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Risk‐Adjusted Long‐Term Contrarian Profits: Evidence from Non‐S&P 500 High‐Volume Stocks

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  • Udomsak Wongchoti
  • Chong Soo Pyun

Abstract

Can trading volume help unravel the long‐term overreaction puzzle? With portfolios of non‐S&P 500 NYSE stocks, we show that (1) both the high‐ and low‐volume (abnormal volume) contrarian portfolios earn a much higher market‐adjusted excess return than the normal‐volume contrarian portfolio, (2) however, when leverage‐induced risk is factored in, excess returns from contrarian portfolios with normal‐ and low‐volume stocks are insignificant, (3) only excess returns from high‐volume contrarian stocks are significant and cannot be explained by the time‐varying risk and return framework, and (4) such high‐volume, risk‐adjusted excess returns arise mainly from winner (glamour) stocks.

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  • Udomsak Wongchoti & Chong Soo Pyun, 2005. "Risk‐Adjusted Long‐Term Contrarian Profits: Evidence from Non‐S&P 500 High‐Volume Stocks," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 40(3), pages 335-359, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:finrev:v:40:y:2005:i:3:p:335-359
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1540-6288.2005.00105.x
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    2. William Forbes & Egor Kiselev & Len Skerratt, 2023. "The stability and downside risk to contrarian profits: Evidence from the S&P 500," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(1), pages 733-750, January.
    3. Wu, Yuliang & Li, Youwei, 2011. "Long-term return reversals--Value and growth or tax? UK evidence," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 21(3), pages 347-368, July.

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