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The Balassa-Samuelson Effect in the Bulgarian Economy

Author

Listed:
  • Georgi Chukalev

    () (Agency for Economic Analysis and Forecasting)

Abstract

This research studies the influence of the Balassa-Samuelson effect on Bulgarian inflation and the real appreciation of BGN in relation to main trade partners currencies. According to the results obtained, the Balassa-Samuelson hypothesis stands for the Bulgarian economy. The higher rate of tradable sector productivity in Bulgaria brings about adjustment of wages and prices to EU countries levels. Thus the assumed sustainable GDP growth would still evoke higher inflation rates in Bulgaria compared to EU. Additional effects on Bulgarian inflation rates would have the conclusion of price liberalization and excises harmonization.

Suggested Citation

  • Georgi Chukalev, 2002. "The Balassa-Samuelson Effect in the Bulgarian Economy," Working paper series 22002en, Agency for Economic Analysis and Forecasting.
  • Handle: RePEc:eaf:wpaper:22002en
    as

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    File URL: http://www.aeaf.minfin.bg/bg/izdaniq/Georgi_2002_e.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. De Gregorio, Jose & Giovannini, Alberto & Wolf, Holger C., 1994. "International evidence on tradables and nontradables inflation," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 38(6), pages 1225-1244, June.
    2. De Broeck, Mark & Slok, Torsten, 2006. "Interpreting real exchange rate movements in transition countries," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(2), pages 368-383, March.
    3. De Broeck, Mark & Sloek, Torsten, 2001. "Interpreting real exchange rate movements in transition countries," BOFIT Discussion Papers 7/2001, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition.
    4. Ronald MacDonald & Luca Ricci, 2001. "PPP and the Balassa Samuelson Effect: the Role of the Distribution Sector," CESifo Working Paper Series 442, CESifo Group Munich.
    5. Paul R Masson, 1999. "Monetary and Exchange Rate Policy of Transition Economies of Central and Eastern Europe after the Launch of EMU," IMF Policy Discussion Papers 99/5, International Monetary Fund.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Dubravko Mihaljek & Marc Klau, 2008. "Catching-up and inflation in transition economies: the Balassa-Samuelson effect revisited," BIS Working Papers 270, Bank for International Settlements.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Balassa-Samuelson effect; tradables; nontradables; relative productivity; relative price; real effective exchange rate;

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation

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