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Price Momentum and Trading Volume

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  • Charles M.C. Lee

    (Johnson Graduate School of Management, Cornell University)

  • Bhaskaran Swaminathan

    (Johnson Graduate School of Management, Cornell University)

Abstract

This study shows that past trading volume provides an important link between 'momentum' and 'value' strategies. Specifically, we find that firms with high (low) past turnover ratios exhibit many glamour (value) characteristics, earn lower (higher) future returns, and have consistently more negative (positive) earnings surprises over the next eight quarters. Past trading volume also predicts both the magnitude and persistence of price momentum. Specifically, price momentum effects reverse over the next five years, and high (low) volume winners (losers) experience faster reversals. Collectively, our findings show that past volume helps to reconcile intermediate-horizon 'underreaction' and long-horizon 'overreaction' effects. Copyright The American Finance Association 2000.

Suggested Citation

  • Charles M.C. Lee & Bhaskaran Swaminathan, 2000. "Price Momentum and Trading Volume," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 55(5), pages 2017-2069, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:jfinan:v:55:y:2000:i:5:p:2017-2069
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