Yonglin Wang, 2021. "Mortgage Brokers and the Effectiveness of Regulatory Oversights," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 67(8), pages 5278-5300, August.
    12. Pedro Gete & Michael Reher, 2018. "Mortgage Supply and Housing Rents," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 31(12), pages 4884-4911.
    13. James Conklin & N. Edward Coulson & Moussa Diop & Thao Le, 2020. "Competition and Appraisal Inflation," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 61(1), pages 1-38, June.
    14. James Conklin & Moussa Diop & Mingming Qiu, 2022. "Religion and Mortgage Misrepresentation," Journal of Business Ethics, Springer, vol. 179(1), pages 273-295, August.
    15. Samuel Kruger & Gonzalo Maturana, 2021. "Collateral Misreporting in the Residential Mortgage-Backed Security Market," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 67(5), pages 2729-2750, May.
    16. Eric Higgins & Abdullah Yavas & Shuang Zhu, 2022. "Private mortgage securitization and loss given default," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 50(5), pages 1334-1359, September.
    17. Luis Arturo Lopez & Shawn J. McCoy & Vivek Sah, 2022. "Steering consumers to lenders in residential real estate markets," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 50(6), pages 1596-1641, November.

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