IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bjc/journl/v9y2022i4p89-101.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Exchange Rate and Agricultural Exports: Evidence From Nigeria (1981-2019)

Author

Listed:
  • Joseph Olufemi OGUNJOBI

    (Doctoral School of Agricultural and Water Sciences, National University of Agriculture of Kétou/ Benin Department of Economics, Landmark University, Omu-Aran, Kwara State, Nigeria)

  • Olufemi Adebayo OLADIPO (PhD)

    (Department of Accounting and Finance, Landmark University, Omu-Aran, Kwara State, Nigeria.)

  • Oluwasegun ESEYIN

    (Department of Economics, Landmark University, Omu-Aran, Kwara State, Nigeria)

  • Olaoluwa OPAOLA

    (Department of Economics, Landmark University, Omu-Aran, Nigeria)

  • Ishola James ARANSIOLA (PhD)

    (Department of Business Administration, Thomas Adewumi University, Oko, Kwara State, Nigeria.)

Abstract

Exchange rate has become one of the major issues Nigerian economy has been confronted with in the recent times especially since one of the goals of all economies is to have a stable exchange rate. The concept of exchange rate was introduced into the analysis of economic growth and development. This study examined the impact of exchange rate on agricultural exports in Nigeria from 1981 to 2019. The Auto regressive distributed lag (ARDL) model and Granger causality test were employed as analytical tools to test for the existence of a relationship between the variables. This research generally places importance on the effect of interest rate, exchange rate, total exports, inflation rate and loans to the agricultural sector on agricultural exports. However, it is mainly concerned with the relationship between exchange rate and agricultural exports. The study establishes that exchange rate significantly affects agricultural exports and there is no causality between them. By implication, exchange rate has a direct or positive relationship with agricultural exports in Nigeria in the long run. This therefore implies that an increase in exchange rate will lead to an increase in the level of agricultural exports in the long run.

Suggested Citation

  • Joseph Olufemi OGUNJOBI & Olufemi Adebayo OLADIPO (PhD) & Oluwasegun ESEYIN & Olaoluwa OPAOLA & Ishola James ARANSIOLA (PhD), 2022. "Exchange Rate and Agricultural Exports: Evidence From Nigeria (1981-2019)," International Journal of Research and Scientific Innovation, International Journal of Research and Scientific Innovation (IJRSI), vol. 9(4), pages 89-101, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:bjc:journl:v:9:y:2022:i:4:p:89-101
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.rsisinternational.org/journals/ijrsi/digital-library/volume-9-issue-4/89-101.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.rsisinternational.org/virtual-library/papers/exchange-rate-and-agricultural-exports-evidence-from-nigeria-1981-2019/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Rui Mao, 2019. "Exchange rate effects on agricultural exports," China Agricultural Economic Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 11(4), pages 600-621, January.
    2. David Orden, 1986. "Public Policy, the Exchange Rate, and Agricultural Exports: Discussion," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 68(2), pages 443-444.
    3. Donnenfeld, Shabtai & Zilcha, Itzhak, 1991. "Pricing of Exports and Exchange Rate Uncertainty," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 32(4), pages 1009-1022, November.
    4. A. E. Akinlo & A. F. Odusola, 2003. "Assessing the impact of Nigeria's naira depreciation on output and inflation," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(6), pages 691-703.
    5. Goudarzi, Mostafa & Khanarinejad, Komeil & Ardakani, Zahra, 2012. "Investigation the Role of Exchange Rate Volatility on Iran's Agricultural Exports (Case Study: Date, Pistachio and Saffron)," AGRIS on-line Papers in Economics and Informatics, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Faculty of Economics and Management, vol. 4(1), pages 1-7, March.
    6. Magda Kandil, 2004. "Exchange Rate Fluctuations And Economic Activity In Developing Countries: Theory And Evidence," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, vol. 29(1), pages 85-108, June.
    7. Tomlin, Ben, 2014. "Exchange rate fluctuations, plant turnover and productivity," International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 12-28.
    8. Rahman, Sajjadur & Serletis, Apostolos, 2009. "The effects of exchange rate uncertainty on exports," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 500-507, September.
    9. Ekrem Erdem & Saban Nazlioglu & Cumhur Erdem, 2010. "Exchange rate uncertainty and agricultural trade: panel cointegration analysis for Turkey," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 41(6), pages 537-543, November.
    10. Olumuyiwa Tolulope Apanisile & Olusola Mathew Oloba, 2020. "Asymmetric effect of exchange rate changes on cross-border trade in Nigeria," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 6(1), pages 1-9, December.
    11. Halit YANIKKAYA & Huseyin KAYA & Osman Murat KOCTURK, 2013. "The effect of real exchange rates and their volatilities on the selected agricultural commodity exports: A case study on Turkey, 1971-2010," Agricultural Economics, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 59(5), pages 235-246.
    12. Guedae Cho & Ian M. Sheldon & Steve McCorriston, 2002. "Exchange Rate Uncertainty and Agricultural Trade," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 84(4), pages 931-942.
    13. Rui Mao, 2019. "Exchange rate effects on agricultural exports," China Agricultural Economic Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 11(4), pages 600-621, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Salamat Ali, 2017. "Exchange Rate Effects on Agricultural Exports: Firm-level Evidence from Pakistan," Discussion Papers 2017-09, University of Nottingham, GEP.
    2. Auboin, Marc & Ruta, Michele, 2013. "The relationship between exchange rates and international trade: a literature review," World Trade Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 12(3), pages 577-605, July.
    3. Toktaş, Yılmaz & Parlińska, Agnieszka, 2020. "The Impact of the Real Effective Exchange Rate on Poland’s Food and Live Animal Exports," Problems of World Agriculture / Problemy Rolnictwa Światowego, Warsaw University of Life Sciences, vol. 20(35, Part ), December.
    4. Auboin, Marc & Ruta, Michel, 2011. "The relationship between exchange rates and International Trade: A review of economic literature," WTO Staff Working Papers ERSD-2011-17, World Trade Organization (WTO), Economic Research and Statistics Division.
    5. Salamat Ali, 2020. "Exchange Rate Effects on Agricultural Exports: Transaction‐Level Evidence from Pakistan," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 102(3), pages 1020-1044, May.
    6. Kwame Asiam Addey & William Nganje, 2023. "The role of the U.S. exchange‐rate equity market volatility on agricultural exports and forecasts," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 71(1), pages 25-47, March.
    7. Shane, Mathew & Roe, Terry L. & Somwaru, Agapi, 2008. "Exchange Rates, Foreign Income, and U.S. Agricultural Exports," Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, Northeastern Agricultural and Resource Economics Association, vol. 37(2), pages 1-16.
    8. Tomanova, Lucie, 2013. "Exchange Rate Volatility and the Foreign Trade in CEEC," EY International Congress on Economics I (EYC2013), October 24-25, 2013, Ankara, Turkey 267, Ekonomik Yaklasim Association.
    9. Thomas L. Vollrath & Mark J. Gehlhar & Charles B. Hallahan, 2009. "Bilateral Import Protection, Free Trade Agreements, and Other Factors Influencing Trade Flows in Agriculture and Clothing," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 60(2), pages 298-317, June.
    10. Waseem Khan & Vishal Sharma & Saghir Ahmad Ansari, 2022. "Modeling the dynamics of oil and agricultural commodity price nexus in linear and nonlinear frameworks: A case of emerging economy," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(3), pages 1733-1784, August.
    11. Oyinbo, O. & Rekwot, G. Z., 2014. "Econometric Analysis of the Nexus of Exchange Rate Deregulation and Agricultural Share of Gross Domestic Product in Nigeria," AGRIS on-line Papers in Economics and Informatics, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Faculty of Economics and Management, vol. 6(1), pages 1-7.
    12. Fedoseeva, Svetlana, 2014. "Are Agri-food Exports any Special? Exchange Rate Nonlinearities in European Exports to the US," German Journal of Agricultural Economics, Humboldt-Universitaet zu Berlin, Department for Agricultural Economics, vol. 63(04), pages 1-12, December.
    13. Longjiang Chen, 2011. "The effect of China's RMB exchange rate movement on its agricultural export: A case study of export to Japan," China Agricultural Economic Review, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 3(1), pages 26-41, January.
    14. Odusola, Ayodele, 2006. "Economics of Exchange Rate Management," UNDP Africa Economists Working Papers 307341, United Nations Development Programme (UNDP).
    15. Olper, Alessandro & Raimondi, Valentina, 2004. "The border effect in agricultural markets between European Union, OECD and LDC countries," 85th Seminar, September 8-11, 2004, Florence, Italy 37817, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    16. Kandilov, Ivan T., 2008. "“AJAE appendix for “The Effects of Exchange Rate Volatility on Agricultural Trade”," American Journal of Agricultural Economics APPENDICES, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 90(4), pages 1-5, March.
    17. Wesley, J.D. & Shen, Xuan & Li, Sheng & Wilson, Norbert L.W., 2012. "Agricultural Trade Bias in Exchange Rate Volatility Effect Estimation: An Application of Meta-Regression Analysis," 2012 Annual Meeting, August 12-14, 2012, Seattle, Washington 124870, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    18. Duc Hong Vo & Anh The Vo & Zhaoyong Zhang, 2019. "Exchange Rate Volatility and Disaggregated Manufacturing Exports: Evidence from an Emerging Country," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-25, January.
    19. ITO Takatoshi & KOIBUCHI Satoshi & SATO Kiyotaka & SHIMIZU Junko, 2010. "Determinants of Currency Invoicing in Japanese Exports: A firm-level analysis," Discussion papers 10034, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    20. Fedoseeva, Svetlana, 2015. "Same Currency, Different Strategies? The Role of the Exchange Rate in Shaping European Agri-Food Exports," 2015 Conference, August 9-14, 2015, Milan, Italy 211630, International Association of Agricultural Economists.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bjc:journl:v:9:y:2022:i:4:p:89-101. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Dr. Renu Malsaria (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.rsisinternational.org/journals/ijrsi/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.