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The Balassa-Samuelson Effect on the Bulgarian Economy

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  • Georgi Chukalev

Abstract

This research studies the influence of the Balassa-Samuelson effect on Bulgarian inflation and the real appreciation of BGN in relation to main trade partners currencies. According to the results obtained, the Balassa-Samuelson hypothesis stands for the Bulgarian economy. The higher rate of tradable sector productivity in Bulgaria brings about adjustment of wages and prices to EU countries levels. Thus the assumed sustainable GDP growth would still evoke higher inflation rates in Bulgaria compared to EU. Additional effects on Bulgarian inflation rates would have the conclusion of price liberalization and excises harmonization.

Suggested Citation

  • Georgi Chukalev, 2002. "The Balassa-Samuelson Effect on the Bulgarian Economy," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 2, pages 58-87.
    • Handle: RePEc:bas:econst:y:2002:i:2:p:58-87
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. De Gregorio, Jose & Giovannini, Alberto & Wolf, Holger C., 1994. "International evidence on tradables and nontradables inflation," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 38(6), pages 1225-1244, June.
    2. Mihály András Kovács & András Simon, 1998. "The components of the real exchange rate in Hungary," MNB Working Papers 1998/3, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary).
    3. Mr. Ronald MacDonald & Mr. Luca A Ricci, 2001. "PPP and the Balassa Samuelson Effect: The Role of the Distribution Sector," IMF Working Papers 2001/038, International Monetary Fund.
    4. Laszlo Halpern & Charles Wyplosz, 2001. "Economic Transformation and Real Exchange Rates in the 2000s: The Balassa-Samuelson Connection," ECE Discussion Papers Series 2001_1, UNECE.
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    Cited by:

    1. Muhammad Khan, 2013. "Inflation and Sectoral Output Growth Variability in Bulgaria," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 55(4), pages 687-704, December.
    2. Todorov Ivan Krumov, 2014. "Macroeconomic Trends in the New Member Countries of the European Union Before the Euro Area Debt Crisis," Scientific Annals of Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 61(2), pages 197-217, December.
    3. Dubravko Mihaljek & Marc Klau, 2008. "Catching-up and inflation in transition economies: the Balassa-Samuelson effect revisited," BIS Working Papers 270, Bank for International Settlements.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E30 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • E60 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General

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