IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bla/inecol/v28y2024i2p194-215.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Electric and gasoline vehicle total cost of ownership across US cities

Author

Listed:
  • Maxwell Woody
  • Shawn A. Adderly
  • Rushabh Bohra
  • Gregory A. Keoleian

Abstract

Vehicle electrification can significantly decarbonize the transportation sector. Widespread adoption of electric vehicles (EVs) depends on their cost relative to conventional alternatives. Here we compare the total cost of ownership (TCO) of gasoline, hybrid, and electric vehicles. First, we review previous TCO studies, showing that the components (e.g., purchase price, financing, taxes, fees, insurance, refueling, maintenance, repair, and home charging equipment for EVs), parameters (e.g., vehicle miles traveled, discount rate, and lifetime), and methods differ greatly. Then, we develop a comprehensive TCO model comparing across five vehicle classes, three powertrains, and three EV ranges. Using 14 cities in the United States and multiple charging scenarios, we investigate TCO variability based on location and use pattern. We include adjustments for local gasoline prices, electricity rate plans, home charging access, and the impact of local temperatures and drive cycles on fuel economy, among other factors. We show that for a 300‐mile range midsize electric SUV, TCO varies by $52,000, or nearly 40%, across locations. Home charging access reduces the lifetime cost by approximately $10,000 on average, and up to $26,000. EVs are more competitive in cities with high gasoline prices, low electricity prices, moderate climates, and direct purchase incentives, and for users with home charging access, time‐of‐use electricity pricing, and high annual mileage. In general, we find that small and low‐range EVs are less expensive than gasoline vehicles. Larger, long‐range EVs are currently more expensive than their gasoline counterparts. And midsize EVs can reach cost parity in some cities if incentives are applied.

Suggested Citation

  • Maxwell Woody & Shawn A. Adderly & Rushabh Bohra & Gregory A. Keoleian, 2024. "Electric and gasoline vehicle total cost of ownership across US cities," Journal of Industrial Ecology, Yale University, vol. 28(2), pages 194-215, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:inecol:v:28:y:2024:i:2:p:194-215
    DOI: 10.1111/jiec.13463
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1111/jiec.13463
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1111/jiec.13463?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. John E. T. Bistline & Geoffrey Blanford & John Grant & Eladio Knipping & David L. McCollum & Uarporn Nopmongcol & Heidi Scarth & Tejas Shah & Greg Yarwood, 2022. "Economy-wide evaluation of CO2 and air quality impacts of electrification in the United States," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-12, December.
    2. Scorrano, Mariangela & Danielis, Romeo & Giansoldati, Marco, 2020. "Dissecting the total cost of ownership of fully electric cars in Italy: The impact of annual distance travelled, home charging and urban driving," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    3. Alexandre Milovanoff & I. Daniel Posen & Heather L. MacLean, 2020. "Electrification of light-duty vehicle fleet alone will not meet mitigation targets," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 10(12), pages 1102-1107, December.
    4. Yang Ju & Lara J. Cushing & Rachel Morello-Frosch, 2020. "An equity analysis of clean vehicle rebate programs in California," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 162(4), pages 2087-2105, October.
    5. Xinyu Liang & Shaojun Zhang & Ye Wu & Jia Xing & Xiaoyi He & K. Max Zhang & Shuxiao Wang & Jiming Hao, 2019. "Air quality and health benefits from fleet electrification in China," Nature Sustainability, Nature, vol. 2(10), pages 962-971, October.
    6. Gallagher, Kelly Sims & Muehlegger, Erich, 2011. "Giving green to get green? Incentives and consumer adoption of hybrid vehicle technology," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 61(1), pages 1-15, January.
    7. Taiebat, Morteza & Stolper, Samuel & Xu, Ming, 2022. "Widespread range suitability and cost competitiveness of electric vehicles for ride-hailing drivers," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 319(C).
    8. Liu, Zhe & Song, Juhyun & Kubal, Joseph & Susarla, Naresh & Knehr, Kevin W. & Islam, Ehsan & Nelson, Paul & Ahmed, Shabbir, 2021. "Comparing total cost of ownership of battery electric vehicles and internal combustion engine vehicles," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    9. Santos, Georgina & Rembalski, Sebastian, 2021. "Do electric vehicles need subsidies in the UK?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    10. Delucchi, Mark A, 2021. "Avcem Documentation Part 3: Review Of The Literature On The Private And Social Lifetime Cost Of Electric And Alternative-Fuel Vehicle Costs," Institute of Transportation Studies, Research Reports, Working Papers, Proceedings qt8dq1b82q, Institute of Transportation Studies, UC Berkeley.
    11. Delucchi, Mark A, 2021. "Avcem Documentation Part 3: Review Of The Literature On The Private And Social Lifetime Cost Of Electric And Alternative-Fuel Vehicle Costs," Institute of Transportation Studies, Working Paper Series qt8dq1b82q, Institute of Transportation Studies, UC Davis.
    12. Zachary A. Needell & James McNerney & Michael T. Chang & Jessika E. Trancik, 2016. "Potential for widespread electrification of personal vehicle travel in the United States," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 1(9), pages 1-7, September.
    13. Maxwell Woody & Gregory A. Keoleian & Parth Vaishnav, 2023. "Decarbonization potential of electrifying 50% of U.S. light-duty vehicle sales by 2030," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-12, December.
    14. Palmer, Kate & Tate, James E. & Wadud, Zia & Nellthorp, John, 2018. "Total cost of ownership and market share for hybrid and electric vehicles in the UK, US and Japan," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 209(C), pages 108-119.
    15. Sendek-Matysiak Ewelina & Krzysztof Grysa, 2021. "Assessment of the Total Cost of Ownership of Electric Vehicles in Poland," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(16), pages 1-20, August.
    16. Anatole Desreveaux & Eric Hittinger & Alain Bouscayrol & Elodie Castex & Gabriel Mihai Sirbu, 2020. "Techno-Economic Comparison of Total Cost of Ownership of Electric and Diesel Vehicles," Post-Print halshs-03182182, HAL.
    17. Lévay, Petra Zsuzsa & Drossinos, Yannis & Thiel, Christian, 2017. "The effect of fiscal incentives on market penetration of electric vehicles: A pairwise comparison of total cost of ownership," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 524-533.
    18. Cox, Brian & Bauer, Christian & Mendoza Beltran, Angelica & van Vuuren, Detlef P. & Mutel, Christopher L., 2020. "Life cycle environmental and cost comparison of current and future passenger cars under different energy scenarios," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 269(C).
    19. Siti Indati Mustapa & Bamidele Victor Ayodele & Waznatol Widad Mohamad Ishak & Freida Ozavize Ayodele, 2020. "Evaluation of Cost Competitiveness of Electric Vehicles in Malaysia Using Life Cycle Cost Analysis Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(13), pages 1-14, June.
    20. Fan Yang & Yuanyuan Xie & Yelin Deng & Chris Yuan, 2018. "Predictive modeling of battery degradation and greenhouse gas emissions from U.S. state-level electric vehicle operation," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 9(1), pages 1-10, December.
    21. Jorg Roosen & Wim Marneffe & Lode Vereeck, 2015. "A Review of Comparative Vehicle Cost Analysis," Transport Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(6), pages 720-748, November.
    22. Antonio Bento & Kevin Roth & Yiou Zuo, 2018. "Vehicle Lifetime Trends and Scrappage Behavior in the U.S. Used Car Market," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 1).
    23. Scorrano, Mariangela & Danielis, Romeo & Giansoldati, Marco, 2021. "Electric light commercial vehicles for a cleaner urban goods distribution. Are they cost competitive?," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    24. Danielis, Romeo & Giansoldati, Marco & Rotaris, Lucia, 2018. "A probabilistic total cost of ownership model to evaluate the current and future prospects of electric cars uptake in Italy," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 268-281.
    25. Stokes, Leah C. & Breetz, Hanna L., 2018. "Politics in the U.S. energy transition: Case studies of solar, wind, biofuels and electric vehicles policy," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 76-86.
    26. Moon, Saedaseul & Lee, Deok-Joo, 2019. "An optimal electric vehicle investment model for consumers using total cost of ownership: A real option approach," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 253(C), pages 1-1.
    27. Archsmith, James & Kendall, Alissa & Rapson, David, 2015. "From Cradle to Junkyard: Assessing the Life Cycle Greenhouse Gas Benefits of Electric Vehicles," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 72-90.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Malima, Gabriel Clement & Moyo, Francis, 2023. "Are electric vehicles economically viable in sub-Saharan Africa? The total cost of ownership of internal combustion engine and electric vehicles in Tanzania," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 141(C), pages 14-26.
    2. Kondev, Bozhil & Dixon, James & Zhou, Zhaoqi & Sabyrbekov, Rahat & Sultanaliev, Kanat & Hirmer, Stephanie A., 2023. "Putting the foot down: Accelerating EV uptake in Kyrgyzstan," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 87-96.
    3. Santos, Georgina & Rembalski, Sebastian, 2021. "Do electric vehicles need subsidies in the UK?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    4. Breetz, Hanna L. & Salon, Deborah, 2018. "Do electric vehicles need subsidies? Ownership costs for conventional, hybrid, and electric vehicles in 14 U.S. cities," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 238-249.
    5. Liu, Zhe & Song, Juhyun & Kubal, Joseph & Susarla, Naresh & Knehr, Kevin W. & Islam, Ehsan & Nelson, Paul & Ahmed, Shabbir, 2021. "Comparing total cost of ownership of battery electric vehicles and internal combustion engine vehicles," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    6. Schwab, Julia & Sölch, Christian & Zöttl, Gregor, 2022. "Electric Vehicle Cost in 2035: The impact of market penetration and charging strategies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    7. Mariangela Scorrano & Terje Andreas Mathisen & Marco Giansoldati, 2019. "Is electric car uptake driven by monetary factors? A total cost of ownership comparison between Norway and Italy," ECONOMICS AND POLICY OF ENERGY AND THE ENVIRONMENT, FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 0(2), pages 99-132.
    8. Hao, Xu & Lin, Zhenhong & Wang, Hewu & Ou, Shiqi & Ouyang, Minggao, 2020. "Range cost-effectiveness of plug-in electric vehicle for heterogeneous consumers: An expanded total ownership cost approach," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 275(C).
    9. Aryanpur, Vahid & Balyk, Olexandr & Daly, Hannah & Ó Gallachóir, Brian & Glynn, James, 2022. "Decarbonisation of passenger light-duty vehicles using spatially resolved TIMES-Ireland Model," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 316(C).
    10. Desreveaux, A. & Bouscayrol, A. & Trigui, R. & Hittinger, E. & Castex, E. & Sirbu, G.M., 2023. "Accurate energy consumption for comparison of climate change impact of thermal and electric vehicles," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 268(C).
    11. Biresselioglu, Mehmet Efe & Demirbag Kaplan, Melike & Yilmaz, Barbara Katharina, 2018. "Electric mobility in Europe: A comprehensive review of motivators and barriers in decision making processes," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 1-13.
    12. Maxwell Woody & Michael T. Craig & Parth T. Vaishnav & Geoffrey M. Lewis & Gregory A. Keoleian, 2022. "Optimizing future cost and emissions of electric delivery vehicles," Journal of Industrial Ecology, Yale University, vol. 26(3), pages 1108-1122, June.
    13. Mengnan Li & Haiyi Ye & Xiawei Liao & Junping Ji & Xiaoming Ma, 2020. "How Shenzhen, China pioneered the widespread adoption of electric vehicles in a major city: Implications for global implementation," Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Energy and Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 9(4), July.
    14. Say, Kelvin & Csereklyei, Zsuzsanna & Brown, Felix Gabriel & Wang, Changlong, 2023. "The economics of public transport electrification: A case study from Victoria, Australia," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    15. Gil Ribeiro, Carolina & Silveira, Semida, 2024. "The impact of financial incentives on the total cost of ownership of electric light commercial vehicles in EU countries," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 179(C).
    16. Scorrano, Mariangela & Danielis, Romeo & Giansoldati, Marco, 2020. "Dissecting the total cost of ownership of fully electric cars in Italy: The impact of annual distance travelled, home charging and urban driving," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    17. Amela Ajanovic & Reinhard Haas, 2020. "On the economics and the future prospects of battery electric vehicles," Greenhouse Gases: Science and Technology, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 10(6), pages 1151-1164, December.
    18. Martins, H. & Henriques, C.O. & Figueira, J.R. & Silva, C.S. & Costa, A.S., 2023. "Assessing policy interventions to stimulate the transition of electric vehicle technology in the European Union," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 87(PB).
    19. Gábor Horváth & Attila Bai & Sándor Szegedi & István Lázár & Csongor Máthé & László Huzsvai & Máté Zakar & Zoltán Gabnai & Tamás Tóth, 2023. "A Comprehensive Review of the Distinctive Tendencies of the Diffusion of E-Mobility in Central Europe," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(14), pages 1-29, July.
    20. Alali, Layla & Niesten, Eva & Gagliardi, Dimitri, 2022. "The impact of UK financial incentives on the adoption of electric fleets: The moderation effect of GDP change," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 161(C), pages 200-220.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bla:inecol:v:28:y:2024:i:2:p:194-215. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.blackwellpublishing.com/journal.asp?ref=1088-1980 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.