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An Emissions Trading Scheme for Australia: National and Regional Impacts

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Listed:
  • Philip D. Adams
  • Brian R. Parmenter
  • George Verikios

Abstract

type="main" xml:id="ecor12117-abs-0001"> Computable general equilibrium modelling in Australia is oriented towards providing inputs to the policy-formation process, a process that requires detail. We explain how the necessary level of detail can be provided using analysis of the potential economic impacts of a carbon price on the Australian economy that operates as part of a global emissions trading scheme. The global scheme sets the price and allocation of permits across countries. We find that domestic abatement falls well short of targeted abatement, Australia's GDP is 1.1 per cent lower relative to the basecase, and some industries and regions are vulnerable to employment losses.

Suggested Citation

  • Philip D. Adams & Brian R. Parmenter & George Verikios, 2014. "An Emissions Trading Scheme for Australia: National and Regional Impacts," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 90(290), pages 316-344, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:ecorec:v:90:y:2014:i:290:p:316-344
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1111/ecor.2014.90.issue-290
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    Cited by:

    1. Jafari, Yaghoob & Engemann, Helena & Heckelei, Thomas & Hainsch, Karlo, 2023. "National and Regional Economic Impacts of changes in Germany's electricity mix: A dynamic analysis through 2050," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    2. Hodges, Cedric, 2020. "The future of Australia’s thermal coal industry in a low carbon environment," Conference papers 333232, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    3. Mishra, Vinod & Smyth, Russell, 2017. "Conditional convergence in Australia's energy consumption at the sector level," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 396-403.
    4. Nong, Duy & Meng, Sam & Siriwardana, Mahinda, 2017. "An assessment of a proposed ETS in Australia by using the MONASH-Green model," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 281-291.
    5. Standardi, Gabriele & Cai, Yiyong & Yeh, Sonia, 2017. "Sensitivity of modeling results to technological and regional details: The case of Italy's carbon mitigation policy," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 116-128.
    6. Nong, Duy & Simshauser, Paul, 2020. "On energy and climate change policies: The impact of baseline projections," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 269(C).
    7. Nong, Duy & Siriwardana, Mahinda, 2018. "Effects on the U.S. economy of its proposed withdrawal from the Paris Agreement: A quantitative assessment," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 621-629.
    8. Nong, Duy, 2019. "Potential economic impacts of global wild catch fishery decline in Southeast Asia and South America," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 213-226.
    9. Nong, Duy & Simshauser, Paul & Nguyen, Duong Binh, 2021. "Greenhouse gas emissions vs CO2 emissions: Comparative analysis of a global carbon tax," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 298(C).
    10. Nelson, Tim & Pascoe, Owen & Calais, Prabpreet & Mitchell, Lily & McNeill, Judith, 2019. "Efficient integration of climate and energy policy in Australia’s National Electricity Market," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 178-193.
    11. John Freebairn, 2016. "A Comparison of Policy Instruments to Reduce Greenhouse Gas Emissions," Economic Papers, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 35(3), pages 204-215, September.
    12. Tim Nelson & Tahlia Nolan & Joel Gilmore, 2022. "What’s next for the Renewable Energy Target – resolving Australia’s integration of energy and climate change policy?," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 66(1), pages 136-163, January.
    13. Zhaojun Wang & Duy Nong & Amanda M. Countryman & James J. Corbett & Travis Warziniack, 2020. "Potential impacts of ballast water regulations on international trade, shipping patterns, and the global economy: An integrated transportation and economic modeling assessment," Papers 2008.11334, arXiv.org.
    14. Lin, Boqiang & Jia, Zhijie, 2019. "Impacts of carbon price level in carbon emission trading market," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(C), pages 157-170.
    15. Tim Nelson & Stephanie Bashir & Eleanor McCracken-Hewson & Michael Pierce, 2017. "The Changing Nature of the Australian Electricity Industry," Economic Papers, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 36(2), pages 104-120, June.
    16. Siriwardana, Mahinda & Nong, Duy, 2015. "Australia in an International Emissions Trading (ETS) Scheme: An Economic Evaluation Using the GTAP-E Model," Conference papers 332632, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    17. Meng, Sam & Siriwardana, Mahinda & McNeill, Judith & Nelson, Tim, 2018. "The impact of an ETS on the Australian energy sector: An integrated CGE and electricity modelling approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 213-224.
    18. Jeffrey C Peters, 2016. "GTAP-E-Power: An Electricity-detailed Economy-wide Model," Journal of Global Economic Analysis, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University, vol. 1(2), pages 156-187, December.
    19. Zhang, Mingming & Wood, Michael O. & Wilson, Jeffrey & Wu, Tingting, 2025. "The impacts of China's ETS on firm competitiveness: Evidence from the power and heat production sector," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    20. McNeill, Judith, 2015. "A review of the economic modelling on the impacts of the Australian carbon tax," Conference papers 332598, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    21. Azam Ghezelbash & Vahid Khaligh & Seyed Hamed Fahimifard & J. Jay Liu, 2023. "A Comparative Perspective of the Effects of CO 2 and Non-CO 2 Greenhouse Gas Emissions on Global Solar, Wind, and Geothermal Energy Investment," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(7), pages 1-20, March.
    22. Phuong Thao Nguyen, 2024. "Impacts of emission trading scheme in Vietnam: A perspective of revenue redistributions," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(5), pages 5452-5462, October.
    23. Roland Cunha Montenegro & Vidas Lekavičius & Jurica Brajković & Ulrich Fahl & Kai Hufendiek, 2019. "Long-Term Distributional Impacts of European Cap-and-Trade Climate Policies: A CGE Multi-Regional Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(23), pages 1-26, December.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
    • Q52 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Pollution Control Adoption and Costs; Distributional Effects; Employment Effects
    • Q58 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Environmental Economics: Government Policy

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